Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>This report identifies stocks at the extremes of their positioning or momentum ranges within our active Global EM fund universe.</li>
<li>We have pinpointed eight stocks either at their historical positioning extremes or undergoing significant changes in fund ownership, providing detailed ownership profiles for each.</li>
<li>HDFC Bank loses steam after merger, Nu Holdings surges to new highs, POSCO plunges to new fund ownership lows.</li>
</ul>


This report identifies stocks at the extremes of their positioning or momentum ranges within our active Global EM fund universe.
We have pinpointed eight stocks either at their historical positioning extremes or undergoing significant changes in fund ownership, providing detailed ownership profiles for each.
HDFC Bank loses steam after merger, Nu Holdings surges to new highs, POSCO plunges to new fund ownership lows.


Active GEM Funds:  Extremes in Positioning & Momentum

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss three key catalysts that are likely to positively impact SK Telecom in the next several months.</li>
<li>The current gap between SK Telecom's 2023 expected dividend yield (6.6%) and US 10 year treasury note (4.47%) is 2.13%.</li>
<li>The gap between SK Telecom's dividend yield and US 10 year treasury note yield could widen to 3-4%+ in 2024, making SK Telecom's dividend yield more attractive. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss three key catalysts that are likely to positively impact SK Telecom in the next several months.
The current gap between SK Telecom's 2023 expected dividend yield (6.6%) and US 10 year treasury note (4.47%) is 2.13%.
The gap between SK Telecom's dividend yield and US 10 year treasury note yield could widen to 3-4%+ in 2024, making SK Telecom's dividend yield more attractive. 


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX (022100)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kum-yang-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10364:1" rel="noopener">Kum Yang (001570)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom (017670)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotte-energy-materials-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7709:1" rel="noopener">Lotte Energy Materials (020150)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-games-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26730:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Games (293490)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pan-ocean-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5279:1" rel="noopener">Pan Ocean (028670)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bgf-retail-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26731:1" rel="noopener">BGF retail (282330)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netmarble-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22839:1" rel="noopener">Netmarble (251270)</a> have been on investors/traders radars recently.</li>
<li>There could be liquidity events in some of the stocks next month as passive index trackers look to buy/sell the stocks.</li>
<li>Foreign investors have sold <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotte-energy-materials-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7709:1" rel="noopener">Lotte Energy Materials (020150 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-games-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26730:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Games (293490 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pan-ocean-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5279:1" rel="noopener">Pan Ocean (028670 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netmarble-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22839:1" rel="noopener">Netmarble (251270 KS)</a> while buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bgf-retail-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26731:1" rel="noopener">BGF retail (282330 KS)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Posco DX (022100), Kum Yang (001570), SK Telecom (017670), Lotte Energy Materials (020150), Kakao Games (293490), Pan Ocean (028670), BGF retail (282330), Netmarble (251270) have been on investors/traders radars recently.
There could be liquidity events in some of the stocks next month as passive index trackers look to buy/sell the stocks.
Foreign investors have sold Lotte Energy Materials (020150 KS), Kakao Games (293490 KS), Pan Ocean (028670 KS) and Netmarble (251270 KS) while buying BGF retail (282330 KS). 


Korea - Positioning in Stocks That Could Have Global Passive Flows

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>As of last Friday, SKT has utilized 86.2 billion won out of the allotted 300 billion won for share buybacks, resulting in the acquisition of 1,810,242 shares.</li>
<li>If there are indications of the foreign room potentially falling to a risky level, SKT will likely proceed with an aggressive buyback, targeting 20-30% of the daily trading volume.</li>
<li>Another particularly intriguing observation is the absence of local retail flow directed towards SKT. This indicates there is still potential momentum for an upward price movement at this juncture.</li>
</ul>


As of last Friday, SKT has utilized 86.2 billion won out of the allotted 300 billion won for share buybacks, resulting in the acquisition of 1,810,242 shares.
If there are indications of the foreign room potentially falling to a risky level, SKT will likely proceed with an aggressive buyback, targeting 20-30% of the daily trading volume.
Another particularly intriguing observation is the absence of local retail flow directed towards SKT. This indicates there is still potential momentum for an upward price movement at this juncture.


Analyzing Proactive Flow Trading Targeting SK Telecom's Passive Movements

<ul>
<li>Foreign room in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom (017670 KS)</a> increased above 15% in July and is currently just above 16%. Foreign investors have resumed buying again and foreign room is moving lower.</li>
<li>Foreign room staying above 15% for another month could result in passive buying at the end of November. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom (017670 KS)</a> has outperformed peers over the last few weeks.</li>
<li>Foreign buying over the next month could lead to foreign room dropping below 15% in which case there will be no passive inflows. But the stock could be higher.</li>
</ul>


Foreign room in SK Telecom (017670 KS) increased above 15% in July and is currently just above 16%. Foreign investors have resumed buying again and foreign room is moving lower.
Foreign room staying above 15% for another month could result in passive buying at the end of November. SK Telecom (017670 KS) has outperformed peers over the last few weeks.
Foreign buying over the next month could lead to foreign room dropping below 15% in which case there will be no passive inflows. But the stock could be higher.


SK Telecom (017670 KS): Foreign Room & Passive Inflows

South Korea

SK Telecom Co., Ltd. is a Korean mobile and telecommunications operator. The Company provides cellular voice, wireless data, and wireless internet services. SK Telecom also offers fixed line services and platform services.

SK Telecom (017670 KS)

Active GEM Funds: Extremes in Positioning & Momentum

GEM Extreme Stocks. HDFC Bank loses steam after merger, Nu Holdings surges to new highs, POSCO plunges to new fund ownership lows.

Steven Holden

SK Telecom: Three Key Catalysts

In this insight, we discuss three key catalysts that are likely to positively impact SK Telecom in the next several months.

Douglas Kim

Korea - Positioning in Stocks That Could Have Global Passive Flows

There could be a big reshuffle in Korean passive portfolios in November as stocks are added/deleted. Shorts have increased on a lot of stocks and...

Brian Freitas

Analyzing Proactive Flow Trading Targeting SK Telecom's Passive Movements

This post examines proactive flow trading focused on SK Telecom's passive movements until the end of next month, with its ongoing share buyback...

Sanghyun Park

SK Telecom (017670 KS): Foreign Room & Passive Inflows

SK Telecom's foreign room is over 16% and the stock could see passive buying (and pre-positioning). Foreigners have resumed buying and the stock...

Brian Freitas