Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We see 28 potential and close adds and 34 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.</li>
<li>A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


We see 28 potential and close adds and 34 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.
A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals / Index Rebalance

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK)

<ul>
<li>We see 21 potential and close adds and 34 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.</li>
<li>There have been some big listings in the last couple of months and those stocks should be added to the index in September. That increases the number of potential deletions.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


We see 21 potential and close adds and 34 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.
There have been some big listings in the last couple of months and those stocks should be added to the index in September. That increases the number of potential deletions.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September 2025

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 2nd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Meituan, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, BYD, SMIC, China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 2nd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Meituan, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, BYD, SMIC, China Mobile.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 2nd): Meituan, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, BYD, SMIC, China Mobile

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Sipai Health Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The reason why there are many doubts about Sipai is that its Specialty Pharmacy Business accounts for dominant proportion of total revenue but is almost difficult to make a profit.</li>
<li>Sipai's SMO business revenue will be difficult to grow at scale due to industry characteristics and the Health Insurance Services business is too small to bring substantial changes to performance.</li>
<li>Sipai’s revenue structure/business model is difficult to improve in the short term. So it's not surprising if Sipai suffers long-term losses. Its valuation should be lower than that of ClouDr.</li>
</ul>


The reason why there are many doubts about Sipai is that its Specialty Pharmacy Business accounts for dominant proportion of total revenue but is almost difficult to make a profit.
Sipai's SMO business revenue will be difficult to grow at scale due to industry characteristics and the Health Insurance Services business is too small to bring substantial changes to performance.
Sipai’s revenue structure/business model is difficult to improve in the short term. So it's not surprising if Sipai suffers long-term losses. Its valuation should be lower than that of ClouDr.


Sipai Health Technology (314.HK) - Valuation Has Collapsed, but a Reversal Is Not yet in Sight

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sipai-health-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36662:1" rel="noopener">Sipai Health Technology (314 HK)</a></strong>, a Chinese digital healthcare platform backed by <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a></strong> continues to eke out new highs. </li>
<li>Sipai closed up 34% on its debut two days before Xmas last year, and is currently up 74% on its IPO price of HK$18.60.</li>
<li>The company is loss-making. However, FY22 financials showed those losses continue to fall. </li>
</ul>



Sipai Health Technology (314 HK), a Chinese digital healthcare platform backed by Tencent (700 HK) continues to eke out new highs. 
Sipai closed up 34% on its debut two days before Xmas last year, and is currently up 74% on its IPO price of HK$18.60.
The company is loss-making. However, FY22 financials showed those losses continue to fall. 


Sipai Health Technology: Hidden Benefits, Not-So-Hidden Risks

China

Sipai Health Technology is a medical technology and health management company operating in China. It provides specialty pharmacy services, physician research assistance for clinical trials, and health insurance services. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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Sipai Health Technology (314 HK)

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

The forecast adds to the index and Stock Connect are up 9.7% on average this month while the forecast deletes from the index and Stock Connect are...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September 2025

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HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 2nd): Meituan, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, BYD, SMIC, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Meituan, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, BYD, SMIC, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM