Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, hailed as the largest gathering of the Hindu faith, is set to host an estimated 400-450 million devotees from India and around the world.</li>
<li>The event’s estimated budget is INR 6,382 crore (USD 800 Mn) for event management and infrastructure development, 72% higher than the budget allocated in 2019 Kumbh.</li>
<li>Kumbh Mela could generate financial transactions totaling INR 2–2.5 lakh crore (USD 25–30 billion) over 45 days. This accounts for an estimated 0.5–0.8% of the country’s GDP.</li>
</ul>


The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, hailed as the largest gathering of the Hindu faith, is set to host an estimated 400-450 million devotees from India and around the world.
The event’s estimated budget is INR 6,382 crore (USD 800 Mn) for event management and infrastructure development, 72% higher than the budget allocated in 2019 Kumbh.
Kumbh Mela could generate financial transactions totaling INR 2–2.5 lakh crore (USD 25–30 billion) over 45 days. This accounts for an estimated 0.5–0.8% of the country’s GDP.


Maha Kumbh 2025- How Big Is It for Economy?

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

With the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) breaking below our $70 “line in the sand” support level we highlighted last week, we believe additional downside is likely and that the path of least resistance is lower for global equities. Considering the damage done to major indexes around the world, any potential bottom is likely to take months to develop and until we see evidence of this repair process we want to be positioned primarily in Sectors with defensive characteristics. Of course, there will be major countertrend rallies along the way, but for now the trend is lower and we would treat rallies as selling opportunities. We outline important technical levels across all markets and highlight actionable opportunities within EM, and the Services and Staples Sectors.

With the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) breaking below our $70 “line in the sand” support level we highlighted last week, we believe additional downside is likely and that the path of least resistance is lower for global equities. Considering the damage done to major indexes around the world, any potential bottom is likely to take months to develop and until we see evidence of this repair process we want to be positioned primarily in Sectors with defensive characteristics. Of course, there will be major countertrend rallies along the way, but for now the trend is lower and we would treat rallies as selling opportunities. We outline important technical levels across all markets and highlight actionable opportunities within EM, and the Services and Staples Sectors.

ACWI Below Our Line In The Sand: Further Weakness Expected

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Aditya Infotech Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-infotech-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43994:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Infotech Ltd (6596564Z IN)</a> raised about US$151m in its India IPO. </li>
<li>Aditya Infotech is a CCTV/video surveillance provider offering a range of advanced video security and surveillance products, technologies and solutions for enterprise and consumer segments under its CP PLUS brand.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Aditya Infotech Ltd (6596564Z IN) raised about US$151m in its India IPO. 
Aditya Infotech is a CCTV/video surveillance provider offering a range of advanced video security and surveillance products, technologies and solutions for enterprise and consumer segments under its CP PLUS brand.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Aditya Infotech IPO Trading - Strong Overall Demand with Decent Anchor

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-infotech-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43994:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Infotech Ltd (6596564Z IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$151m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Aditya Infotech is a CCTV/video surveillance provider offering a range of advanced video security and surveillance products, technologies and solutions for enterprise and consumer segments under its CP PLUS brand.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the RHP updates and IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Aditya Infotech Ltd (6596564Z IN) is looking to raise about US$151m in its India IPO.
Aditya Infotech is a CCTV/video surveillance provider offering a range of advanced video security and surveillance products, technologies and solutions for enterprise and consumer segments under its CP PLUS brand.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the RHP updates and IPO valuations.


Aditya Infotech IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

CMS Info Systems Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

Baring Private Equity Asia plans to raise around US$150m by selling a 30% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/26155" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26155:1">CMS Info Systems Pvt Ltd (9156635Z IN)</a> (CMS) via an IPO. CMS is the largest cash management company in India with a sizeable lead over the next player. However, it has failed to keep up with industry growth and hasn't been able to scale back to the peak earnings at which Blackstone exited. This doesn't seem to have stopped Barings, which bought the company from Blackstone in 2015, from trying to IPO at nearly double the price it paid just about two years ago.

Baring Private Equity Asia plans to raise around US$150m by selling a 30% stake in CMS Info Systems Pvt Ltd (9156635Z IN) (CMS) via an IPO. CMS is the largest cash management company in India with a sizeable lead over the next player. However, it has failed to keep up with industry growth and hasn't been able to scale back to the peak earnings at which Blackstone exited. This doesn't seem to have stopped Barings, which bought the company from Blackstone in 2015, from trying to IPO at nearly double the price it paid just about two years ago.

CMS Info Systems Pre-IPO Review - When a PE Sells to Another PE... Only One Gets the Timing Right

India

SIS Limited is a multinational business services provider, offering security, facility management, and cash logistics services. The company provides a comprehensive range of security solutions, including manned guarding, electronic security, and emergency response, along with integrated facility management and cash-in-transit services. SIS Limited is headquartered in New Delhi, India, and was founded in 1985.

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SIS (SECIS IN)

Maha Kumbh 2025- How Big Is It for Economy?

The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, expected to draw 400-450 million devotees, and could generate up to INR 2-2.5 lakh crore in financial transactions,...

Nitin Mangal

ACWI Below Our Line In The Sand: Further Weakness Expected

With the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) breaking below our $70 “line in the sand” support level we highlighted last week, we believe additional downside is...

Vermilion Research

Aditya Infotech IPO Trading - Strong Overall Demand with Decent Anchor

Aditya Infotech raised about US$151m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

Aditya Infotech IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Aditya Infotech is looking to raise about US$151m in its India IPO. We have looked at the company’s past performance previously. In this note, we...

Akshat Shah

CMS Info Systems Pre-IPO Review - When a PE Sells to Another PE... Only One Gets the Timing Right

Baring Private Equity Asia plans to raise around US$150m by selling a 30% stake in CMS Info Systems Pvt Ltd (9156635Z IN) (CMS) via an IPO. CMS is...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Maha Kumbh 2025- How Big Is It for Economy?

​The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, expected to draw 400-450 million devotees, and could generate up to INR 2-2.5 lakh crore in financial transactions,...

Nitin Mangal

ACWI Below Our Line In The Sand: Further Weakness Expected

With the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) breaking below our $70 “line in the sand” support level we highlighted last week, we believe additional downside is...

Vermilion Research

Aditya Infotech IPO Trading - Strong Overall Demand with Decent Anchor

Aditya Infotech raised about US$151m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

Aditya Infotech IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Aditya Infotech is looking to raise about US$151m in its India IPO. We have looked at the company’s past performance previously. In this note, we...

Akshat Shah

CMS Info Systems Pre-IPO Review - When a PE Sells to Another PE... Only One Gets the Timing Right

Baring Private Equity Asia plans to raise around US$150m by selling a 30% stake in CMS Info Systems Pvt Ltd (9156635Z IN) (CMS) via an IPO. CMS is...

Sumeet Singh

The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, expected to draw 400-450 million devotees, and could generate up to INR 2-2.5 lakh crore in financial transactions,...