Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The FnGuide Secondary Battery Index currently holds an AUM of ₩1.35T, and the next rebalancing implementation period is from June 13th to 15th.</li>
<li>Since these are same-sector stocks with a high cointegration level, they are suitable for narrow-window basket trading based on passive flow differences.</li>
<li>So, I would consider basket trading by targeting the large-cap constituents with a relatively significant passive flow: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-innovation-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1268:1" rel="noopener">SK Innovation (096770)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-ie-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29207:1" rel="noopener">SK IE Technology (361610)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-bm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27873:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro BM (247540)</a>, &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19029:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro (086520)</a> </li>
</ul>


The FnGuide Secondary Battery Index currently holds an AUM of ₩1.35T, and the next rebalancing implementation period is from June 13th to 15th.
Since these are same-sector stocks with a high cointegration level, they are suitable for narrow-window basket trading based on passive flow differences.
So, I would consider basket trading by targeting the large-cap constituents with a relatively significant passive flow: SK Innovation (096770), SK IE Technology (361610), Ecopro BM (247540), &amp; Ecopro (086520) 


FnGuide Secondary Battery Index (KODEX ETF) Rebalancing Preview

Event-Driven

Mirae Asset TIGER Secondary Cell ETF / Event-Driven

Mirae Asset TIGER Secondary Cell ETF (305540 KS)

<ul>
<li>In general, the projection hit rate for the top market cap constituents was sufficiently high. And the correlation between their stock price direction and passive flow was also high.</li>
<li>However, the projection hit rate for the constituents with a small market cap was relatively low.</li>
<li>If we traded the proposed tradable names with an equal-weighted Long/Short basket, we would have achieved a return of 1.76%. Even excluding Hanjin Kal, we would have achieved 1.31%.</li>
</ul>


In general, the projection hit rate for the top market cap constituents was sufficiently high. And the correlation between their stock price direction and passive flow was also high.
However, the projection hit rate for the constituents with a small market cap was relatively low.
If we traded the proposed tradable names with an equal-weighted Long/Short basket, we would have achieved a return of 1.76%. Even excluding Hanjin Kal, we would have achieved 1.31%.


Recap on WISE Theme Indexes (TIGER ETFs) Rebalancing Trading on April 14

<ul>
<li>Three WISE theme indexes undergo quarterly rebalancing today at the close.</li>
<li>The flow projections shown below in the DETAIL are based on the closing prices of April 12.</li>
<li>We have 13 Long/Short tradable names based on these flow projections: an ADTV of at least ₩10B &amp; a passive flow impact of 0.10x ADTV or more</li>
</ul>


Three WISE theme indexes undergo quarterly rebalancing today at the close.
The flow projections shown below in the DETAIL are based on the closing prices of April 12.
We have 13 Long/Short tradable names based on these flow projections: an ADTV of at least ₩10B &amp; a passive flow impact of 0.10x ADTV or more


WISE Theme Indexes Rebalancing Today: Flow Projections as of Close on April 12

HD Hyundai Heavy Industries  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>KOSPI has seven lockup release events that are likely to hit the market. And all of them are IPO institutional and ESOP lockups.</li>
<li>Whether these IPO institutional/ESOP lockups will hit the market directly correlates with the return size from the offering price. And most of them are still far above the offering price.</li>
<li>Therefore, it is highly likely that a meaningful share price correction will occur on each release date. This correlation pattern has been more pronounced in recent lockup release events.</li>
</ul>


KOSPI has seven lockup release events that are likely to hit the market. And all of them are IPO institutional and ESOP lockups.
Whether these IPO institutional/ESOP lockups will hit the market directly correlates with the return size from the offering price. And most of them are still far above the offering price.
Therefore, it is highly likely that a meaningful share price correction will occur on each release date. This correlation pattern has been more pronounced in recent lockup release events.


KOSPI Lockup Releases & Likelihood of Hitting the Market

<ul>
<li>FnGuide Battery Index overlaps with the rebalancing of the KRX K-New Deal. K-New Deal is March 11. As for FnGuide Battery, it will be three trading days on March 14-16.</li>
<li>Among the top-cap stocks, Samsung SDI will be the biggest beneficiary, and we need to consider a setup that utilizes Samsung SDI as a long/short partner for LG Chem.</li>
<li>LG Chem's staying significant distorts mid-caps' index weight in KRX Battery. The extent of passive outflows would be pretty substantial. So, outright short these mid-caps should deserve our attention.</li>
</ul>


FnGuide Battery Index overlaps with the rebalancing of the KRX K-New Deal. K-New Deal is March 11. As for FnGuide Battery, it will be three trading days on March 14-16.
Among the top-cap stocks, Samsung SDI will be the biggest beneficiary, and we need to consider a setup that utilizes Samsung SDI as a long/short partner for LG Chem.
LG Chem's staying significant distorts mid-caps' index weight in KRX Battery. The extent of passive outflows would be pretty substantial. So, outright short these mid-caps should deserve our attention.


FnGuide & KRX K-New Deal Batteries: Combined Passive Flows Preview on March 10-15

South Korea

SK IE Technology Co., Ltd operates as a material solution provider. The Company provides information material solutions, electronic materials solutions, and other products. SK IE Technology conducts businesses across worldwide.

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SK IE Technology (361610 KS)

FnGuide Secondary Battery Index (KODEX ETF) Rebalancing Preview

This post previews the FnGuide Secondary Battery Index rebalancing in June. The tradable names at this point are SK Innovation, SKIET, Ecopro BM,...

Sanghyun Park

Recap on WISE Theme Indexes (TIGER ETFs) Rebalancing Trading on April 14

This post is a recap of our flow trading on the WISE Theme Indexes (TIGER ETFs) rebalancing, which was carried out on April 14.

Sanghyun Park

WISE Theme Indexes Rebalancing Today: Flow Projections as of Close on April 12

Three WISE Theme Indexes undergo quarterly rebalancing today at the close. This post screens 13 tradable names for a Long/Short basket day trading.

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI Lockup Releases & Likelihood of Hitting the Market

This post details the KOSPI lockup releases from now to the end of May. Seven lockup release events are considered a high likelihood of hitting the...

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FnGuide & KRX K-New Deal Batteries: Combined Passive Flows Preview on March 10-15

This post estimates the combined passive flows of Korea's local battery stocks from the rebalancings of the FnGuide Battery Index and the KRX K-New...

Sanghyun Park

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