Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P DJI have proposed methodology changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices to enhance representativeness and more quickly reflect changing market conditions. The consultation conclusions could be announced next week.</li>
<li>The updated methodology could lead to 51 changes across the family of indices with implementation on 19 September. There will be a large impact on a number of stocks.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last several months and near-term performance has been spectacular for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and S&amp;P/ASX 300 Index changes.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P DJI have proposed methodology changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices to enhance representativeness and more quickly reflect changing market conditions. The consultation conclusions could be announced next week.
The updated methodology could lead to 51 changes across the family of indices with implementation on 19 September. There will be a large impact on a number of stocks.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last several months and near-term performance has been spectacular for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and S&amp;P/ASX 300 Index changes.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 25): Potential Changes if Methodology Is Updated

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On the 25 November 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-fleet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13984:1" rel="noopener">SG Fleet (SGF AU)</a> (SGF), an Aussie provider of fleet leasing services, announced a A$3.50/share non-binding/indicative proposal from Sydney PE outfit Pacific Equity Partners (PEP).</li>
<li>On the 4th December, both parties entered into a SID on the same terms. SGF's largest shareholder, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/super-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20972:1" rel="noopener">Super Group (SUPER SP)</a> (53.58%), was supportive. </li>
<li>
The Scheme Booklet is now <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250221/pdf/06fsctwmjwcj5f.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">out</a>, with a Scheme Meeting on the 8th April. Expected implementation on the 30th April. The IE (Grant Thornton) says fair &amp; reasonable.</li>
</ul>


On the 25 November 2024, SG Fleet (SGF AU) (SGF), an Aussie provider of fleet leasing services, announced a A$3.50/share non-binding/indicative proposal from Sydney PE outfit Pacific Equity Partners (PEP).
On the 4th December, both parties entered into a SID on the same terms. SGF's largest shareholder, Super Group (SUPER SP) (53.58%), was supportive. 

The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a Scheme Meeting on the 8th April. Expected implementation on the 30th April. The IE (Grant Thornton) says fair &amp; reasonable.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-fleet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13984:1" rel="noopener">Sg Fleet (SGF AU)</a> IE considers Pacific Equity Partners’ A$3.50 offer fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>The key conditions are shareholder (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/super-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44114:1" rel="noopener">Super Group (SPG SJ)</a> and SG Fleet) and regulatory (FIRB, OIO and FCA) approval. </li>
<li>The offer is attractive compared to peer multiples and represents an all-time high. At the last close and for a 30 April payment, the gross/annualised spread is 1.5%/8.5%.  </li>
</ul>


The Sg Fleet (SGF AU) IE considers Pacific Equity Partners’ A$3.50 offer fair and reasonable. 
The key conditions are shareholder (Super Group (SPG SJ) and SG Fleet) and regulatory (FIRB, OIO and FCA) approval. 
The offer is attractive compared to peer multiples and represents an all-time high. At the last close and for a 30 April payment, the gross/annualised spread is 1.5%/8.5%.  


SG Fleet (SGF AU): Scheme Vote on 8 April

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 26th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Paladin Energy, Beach Energy, Computershare, Macquarie, Brambles.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 26th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Paladin Energy, Beach Energy, Computershare, Macquarie, Brambles.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 26th): Paladin Energy, Beach Energy, Computershare, Macquarie

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 15th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in CSL, Paladin Energy, Macquarie, Emerald Resource, IDP Education, BHP, ANZ, Wisetech Global.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 15th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in CSL, Paladin Energy, Macquarie, Emerald Resource, IDP Education, BHP, ANZ, Wisetech Global.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 15th): CSL, Paladin Energy, Macquarie, Emerald Resource

Australia

SmartGroup Corp Ltd. is an Australian outsourced salary packaging company within the health, not-for-profit, State and Federal Government departments and corporate sectors nationwide.

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Smartgroup Corp (SIQ AU)

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 25): Potential Changes if Methodology Is Updated

There could be 51 changes to the S&P/ASX family of indices following the methodology changes. The forecast adds have outperformed the deletes for...

Brian Freitas

SG Fleet (SGF AU): 8th April Scheme Vote

This is done and trading tight. Currently trading at 1.4%/8.4% gross/annualised spread. Get involved here and on (any) dips.

David Blennerhassett

SG Fleet (SGF AU): Scheme Vote on 8 April

The offer is attractive compared to peer multiples and represents an all-time high. At the last close and for a 30 April payment, the gross...

Arun George

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 26th): Paladin Energy, Beach Energy, Computershare, Macquarie

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Paladin Energy, Beach Energy, Computershare,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 15th): CSL, Paladin Energy, Macquarie, Emerald Resource

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in CSL, Paladin Energy, Macquarie, Emerald Resource,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 25): Potential Changes if Methodology Is Updated

There could be 51 changes to the S&P/ASX family of indices following the methodology changes. The forecast adds have outperformed the deletes for...

Brian Freitas

SG Fleet (SGF AU): 8th April Scheme Vote

This is done and trading tight. Currently trading at 1.4%/8.4% gross/annualised spread. Get involved here and on (any) dips.

David Blennerhassett

SG Fleet (SGF AU): Scheme Vote on 8 April

The offer is attractive compared to peer multiples and represents an all-time high. At the last close and for a 30 April payment, the gross...

Arun George

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 26th): Paladin Energy, Beach Energy, Computershare, Macquarie

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Paladin Energy, Beach Energy, Computershare,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 15th): CSL, Paladin Energy, Macquarie, Emerald Resource

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in CSL, Paladin Energy, Macquarie, Emerald Resource,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 25): Potential Changes if Methodology Is Updated