Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Increased console prices for Sony and Nintendo make them attractive as oversold defensive longs.</li>
<li>We may see a better day for the Heavies in Japan after the Sankei reported that the Govt. plans to revise its export guidelines for defense-equipment.</li>
<li>US Satellite plays gave up their SpaceX IPO news gains which is likely to deliver a few kidney punches to Japanese peers.</li>
</ul>


Increased console prices for Sony and Nintendo make them attractive as oversold defensive longs.
We may see a better day for the Heavies in Japan after the Sankei reported that the Govt. plans to revise its export guidelines for defense-equipment.
US Satellite plays gave up their SpaceX IPO news gains which is likely to deliver a few kidney punches to Japanese peers.


Japan Morning Connection: Sony Raises PS5 Prices Again as Memory Costs Bite

<ul>
<li>Google research touting a new memory compression technique exacerbated rotation out of memory names with Micron -18% and Sandisk -10% for the week.</li>
<li>Wafer names shrugging off the memory panic with Soitec and Siltronic higher with Sumco and Shin-Etsu set to follow.</li>
<li>SpaceX IPO buzz sent space names surging. QPS, Synspective and Astroscale all set for more upside today.</li>
</ul>


Google research touting a new memory compression technique exacerbated rotation out of memory names with Micron -18% and Sandisk -10% for the week.
Wafer names shrugging off the memory panic with Soitec and Siltronic higher with Sumco and Shin-Etsu set to follow.
SpaceX IPO buzz sent space names surging. QPS, Synspective and Astroscale all set for more upside today.


Japan Morning Connection: Kioxia Running Out of Steam as Memory Rotation Gathers Pace

<ul>
<li>ASML guiding for growth despite a big cut in China sales a positive roadmap for JP SPE also.</li>
<li>Memory prices continue to soar as makers stop issuing spot prices due to lack of inventory.</li>
<li>A LDP-JIP alliance makes a Takaichi PM-ship more likely. Watch as the satellites continue to fly.</li>
</ul>


ASML guiding for growth despite a big cut in China sales a positive roadmap for JP SPE also.
Memory prices continue to soar as makers stop issuing spot prices due to lack of inventory.
A LDP-JIP alliance makes a Takaichi PM-ship more likely. Watch as the satellites continue to fly.


Japan Morning Connection: ASML Sets the Tone for More AI Upside to Start in Japan

<ul>
<li>Wolfspeed formally goes into Chapter 11, but the upside for Renesas makes its recent write off look excessive.</li>
<li>Short interest for some Japanese autos has surged which points to a squeeze once US trade deal reached.</li>
<li>Space names should be back in  focus ahead of next week's 'Space Tide Conference' in Tokyo. Watch iQPS, Synspective and Sky Perfect JSAT for upside.</li>
</ul>


Wolfspeed formally goes into Chapter 11, but the upside for Renesas makes its recent write off look excessive.
Short interest for some Japanese autos has surged which points to a squeeze once US trade deal reached.
Space names should be back in  focus ahead of next week's 'Space Tide Conference' in Tokyo. Watch iQPS, Synspective and Sky Perfect JSAT for upside.


Japan Morning Connection: Japan Set for Wobbly Start on Tariff Threats but Impact Likely Short Lived

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We discussed in last week's June 19 report how bullish price and RS trends on Israel's TA-125 was our tell that global equities were looking past Israel-Iran tensions.</li>
<li>Now completely in the rear-view mirror.  We also discussed how we were expecting short-term support on ACWI-US at $123-$123.50 (6.5-month base support), and ACWI-US bottomed at $123.20 on Monday.</li>
<li>As a result, we remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
</ul>


We discussed in last week's June 19 report how bullish price and RS trends on Israel's TA-125 was our tell that global equities were looking past Israel-Iran tensions.
Now completely in the rear-view mirror.  We also discussed how we were expecting short-term support on ACWI-US at $123-$123.50 (6.5-month base support), and ACWI-US bottomed at $123.20 on Monday.
As a result, we remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).


Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding

Japan

SKY Perfect JSAT Holdings, Inc. is a holding company, which manages financial operations for its subsidiaries. As a group, the Company provides broadcasting and data transmission services via satellites. SKY Perfect JSAT delivers digital TV programs including movies, music, sports and entertainment to its subscribers.

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Sky Perfect Jsat (9412 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Sony Raises PS5 Prices Again as Memory Costs Bite

Defense heavies may catch a bid on export guideline revisions while Sony raises PS5 prices for the second time, with Nintendo and Xbox likely to...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Kioxia Running Out of Steam as Memory Rotation Gathers Pace

Memory rotation deepens as Google's compression research spooks the market. Softbank still has room to run on ARM's AI chip. SpaceX IPO buzz keeps...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: ASML Sets the Tone for More AI Upside to Start in Japan

ASML numbers sent Japanese SPE higher in the afternoon. Memory names continued higher. Defence and utilities traded better as chances look better...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Japan Set for Wobbly Start on Tariff Threats but Impact Likely Short Lived

Wolfspeed files for Chapter 11; Short interest in Japanese autos rises ahead of US trade deal; Potential for space sector to gain attention before...

Andrew Jackson

Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding

Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding on $ACWI ($123-123.50), $EEM ($46)

Vermilion Research

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Japan Morning Connection: Sony Raises PS5 Prices Again as Memory Costs Bite

Defense heavies may catch a bid on export guideline revisions while Sony raises PS5 prices for the second time, with Nintendo and Xbox likely to...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Kioxia Running Out of Steam as Memory Rotation Gathers Pace

Memory rotation deepens as Google's compression research spooks the market. Softbank still has room to run on ARM's AI chip. SpaceX IPO buzz keeps...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: ASML Sets the Tone for More AI Upside to Start in Japan

ASML numbers sent Japanese SPE higher in the afternoon. Memory names continued higher. Defence and utilities traded better as chances look better...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Japan Set for Wobbly Start on Tariff Threats but Impact Likely Short Lived

​Wolfspeed files for Chapter 11; Short interest in Japanese autos rises ahead of US trade deal; Potential for space sector to gain attention before...

Andrew Jackson

Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding

Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding on $ACWI ($123-123.50), $EEM ($46)

Vermilion Research

Wolfspeed files for Chapter 11; Short interest in Japanese autos rises ahead of US trade deal; Potential for space sector to gain attention before...