Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

S&P BSE SENSEX Index / Technical Analysis

S&P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>Our 2023 outlook remains unchanged as we continue to expect broad-based consolidation with $93 capping upside on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), while important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.</li>
<li>We still recommend tactical overweight to defensives including gold miners and MSCI ACWI Staples, Health Care, and Utilities, given ACWI-US remains near the top of our expected 2023 trading range.</li>
<li>We are now starting to see broad-based improvement, particularly in Japan and India, but also in Taiwan and South Korea. Most of today's buy recommendations are cyclicals in these countries.</li>
</ul>


Our 2023 outlook remains unchanged as we continue to expect broad-based consolidation with $93 capping upside on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), while important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.
We still recommend tactical overweight to defensives including gold miners and MSCI ACWI Staples, Health Care, and Utilities, given ACWI-US remains near the top of our expected 2023 trading range.
We are now starting to see broad-based improvement, particularly in Japan and India, but also in Taiwan and South Korea. Most of today's buy recommendations are cyclicals in these countries.


Broad-Based Improvement in India, Add Exposure/Overweight. Buys: Cyclicals in Japan, India, & Taiwan

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Street sees end-August print with Solidigm tie in; total around 70 trillion won, mix buyback plus special dividend, staged from 4Q with multi year buyback and FCF linked quarterly payouts.</li>
<li>Near term narrative weak; immediate shareholder return signal unlikely. Faster Solidigm timeline could signal urgency on peak out risk and reinforce concerns rather than remove them.</li>
<li>Tactical setup; if stock catches a bid, play the pop, monetize relief, and rotate out rather than chase strength.</li>
</ul>


Street sees end-August print with Solidigm tie in; total around 70 trillion won, mix buyback plus special dividend, staged from 4Q with multi year buyback and FCF linked quarterly payouts.
Near term narrative weak; immediate shareholder return signal unlikely. Faster Solidigm timeline could signal urgency on peak out risk and reinforce concerns rather than remove them.
Tactical setup; if stock catches a bid, play the pop, monetize relief, and rotate out rather than chase strength.


Latest Read on Hynix Shareholder Return and Solidigm Since Last Friday’s Filings

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 7th. The aggregated holding was USD1,463.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD548mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, SamsungElecMech, Samsung Elec (PREF), SK Hynix, Celltrion.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 7th. The aggregated holding was USD1,463.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD548mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, SamsungElecMech, Samsung Elec (PREF), SK Hynix, Celltrion.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 7th): Samsung Electronics, SamsungElecMech, Samsung Elec (PREF)

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jul 31st. The aggregated short interest was USD14.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, WONIK IPS, SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, JEL.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jul 31st. The aggregated short interest was USD14.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, WONIK IPS, SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, JEL.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 31st): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, WONIK IPS, SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-South Korea in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on KAL, SK Hynix, LG Display, SK Innovation, SKSQUARE, Shinhan Group, KB Financial, Samsung Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-South Korea in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on KAL, SK Hynix, LG Display, SK Innovation, SKSQUARE, Shinhan Group, KB Financial, Samsung Electronics.


MS-South Korea Index Earning Revision (Jul): KAL, SK Hynix, LG Display, SK Innovation, SKSQUARE

South Korea

SK Square Co., Ltd. operates as an investment company. The Company invests in semiconductors, information and communications technologies, and other industries. SK Square conducts businesses in South Korea.

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SK Square (402340 KS)

Broad-Based Improvement in India, Add Exposure/Overweight. Buys: Cyclicals in Japan, India, & Taiwan

Seeing broad-based improvement in India #SENSEX -- overweight/add exposure. We still recommend a tactical overweight to ACWI defensives with $ACWI...

Vermilion Research

Latest Read on Hynix Shareholder Return and Solidigm Since Last Friday’s Filings

This post shares the latest read on Hynix shareholder return and Solidigm following last Friday’s filing, including the latest local market chatter...

Sanghyun Park

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 7th): Samsung Electronics, SamsungElecMech, Samsung Elec (PREF)

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, SamsungElecMech, Samsung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 31st): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, WONIK IPS, SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, WONIK IPS, SAMSUNG...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MS-South Korea Index Earning Revision (Jul): KAL, SK Hynix, LG Display, SK Innovation, SKSQUARE

We analyzed MS-South Korea's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in KAL, SK Hynix, LG Display, SK Innovation, SKSQUARE, Shinhan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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