Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

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Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

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Commodities

<ul><li>Spare base oils supply is thin across major regions, leaving little room to absorb disruption from storms, outages or maintenance</li></ul><ul><li>Asia cleared a swathe of supply in the third quarter, leaving it balanced to tight with less room to cover other markets.</li><li>Singapore’s exports fell for a second week, a slowdown that would further limit Asia’s spare supply if it continues as seasonal demand firms.</li></ul>

Spare base oils supply is thin across major regions, leaving little room to absorb disruption from storms, outages or maintenanceAsia cleared a swathe of supply in the third quarter, leaving it balanced to tight with less room to cover other markets.Singapore’s exports fell for a second week, a slowdown that would further limit Asia’s spare supply if it continues as seasonal demand firms.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 9 Oct '26

<ul><li>Base oils shipments from Taiwan extended their slowdown into a second week, coinciding with planned plant maintenance starting in October.</li><li>A cargo with a combination of Group II light and heavy grades loaded from Taiwan in early September for Europe passed through the Red Sea and Suez Canal in recent days.</li><li>A cargo loaded from South Korea in recent days headed to Northwest Europe, with arrival due in second-half November.</li></ul>

Base oils shipments from Taiwan extended their slowdown into a second week, coinciding with planned plant maintenance starting in October.A cargo with a combination of Group II light and heavy grades loaded from Taiwan in early September for Europe passed through the Red Sea and Suez Canal in recent days.A cargo loaded from South Korea in recent days headed to Northwest Europe, with arrival due in second-half November.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 9 October

<ul><li>Base oils supply is tighter than usual for the time of year, as Asian barrels filling overseas gaps face a competing call from recovering demand in their regional markets</li></ul><ul><li>Singapore's export recovery shows how additional barrels are becoming available as earlier disruptions ease.</li><li>That extra Asian supply is now facing a competing call from within the region as demand recovers, while maintenance in Taiwan and Saudi Arabia will remove more production.</li></ul>

Base oils supply is tighter than usual for the time of year, as Asian barrels filling overseas gaps face a competing call from recovering demand in their regional marketsSingapore's export recovery shows how additional barrels are becoming available as earlier disruptions ease.That extra Asian supply is now facing a competing call from within the region as demand recovers, while maintenance in Taiwan and Saudi Arabia will remove more production.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 2 Oct '26

<ul><li>Asia's spare capacity is filling gaps left by tighter US, European and Middle East supply, but recovering demand and fourth-quarter maintenance will test its limits.</li></ul><ul><li>Traditional suppliers are losing export availability, giving Asian producers more room to meet requirements in the US, Europe and other overseas markets.</li><li>The response spans the region, with South Korea, Taiwan, India, Singapore and China all sending cargoes beyond Asia.</li></ul>

Asia's spare capacity is filling gaps left by tighter US, European and Middle East supply, but recovering demand and fourth-quarter maintenance will test its limits.Traditional suppliers are losing export availability, giving Asian producers more room to meet requirements in the US, Europe and other overseas markets.The response spans the region, with South Korea, Taiwan, India, Singapore and China all sending cargoes beyond Asia.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 25 Sep '26

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong market quietly broke its downward trend channel last week, however the HSI met strong resistance at 18200 (100 Week Moving Average).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/picc-property-casualty-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:350:1" rel="noopener">PICC Property &amp; Casualty H (2328 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-petroleum-chemical-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:369:1" rel="noopener">China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK)</a> broke to new highs relative to MSCI indices.  Sinopec may benefit from stronger RMB in 2H24.
</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhou-intl-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10415:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK)</a> had a short-term turnaround from its downtrend.  The company reported growth in sales and better margins in 2Q24.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong market quietly broke its downward trend channel last week, however the HSI met strong resistance at 18200 (100 Week Moving Average).

PICC Property &amp; Casualty H (2328 HK) and China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK) broke to new highs relative to MSCI indices.  Sinopec may benefit from stronger RMB in 2H24.

Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK) had a short-term turnaround from its downtrend.  The company reported growth in sales and better margins in 2Q24.


Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 3)

China

Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical is one of China's largest integrated refining and petrochemical enterprises, producing refined oil products, intermediate petrochemicals, synthetic resins, and synthetic fibers. Its key products include gasoline, diesel, ethylene, propylene, polyethylene, and polyester. The company was established in 1972 and is headquartered in Jinshan District, Shanghai, China.

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Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical (338 HK)

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 9 Oct '26

Spare base oils supply is thin across major regions, leaving little room to absorb disruption from storms, outages or maintenance Asia...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 9 October

Base oils shipments from Taiwan extended their slowdown into a second week, coinciding with planned plant maintenance starting in October. A cargo...

Base Oil News

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 2 Oct '26

Base oils supply is tighter than usual for the time of year, as Asian barrels filling overseas gaps face a competing call from recovering demand...

Base Oil News

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 25 Sep '26

Asia's spare capacity is filling gaps left by tighter US, European and Middle East supply, but recovering demand and fourth-quarter maintenance...

Base Oil News

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 3)

Hong Kong market broke its downtrend however it met strong resistance just above 18k. PICC and Sinopec broke to new highs relative to MSCI...

David Mudd

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