Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There's little left in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sankei-real-estate-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35239:1" rel="noopener">Sankei Real Estate (2972 JP)</a> if Murakami-san is the sole blocker, as it gets done with him in the back end OR a big bump.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a> is trading around its highest implied stub, post <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smithfield-foods-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44251:1" rel="noopener">Smithfield Foods (SFD US)</a>'s spin-off. Forward growth drivers are more evident in Smithfield and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/henan-shuanghui-investment-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20515:1" rel="noopener">Henan Shuanghui (000895 CH)</a>.</li>
<li>For CSRC to pushback on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a>, it would need to clearly articulate, clear friction points surrounding the deal structure and/or systematic A-share market risks. Neither appears apparent.</li>
</ul>


There's little left in Sankei Real Estate (2972 JP) if Murakami-san is the sole blocker, as it gets done with him in the back end OR a big bump.

WH Group (288 HK) is trading around its highest implied stub, post Smithfield Foods (SFD US)'s spin-off. Forward growth drivers are more evident in Smithfield and Henan Shuanghui (000895 CH).
For CSRC to pushback on ENN Energy (2688 HK), it would need to clearly articulate, clear friction points surrounding the deal structure and/or systematic A-share market risks. Neither appears apparent.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Sankei Real Estate, WH Group, ENN Energy, Tekscend Photomask

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a> is still trading around its highest implied stub, post <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smithfield-foods-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44251:1" rel="noopener">Smithfield Foods (SFD US)</a>'s spin-off.  Forward growth drivers are in Smithfield and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/henan-shuanghui-investment-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20515:1" rel="noopener">Henan Shuanghui Investment (000895 CH)</a>.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on the WH Group are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



WH Group (288 HK) is still trading around its highest implied stub, post Smithfield Foods (SFD US)'s spin-off.  Forward growth drivers are in Smithfield and Henan Shuanghui Investment (000895 CH).
Preceding my comments on the WH Group are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: WH Group (288 HK) Still Trading Rich To Shuanghui And Smithfield

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener"></a>'s recent outperformance is predicted on a (perceived) greater flexibility to shift capacity/routes versus <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-china-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1080:1" rel="noopener">Air China Ltd (A) (601111 CH)</a>, and proportionately less Middle East exposure.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Cathay/Air China  - and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a> - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)'s recent outperformance is predicted on a (perceived) greater flexibility to shift capacity/routes versus Air China Ltd (A) (601111 CH), and proportionately less Middle East exposure.
Preceding my comments on Cathay/Air China  - and WH Group (288 HK) - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Cathay Air Outperforming Air China; And WH Group Outperforming Smithfield

<ul>
<li>If you like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a>'s Appraisal Rights case, buy. If a LO investor who held until now and bullish the market, sell now and replace your beta.</li>
<li>Current NAV levels for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a> are somewhat depressed. To a lesser extent, so is the implied stub (netting off the stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>).</li>
<li>China has established itself as the global EVs benchmark. But  expect increased competition, overcapacity, and in turn, profit squeeze. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfeng-motor-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:910:1" rel="noopener">Dongfeng Motor (489 HK)</a>is trading full ahead of VOYAH's spin-off.</li>
</ul>


If you like Toyota Industries (6201 JP)'s Appraisal Rights case, buy. If a LO investor who held until now and bullish the market, sell now and replace your beta.
Current NAV levels for Prosus NV (PRX NA) are somewhat depressed. To a lesser extent, so is the implied stub (netting off the stake in Tencent (700 HK)).
China has established itself as the global EVs benchmark. But  expect increased competition, overcapacity, and in turn, profit squeeze. Dongfeng Motor (489 HK)is trading full ahead of VOYAH's spin-off.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Toyota Inds., Prosus/Tencent, Dongfeng Motor, WH Group

<ul>
<li>13 months since <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smithfield-foods-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44251:1" rel="noopener">Smithfield Foods (SFD US)</a> was IPO'ed, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a> is currently trading around its highest implied stub, and narrowest NAV discount, inside a year</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on the WH Group are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


13 months since Smithfield Foods (SFD US) was IPO'ed, WH Group (288 HK) is currently trading around its highest implied stub, and narrowest NAV discount, inside a year
Preceding my comments on the WH Group are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: WH Group (288 HK) Trading Rich To Shuanghui And Smithfield

United States

Smithfield Foods, Inc. is an American food company with a leading position in packaged meats and fresh pork products. With a diverse brand portfolio and strong relationships with U.S. farmers and customers, the company responsibly meets demand for quality protein around the world.

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Smithfield Foods (SFD US)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Sankei Real Estate, WH Group, ENN Energy, Tekscend Photomask

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: WH Group (288 HK) Still Trading Rich To Shuanghui And Smithfield

Forward growth drivers are more evident in Smithfield and Henan Shuanghui. Short interest in WH Group continues to edge up.

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Cathay Air Outperforming Air China; And WH Group Outperforming Smithfield

It's a weak parent/sub relationship; however I'd be reversing Cathay vs. Air China here. I'd also look to reverse the WH Group stub. Shorts are...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Toyota Inds., Prosus/Tencent, Dongfeng Motor, WH Group

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: WH Group (288 HK) Trading Rich To Shuanghui And Smithfield

WH Group is trading full to its one-year average trading metrics, post Smithfield spin-off. Forward growth drivers are seen in Smithfield and Henan...

David Blennerhassett

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