Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.</li>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 49 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 1 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>There are a number of stocks that will have passive flow from global index trackers over the next few weeks, while some are potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2</a> in December.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.
Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 49 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 1 to SmallCap.
There are a number of stocks that will have passive flow from global index trackers over the next few weeks, while some are potential changes to the KOSPI2 in December.


KOSPI Size Indices: Passive Flows for Many Active Changes

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 8th. The aggregated short interest was USD10.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Silicon2, NAVER, LG Chem, KakaoBank, POSCO FUTURE M.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 8th. The aggregated short interest was USD10.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Silicon2, NAVER, LG Chem, KakaoBank, POSCO FUTURE M.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 8th): Silicon2, NAVER, LG Chem, KakaoBank, POSCO FUTURE M

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>On 11 August, SKC Co Ltd (011790 KS) announced that it will issue exchangeable bonds (EB) worth 125 billion won.</li>
<li>The exchange price is 114,714 won, which is a 14% premium to the reference stock price calculated based on the market price.</li>
<li>We are Negative on SKC's EB issue of 125 billion won which is likely to put a negative sentiment on its share price.</li>
</ul>


On 11 August, SKC Co Ltd (011790 KS) announced that it will issue exchangeable bonds (EB) worth 125 billion won.
The exchange price is 114,714 won, which is a 14% premium to the reference stock price calculated based on the market price.
We are Negative on SKC's EB issue of 125 billion won which is likely to put a negative sentiment on its share price.


SKC: Plans to Issue EB Worth 125 Billion Won

<ul>
<li>There are 3 stocks in Korea that could be deleted from a global index in August and that will result in large selling from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Short interest has increased in all 3 stocks since the resumption of short selling. Cumulative excess volume is higher in all stocks over the last couple of months.</li>
<li>Given the increase in shorts and positioning, there could be short covering in two of the three stocks. The third could still drop over the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 stocks in Korea that could be deleted from a global index in August and that will result in large selling from passive trackers.
Short interest has increased in all 3 stocks since the resumption of short selling. Cumulative excess volume is higher in all stocks over the last couple of months.
Given the increase in shorts and positioning, there could be short covering in two of the three stocks. The third could still drop over the next couple of weeks.


Korea: 3 Potential Index Deletions in August; Positioning Watch

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 1st. The aggregated short interest was USD9.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in HANWHA SOLUTIONS, Hyundai Motor, Samsung SDI, LG H&amp;H, Hanwha Vision.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 1st. The aggregated short interest was USD9.7bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in HANWHA SOLUTIONS, Hyundai Motor, Samsung SDI, LG H&amp;H, Hanwha Vision.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 1st): HANWHA SOLUTIONS, Hyundai Motor, Samsung SDI, LG H&H

South Korea

SKC Co., Ltd. manufactures a variety of films, including polyester films, silicon coated films, and inkjet films.  The Company also produces chemical products, such as propylene oxide, propylene glycol, and styrene monomer. In addition, SKC provides materials for photovoltaic.

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SKC Co Ltd (011790 KS)

KOSPI Size Indices: Passive Flows for Many Active Changes

There could be 49 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices in Sep. Among new listings, there could be 1 LargeCap add and 3 MidCap adds. There are...

Brian Freitas

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 8th): Silicon2, NAVER, LG Chem, KakaoBank, POSCO FUTURE M

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Silicon2, NAVER, LG Chem, KakaoBank, POSCO FUTURE M.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SKC: Plans to Issue EB Worth 125 Billion Won

We are Negative on SKC's EB issue of 125 billion won which is likely to put a negative sentiment on its share price. Valuations are unattractive.

Douglas Kim

Korea: 3 Potential Index Deletions in August; Positioning Watch

There could be 3 deletions in Korea. Flow varies between US$84m-US$100m and impact between 4-8x ADV. Shorts have increased, as has positioning....

Brian Freitas

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 1st): HANWHA SOLUTIONS, Hyundai Motor, Samsung SDI, LG H&H

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in HANWHA SOLUTIONS, Hyundai Motor, Samsung SDI, LG...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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