Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>KT’s foreign room is likely staying below 3.75% for November, setting up an ETF recall play. We've seen short-term buying pressure in similar past index reshuffles.</li>
<li>The ETF recall impact peaks right after the announcement. KT’s May downweight saw a 5% spike in two trading days post-announcement.</li>
<li>KT’s price moves more with downweights than SK Telecom’s because of higher overseas borrowing demand. This trend should hold, so setting up a position before the November announcement makes sense.</li>
</ul>


KT’s foreign room is likely staying below 3.75% for November, setting up an ETF recall play. We've seen short-term buying pressure in similar past index reshuffles.
The ETF recall impact peaks right after the announcement. KT’s May downweight saw a 5% spike in two trading days post-announcement.
KT’s price moves more with downweights than SK Telecom’s because of higher overseas borrowing demand. This trend should hold, so setting up a position before the November announcement makes sense.


Timing a Trade to Capitalize on KT’s November Global Index Deletion and the ETF Recall

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In the past week, there were numerous local news accounts about a rights offering of nearly 800 billion won by Kum Yang. This has not been confirmed by the company. </li>
<li>Although Kum Yang has not committed to a rights offering, there is a high probability of such capital raise in 4Q24 which is likely to dilute existing shareholders. </li>
<li><em><strong>Kum Yang remains a highly speculative stock. The management has lost so much credibility in the past year. We would stay away from it as far as possible. </strong></em></li>
</ul>


In the past week, there were numerous local news accounts about a rights offering of nearly 800 billion won by Kum Yang. This has not been confirmed by the company. 
Although Kum Yang has not committed to a rights offering, there is a high probability of such capital raise in 4Q24 which is likely to dilute existing shareholders. 
Kum Yang remains a highly speculative stock. The management has lost so much credibility in the past year. We would stay away from it as far as possible. 


Kum Yang: A Major Capital Raise Possible in 4Q24 Which Is Likely to Dilute Existing Shareholders

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Foreign investors have continued buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1112:1" rel="noopener">KT Corp (030200 KS)</a> and the stock has outperformed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom (017670 KS)</a>, though not by a lot. </li>
<li>Foreign buying has pushed foreign room in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1112:1" rel="noopener">KT Corp (030200 KS)</a> below 3.75% and the stock could be deleted from a global index at the next rebalance.</li>
<li>There will be some interesting trading dynamics in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1112:1" rel="noopener">KT Corp (030200 KS)</a> over the next couple of months and there will be trading opportunities versus its peers.</li>
</ul>


Foreign investors have continued buying KT Corp (030200 KS) and the stock has outperformed SK Telecom (017670 KS), though not by a lot. 
Foreign buying has pushed foreign room in KT Corp (030200 KS) below 3.75% and the stock could be deleted from a global index at the next rebalance.
There will be some interesting trading dynamics in KT Corp (030200 KS) over the next couple of months and there will be trading opportunities versus its peers.


KT Corp (030200 KS): Foreign Room Drops Below Critical Level; Passive Selling to Come

<ul>
<li>KRX announced that both Hanwha Aerospace and the new Hanwha Industrial Solutions will be added to the KOSPI 200.</li>
<li>Since 2020, two K200 spinoffs had both companies remain: DL Holdings and DL E&amp;C in January 2021, and SK Telecom and SK Square in November 2021, with notable value increases.</li>
<li>This trade isn't risk-free and requires a sophisticated hedge setup, but the trading opportunities from this flow situation are worth close attention.</li>
</ul>


KRX announced that both Hanwha Aerospace and the new Hanwha Industrial Solutions will be added to the KOSPI 200.
Since 2020, two K200 spinoffs had both companies remain: DL Holdings and DL E&amp;C in January 2021, and SK Telecom and SK Square in November 2021, with notable value increases.
This trade isn't risk-free and requires a sophisticated hedge setup, but the trading opportunities from this flow situation are worth close attention.


Both Hanwha Aerospace Spinoffs Remain in KOSPI 200: Trading Value Gap Between Trading Suspension

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 9th which has an aggregated holding worth USD518.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,842mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), Sk Hynix (000660 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 9th which has an aggregated holding worth USD518.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,842mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), Sk Hynix (000660 KS).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 9th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix

South Korea

SK Telecom Co., Ltd. is a Korean mobile and telecommunications operator. The Company provides cellular voice, wireless data, and wireless internet services. SK Telecom also offers fixed line services and platform services.

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SK Telecom (017670 KS)

Timing a Trade to Capitalize on KT’s November Global Index Deletion and the ETF Recall

This post discusses the high likelihood of KT being booted from the November Global Index review due to its foreign room staying below 3.75%, and...

Sanghyun Park

Kum Yang: A Major Capital Raise Possible in 4Q24 Which Is Likely to Dilute Existing Shareholders

Kum Yang remains a highly speculative stock. The management has lost so much credibility in the past year. We would stay away from it as far as...

Douglas Kim

KT Corp (030200 KS): Foreign Room Drops Below Critical Level; Passive Selling to Come

KT Corp's foreign room has dropped below 3.75% and that could result in deletion from a global index in November. Foreign buying has been...

Brian Freitas

Both Hanwha Aerospace Spinoffs Remain in KOSPI 200: Trading Value Gap Between Trading Suspension

This post explores trading opportunities targeting the value gap for Hanwha Aerospace spinoffs before and after the trading suspension, driven...

Sanghyun Park

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 9th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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