Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In today's uncertain scenario, cash is king. Moreover, the high US treasury yields, which had rendered a dividend yield strategy relatively unattractive, are beginning to decline again.</li>
<li>In addition to considering today's dividend yields, we think it's also imperative to take into account companies' future earnings potential to assess future dividend stability.</li>
<li>Screening companies with at least 6% forward dividend yield and 5% forecast EPS CAGR over next 2 years, we arrive at our basket of 23 dividend yielders, 13 from HK/China.</li>
</ul>


In today's uncertain scenario, cash is king. Moreover, the high US treasury yields, which had rendered a dividend yield strategy relatively unattractive, are beginning to decline again.
In addition to considering today's dividend yields, we think it's also imperative to take into account companies' future earnings potential to assess future dividend stability.
Screening companies with at least 6% forward dividend yield and 5% forecast EPS CAGR over next 2 years, we arrive at our basket of 23 dividend yielders, 13 from HK/China.


Asian Equities: Asia's Robust Dividend Yielders

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-s-lines" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39795:1" rel="noopener">T.S. Lines (TSL HK)</a> is looking to raise US$145m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>T.S. Lines (TSL) is a container shipping firm primarily operating in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region.</li>
<li>In a previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we discuss peers and share our thoughts on valuation. </li>
</ul>



T.S. Lines (TSL HK) is looking to raise US$145m in its Hong Kong IPO.
T.S. Lines (TSL) is a container shipping firm primarily operating in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region.
In a previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we discuss peers and share our thoughts on valuation. 


TS Lines IPO - Smaller than Peers, Although Valuation Seems Attractive

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-southern-airlines-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1078:1" rel="noopener">China Southern Airlines (1055 HK) </a>will suffer from a higher USD rate as Trump's massive deportation plan raises inflation.  High-cash companies will better position, however.</li>
<li>The surge in tariffs on US imports of goods from China will further accelerate supply chain diversification, boosting intra-Asia trade and driving <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sitc-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15301:1" rel="noopener">SITC International (1308 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC (883 HK)</a> may gain from a slowdown in the green transition in the US as oil prices are supported. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meitu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23573:1" rel="noopener">Meitu Inc (1357 HK)</a>, given its crypto investments, will benefit. </li>
</ul>



China Southern Airlines (1055 HK) will suffer from a higher USD rate as Trump's massive deportation plan raises inflation.  High-cash companies will better position, however.
The surge in tariffs on US imports of goods from China will further accelerate supply chain diversification, boosting intra-Asia trade and driving SITC International (1308 HK). 

CNOOC (883 HK) may gain from a slowdown in the green transition in the US as oil prices are supported. Meitu Inc (1357 HK), given its crypto investments, will benefit. 


China & HK Strategy: Some Stocks for Trump Trade

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-s-lines" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39795:1" rel="noopener">T.S. Lines (TSL HK)</a> is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>T.S. Lines (TSL) is a container shipping firm primarily operating in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region.</li>
<li>In a previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the recent updates from its filings.</li>
</ul>



T.S. Lines (TSL HK) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
T.S. Lines (TSL) is a container shipping firm primarily operating in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region.
In a previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the recent updates from its filings.


T.S. Lines Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Shipping Volumes Improved, However Paid Another Large Dividend

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sitc-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15301:1" rel="noopener">SITC International (1308 HK)</a>'s management guided for a promising outlook for 2H24, with strong load performance in Jul-Aug, and better long-term contract rates YoY.  </li>
<li>Gross margin expanded 4.5pp in 1H24 despite a 5.3% drop in average freight rate, thanks to good cost control with lower chartered-in costs and more self-owned vessels.</li>
<li>Net cash increased 195% from end-FY23, and we are confident that its 70% payout ratio can be maintained. Its P/B is still below the 5-year average.</li>
</ul>



SITC International (1308 HK)'s management guided for a promising outlook for 2H24, with strong load performance in Jul-Aug, and better long-term contract rates YoY.  
Gross margin expanded 4.5pp in 1H24 despite a 5.3% drop in average freight rate, thanks to good cost control with lower chartered-in costs and more self-owned vessels.
Net cash increased 195% from end-FY23, and we are confident that its 70% payout ratio can be maintained. Its P/B is still below the 5-year average.


SITC International (1308 HK): Advancing Amid the Challenging Time

Hong Kong

SITC International Holdings Company Ltd. offers marine shipping services.  The Company offers container liner shipping, freight forwarding, customs clearance, shipping agency, and ship brokerage services.  SITC operates in Asia.

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SITC International (1308 HK)

Asian Equities: Asia's Robust Dividend Yielders

In uncertain times, firms distributing cash as dividends are naturally investors' darlings. Screening large caps on min 6% div yield and future...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

TS Lines IPO - Smaller than Peers, Although Valuation Seems Attractive

T.S. Lines (TSL HK) is looking to raise US$145m in its Hong Kong IPO. In a previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note,...

Clarence Chu

China & HK Strategy: Some Stocks for Trump Trade

A higher USD rate due to Trump's deportation plan will impact CSA. Tariff surge on US imports from China will boost SITC. CNOOC may benefit from...

Osbert Tang, CFA

T.S. Lines Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Shipping Volumes Improved, However Paid Another Large Dividend

T.S. Lines (TSL HK) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the recent updates from its...

Clarence Chu