Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>After the market close on 23 June, SK Innovation (096770 KS) announced that the company will conduct a rights offering worth 1.2 trillion won. </li>
<li>We have a positive view on SK Innovation's rights offering of 1.2 trillion won. The expected rights offering price is 143,800 won which is 21% discount to current price. </li>
<li>Although we have a positive view of SK Innovation over the next 12 months, its share price could face some weakness in the near term due to this capital increase. </li>
</ul>


After the market close on 23 June, SK Innovation (096770 KS) announced that the company will conduct a rights offering worth 1.2 trillion won. 
We have a positive view on SK Innovation's rights offering of 1.2 trillion won. The expected rights offering price is 143,800 won which is 21% discount to current price. 
Although we have a positive view of SK Innovation over the next 12 months, its share price could face some weakness in the near term due to this capital increase. 


SK Innovation: Rights Offering of 1.2 Trillion Won at a 21% Discount to Current Price

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 3Q 2023.</li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 22 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos YTD and 16 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.</li>
<li>We highlight 38 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 3Q 2023.
Of the 38 pair trades, 22 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos YTD and 16 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.
We highlight 38 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 3Q 2023

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SKC Co Ltd (011790 KS) announced on 29 April that it plans to change into an intermediate holding company.</li>
<li>We believe that the formation of an intermediate holding company structure could have a negative impact on SKC's share price. </li>
<li>This is because some investors may be concerned that SKC may try to complete IPOs of some of its valuable subsidiaries including SKCFT Holdings without adequate protection for SKC shareholders.</li>
</ul>


SKC Co Ltd (011790 KS) announced on 29 April that it plans to change into an intermediate holding company.
We believe that the formation of an intermediate holding company structure could have a negative impact on SKC's share price. 
This is because some investors may be concerned that SKC may try to complete IPOs of some of its valuable subsidiaries including SKCFT Holdings without adequate protection for SKC shareholders.


SKC Co: Formation of an Intermediate Holding Company

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>We should seize the arbitrage trading opportunities between SSF and subscription rights during the rights trading window. SK Innovation's SSF is highly liquid, being traded at nearly 0.5x spot.</li>
<li>The key is to catch the timing of basis widening. SK Innovation traditionally experiences significant intraday basis fluctuations, making it a crucial factor in maximizing our profitability.</li>
<li>The ex-date play, betting on the tendency for prices to close above the base price on the ex-date, may not hold significant appeal. This pattern has become less pronounced recently.</li>
</ul>


We should seize the arbitrage trading opportunities between SSF and subscription rights during the rights trading window. SK Innovation's SSF is highly liquid, being traded at nearly 0.5x spot.
The key is to catch the timing of basis widening. SK Innovation traditionally experiences significant intraday basis fluctuations, making it a crucial factor in maximizing our profitability.
The ex-date play, betting on the tendency for prices to close above the base price on the ex-date, may not hold significant appeal. This pattern has become less pronounced recently.


What Arb Trading Opportunities Should We Target in SK Innovation's Rights Offering?

<ul>
<li>It has been reported that SK On received 1.2 trillion won investment from a consortium led by MBK Partners and SNB Capital, valuing SK On at about 25 trillion won.</li>
<li>Our SoTP valuation of SK Innovation suggests a target price of 274,738 won per share, which represents a 38% higher levels than current price.</li>
<li>SK Innovation's 96.5% stake in SK On (24.1 trillion won in value) is 130% higher than SK Innovation's current market cap.</li>
</ul>


It has been reported that SK On received 1.2 trillion won investment from a consortium led by MBK Partners and SNB Capital, valuing SK On at about 25 trillion won.
Our SoTP valuation of SK Innovation suggests a target price of 274,738 won per share, which represents a 38% higher levels than current price.
SK Innovation's 96.5% stake in SK On (24.1 trillion won in value) is 130% higher than SK Innovation's current market cap.


Higher Private Market Valuation of SK On: Positive Impact on SK Innovation

South Korea

SK Innovation Co., Ltd. refines, markets, and distributes oil.  The Company produces a variety of petroleum products, such as gasoline, kerosene, liquefied petroleumgas (LPG), and diesel oil.  SK Energy also manufactures petrochemical p roducts, including paraxylene, synthetic resins, styrene monomer, and ethylene.

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SK Innovation (096770 KS)

SK Innovation: Rights Offering of 1.2 Trillion Won at a 21% Discount to Current Price

On 2 August, SK Innovation announced that its rights offering amount will be raised to 1.3 trillion won (higher than the original expected amount...

Douglas Kim

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 3Q 2023

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 3Q 2023. We highlight 38 pair trades that...

Douglas Kim

SKC Co: Formation of an Intermediate Holding Company

This insight provides additional details of SKC which has announced highly aggressive investment plans to expand its rechargeable batteries and...

Douglas Kim

What Arb Trading Opportunities Should We Target in SK Innovation's Rights Offering?

This post delves into potential arbitrage trading prospects that could be capitalized upon through SK Innovation's ₩1T rights offering.

Sanghyun Park

Higher Private Market Valuation of SK On: Positive Impact on SK Innovation

SK Innovation's 96.5% stake in SK On (24.1 trillion won in value) is 130% higher than SK Innovation's current market cap.

Douglas Kim

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