Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Top Ten most active contracts for the week all traded on Monday. Most of the active contracts were Calls with December expiries.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> makes the Top Ten non-Tencent most active contracts with both Puts and Call active – likely stock replacement and hedges following torrid run higher.</li>
<li>Tencent implied vols trading at their lowest levels of the past year.</li>
</ul>


Top Ten most active contracts for the week all traded on Monday. Most of the active contracts were Calls with December expiries.

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) makes the Top Ten non-Tencent most active contracts with both Puts and Call active – likely stock replacement and hedges following torrid run higher.
Tencent implied vols trading at their lowest levels of the past year.


EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly December 09 – 13

Healthcare Equity Analyst - Emerging & Dev Markets, daaimon

Avien Pillay

Healthcare Equity Analyst - Emerging & Dev Markets

daaimon

daaimon is an independent research company focusing on healthcare and consumer sectors across developed and emerging markets. We produce insightful research which challenges conventional thinking. In particular, we look for new ideas by testing consensus forecasts and markets expectations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Sinopharm will benefit from the strong expected growth in China’s healthcare spend.</li>
<li>There is scope to increase its distribution which will continue to shield the company from short-term volatility.</li>
<li>Pricing pressure in drug prices creates opportunity to optimise range and improve profitability.</li>
</ul>


Sinopharm will benefit from the strong expected growth in China’s healthcare spend.
There is scope to increase its distribution which will continue to shield the company from short-term volatility.
Pricing pressure in drug prices creates opportunity to optimise range and improve profitability.


Sinopharm (1099 HK) - A Compelling Investment Case

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Event-Driven

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)

<ul>
<li>The Medical Insurance Bureau of Hubei Province issued two documents on the VBP of TCM patent medicines.Shineway’s core product Qing Kai Ling is included, which would bring pressure on performance.</li>
<li>It's time to be cautious about the outlook for GLP-1s. We may need to be mentally prepared in advance that the actual market size of GLP-1s is only US$100 billion.</li>
<li>Recent changes at the top of CNPGC have left some investors hopeful that China TCM will resolve horizontal competition as scheduled next year,but current bet on shares reversal isn't wise.</li>
</ul>


The Medical Insurance Bureau of Hubei Province issued two documents on the VBP of TCM patent medicines.Shineway’s core product Qing Kai Ling is included, which would bring pressure on performance.
It's time to be cautious about the outlook for GLP-1s. We may need to be mentally prepared in advance that the actual market size of GLP-1s is only US$100 billion.
Recent changes at the top of CNPGC have left some investors hopeful that China TCM will resolve horizontal competition as scheduled next year,but current bet on shares reversal isn't wise.


China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.8) - TCM VBP Update, GLP-1's Good Story Broke, China TCM's Sudden Rally

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Post market close on Friday, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> that will be implemented at the close on 6 December.</li>
<li>With no increase in the number of index constituents this calendar year, there could be inclusions in December. The process of getting to 100 index constituents could drag into 2026.</li>
<li>Short interest is especially large in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotruk-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19764:1" rel="noopener">Sinotruk</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giant-biogene-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35950:1" rel="noopener">Giant Biogene</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASMPT</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics</a> and inclusion could set off some short covering.</li>
</ul>


Post market close on Friday, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 6 December.
With no increase in the number of index constituents this calendar year, there could be inclusions in December. The process of getting to 100 index constituents could drag into 2026.
Short interest is especially large in Sinotruk, Giant Biogene, Kuaishou Technology, ASMPT and JD Logistics and inclusion could set off some short covering.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for December

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a>’s monthly update notes that the consortium has secured SAMR approval and made progress in obtaining the other regulatory approvals. </li>
<li>As expected, the precondition will not be satisfied before the 18 October long stop date. Unexpectedly, whether the consortium members will consent to the extension remains uncertain.</li>
<li>The extension will be forthcoming as the delay is procedural, there is a reputational risk from a deal break, the time investment is significant, and the warning was legally required.</li>
</ul>



China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)’s monthly update notes that the consortium has secured SAMR approval and made progress in obtaining the other regulatory approvals. 
As expected, the precondition will not be satisfied before the 18 October long stop date. Unexpectedly, whether the consortium members will consent to the extension remains uncertain.
The extension will be forthcoming as the delay is procedural, there is a reputational risk from a deal break, the time investment is significant, and the warning was legally required.


China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK): Theatre of the Absurd

China

Sinopharm Group is a leading Chinese distributor and retailer of pharmaceutical and healthcare products, medical devices, and a supply chain service provider. The company also engages in the production and sale of pharmaceutical products, chemical reagents, and laboratory supplies. It was incorporated in January 2003 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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Sinopharm Group (1099 HK)

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly December 09 – 13

Top Ten most active contracts traded on Monday, mostly Calls with December expiries. Xiaomi Corp makes most active contracts list with Puts and...

John Ley

Sinopharm (1099 HK) - A Compelling Investment Case

Sinopharm is well positioned to benefit from China’s expected strong growth in healthcare spend. The investment case is further strengthened by a...

daaimon

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.8) - TCM VBP Update, GLP-1's Good Story Broke, China TCM's Sudden Rally

Hubei's TCM patent medicine VBP will impact Shineway's performance. Caution needed on GLP-1 market outlook. There's no evidence to support CNPGC’s...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for December

We highlight 10 potential inclusions for the HSI in Dec. The number of constituents has not increased this year and the target to reach 100 members...

Brian Freitas

China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK): Theatre of the Absurd

The update will do little to soothe frayed nerves. The extension will be forthcoming as the delay is procedural, there is a reputational risk from...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly December 09 – 13

​Top Ten most active contracts traded on Monday, mostly Calls with December expiries. Xiaomi Corp makes most active contracts list with Puts and...

John Ley

Sinopharm (1099 HK) - A Compelling Investment Case

Sinopharm is well positioned to benefit from China’s expected strong growth in healthcare spend. The investment case is further strengthened by a...

daaimon

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.8) - TCM VBP Update, GLP-1's Good Story Broke, China TCM's Sudden Rally

​Hubei's TCM patent medicine VBP will impact Shineway's performance. Caution needed on GLP-1 market outlook. There's no evidence to support CNPGC’s...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for December

We highlight 10 potential inclusions for the HSI in Dec. The number of constituents has not increased this year and the target to reach 100 members...

Brian Freitas

China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK): Theatre of the Absurd

The update will do little to soothe frayed nerves. The extension will be forthcoming as the delay is procedural, there is a reputational risk from...

Arun George

Top Ten most active contracts traded on Monday, mostly Calls with December expiries. Xiaomi Corp makes most active contracts list with Puts and...

Hubei's TCM patent medicine VBP will impact Shineway's performance. Caution needed on GLP-1 market outlook. There's no evidence to support CNPGC’s...