Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

Seoul Guarantee Insurance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Seoul Guarantee Insurance Corp is getting ready to complete its IPO in Korea in the next several weeks. The IPO price range is from 39,500 won to 51,800 won. </li>
<li>Market cap is from 2.8 trillion won to 3.6 trillion won. At the high end of the IPO price range, this could be the biggest IPO in Korea in 2023.</li>
<li>Many investors will be skeptical on the bankers including two overseas comps (Travelers and Coface) which have much higher valuations.</li>
</ul>


Seoul Guarantee Insurance Corp is getting ready to complete its IPO in Korea in the next several weeks. The IPO price range is from 39,500 won to 51,800 won. 
Market cap is from 2.8 trillion won to 3.6 trillion won. At the high end of the IPO price range, this could be the biggest IPO in Korea in 2023.
Many investors will be skeptical on the bankers including two overseas comps (Travelers and Coface) which have much higher valuations.


Seoul Guarantee Insurance Corp IPO Preview

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

SK Biopharmaceuticals   / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.</li>
<li>There is one change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio and Game indices. Then there are a couple of changes for the Internet and BBIG indices.</li>
<li>There are four stocks that will have over 2 days of ADV to trade from passive trackers and these stocks could move around announcement of the changes.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.
There is one change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio and Game indices. Then there are a couple of changes for the Internet and BBIG indices.
There are four stocks that will have over 2 days of ADV to trade from passive trackers and these stocks could move around announcement of the changes.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Complete

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After results were transitioned to non-public information, it has been observed that results are reflected in prices significantly later, with substantial price impact occurring close to the rebalancing trading day. </li>
<li>Even though the AUMs have recently decreased, the passive impact size is quite substantial, considering a recent pattern of price impact concentrating within a maximum of about two trading days.</li>
<li>A heavy Long-Short setup on these pairs, DearU / Douzone Bizon and SK Biopharmaceuticals / SK Bioscience (302440 KS), is something we should very actively consider.</li>
</ul>


After results were transitioned to non-public information, it has been observed that results are reflected in prices significantly later, with substantial price impact occurring close to the rebalancing trading day. 
Even though the AUMs have recently decreased, the passive impact size is quite substantial, considering a recent pattern of price impact concentrating within a maximum of about two trading days.
A heavy Long-Short setup on these pairs, DearU / Douzone Bizon and SK Biopharmaceuticals / SK Bioscience (302440 KS), is something we should very actively consider.


KRX BBIG K-New Deal Rebalancing: Official Results & Passive Flow Impacts

<ul>
<li>The changes to the LQ45/IDX30 were announced last week and will be implemented Monday. The PSE also announced that there would be no changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">PCOMP INDEX</a> in August.</li>
<li>There are a bunch of review cutoffs on Monday, most notably for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a>, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a> family of indices and the KRX New Deal indices.</li>
<li>There were inflows to China focused ETFs and outflows from Taiwan and Korea focused ETFs during the week.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the LQ45/IDX30 were announced last week and will be implemented Monday. The PSE also announced that there would be no changes for the PCOMP INDEX in August.
There are a bunch of review cutoffs on Monday, most notably for the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX), STAR50 INDEX, the NIFTY family of indices and the KRX New Deal indices.
There were inflows to China focused ETFs and outflows from Taiwan and Korea focused ETFs during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: LQ45/IDX30, FXI, New Deal, KOSPI, KQ150, LG Energy, IN Float, TTMT

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

SK Biopharmaceuticals   / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 1Q23, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-biopharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28966:1" rel="noopener">SK Biopharmaceuticals Co Ltd (326030 KS)</a> recorded Xcopri U.S. revenue of KRW53.9B, up 70% YoY and 8% QoQ. Xcopri growth is expected to accelerate in US in H2.</li>
<li>The company’s operating loss narrowed to KRW23B in 1Q23, recording the lowest level excluding the one-off sales, compared with operating loss of KRW45B in 4Q22 and KRW37B in 1Q22.</li>
<li>The company is looking for Xcopri revenue of KRW300B in 2023. With stable cash generation and expansion into three new modalities, SKBP aims to become a $15B company by 2026.</li>
</ul>


In 1Q23, SK Biopharmaceuticals Co Ltd (326030 KS) recorded Xcopri U.S. revenue of KRW53.9B, up 70% YoY and 8% QoQ. Xcopri growth is expected to accelerate in US in H2.
The company’s operating loss narrowed to KRW23B in 1Q23, recording the lowest level excluding the one-off sales, compared with operating loss of KRW45B in 4Q22 and KRW37B in 1Q22.
The company is looking for Xcopri revenue of KRW300B in 2023. With stable cash generation and expansion into three new modalities, SKBP aims to become a $15B company by 2026.


SK Biopharmaceuticals (326030 KS): Starts 2023 on Strong Note; Unveils New Mid to Long-Term Strategy

South Korea

SK Biopharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. researches and develops new drugs. The Company develops and markets brain disorders treatment drugs, central nervous system disorders treatment drugs, and other products. SK Biopharmaceuticals markets its products worldwide.

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SK Biopharmaceuticals (326030 KS)

Seoul Guarantee Insurance Corp IPO Preview

Seoul Guarantee Insurance Corp is getting ready to complete its IPO in Korea in the next several weeks. At the high end of the IPO price range,...

Douglas Kim

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Complete

The changes to the index were announced post market close on Friday and will be implemented at the close on Thursday. Given that the changes are...

Brian Freitas

KRX BBIG K-New Deal Rebalancing: Official Results & Passive Flow Impacts

This post provides the official rebalancing results and the resulting passive impacts of the KRX BBIG K-New Deal Indices, which will be implemented...

Sanghyun Park

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: LQ45/IDX30, FXI, New Deal, KOSPI, KQ150, LG Energy, IN Float, TTMT

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

SK Biopharmaceuticals (326030 KS): Starts 2023 on Strong Note; Unveils New Mid to Long-Term Strategy

In 1Q23, SKBP recorded Xcopri U.S. revenue of KRW53.9B, up 70% YoY and 8% QoQ. Xcopri sales are expected to accelerate in H2. SKBP aims to become a...

Tina Banerjee

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