Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Smoore International / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smoore-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28241:1" rel="noopener">Smoore International (6969 HK)</a> along with its executive director, Xiong Shaoming, plans to raise around US$884m via a top-up and secondary placement.  The company raised a similar amount in its IPO in July 2020. </p><p>We had covered the company's listing and that of its most comparable peer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rlx-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31113:1" rel="noopener">RLX Technology Inc (RLX US)</a> as well. </p><div><div><h2>Our previous coverage on Smoore International</h2></div></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/smoore-tech-pre-ipo-6y-and-1h2019-financials-show-technology-driven-growth" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Smoore Tech (麦克韦尔) Pre-IPO: 6Y and 1H2019 Financials Show Technology Driven Growth</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/smoore-tech-ipo-hidden-e-cigarette-player-behind-the-feelm-technology" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Smoore Tech (麦克韦尔) IPO: Hidden E-Cigarette Player Behind the FEELM Technology</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/smoore-pre-ipo-on-the-ground-visit-revealed-five-risks-in-china-market" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Smoore (麦克韦尔) Pre-IPO: On-The-Ground Visit Revealed Five Risks in China Market</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/smoore-intl-pre-ipo-tripling-capacity-in-three-years" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Smoore Intl (思摩尔国际) Pre-IPO: Tripling Capacity in Three Years</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/smoore-intl-pre-ipo-thoughts-on-e-cig-regulation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Smoore Intl (思摩尔国际) Pre-IPO: Thoughts on E-Cig Regulation</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/smoore-intl-pre-ipo-phip-updates-a-slow-yet-encouraging-start-in-2020" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Smoore Intl (思摩尔国际) Pre-IPO: PHIP Updates, A Slow yet Encouraging Start in 2020</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/smoore-intl-ipo-upside-in-the-absence-of-global-investors-stock-connect-in-2021" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Smoore Intl (思摩尔国际) IPO: Upside in the Absence of Global Investors, Stock Connect in 2021</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/smoore-intl-ipo-trading-visible-upside-as-peer-performed-well" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Smoore Intl (思摩尔国际) IPO Trading: Visible Upside as Peer Performed Well</a></li>
</ul></div>

Smoore International (6969 HK) along with its executive director, Xiong Shaoming, plans to raise around US$884m via a top-up and secondary placement.  The company raised a similar amount in its IPO in July 2020. We had covered the company's listing and that of its most comparable peer, RLX Technology Inc (RLX US) as well. Our previous coverage on Smoore International
Smoore Tech (麦克韦尔) Pre-IPO: 6Y and 1H2019 Financials Show Technology Driven Growth
Smoore Tech (麦克韦尔) IPO: Hidden E-Cigarette Player Behind the FEELM Technology
Smoore (麦克韦尔) Pre-IPO: On-The-Ground Visit Revealed Five Risks in China Market
Smoore Intl (思摩尔国际) Pre-IPO: Tripling Capacity in Three Years
Smoore Intl (思摩尔国际) Pre-IPO: Thoughts on E-Cig Regulation
Smoore Intl (思摩尔国际) Pre-IPO: PHIP Updates, A Slow yet Encouraging Start in 2020
Smoore Intl (思摩尔国际) IPO: Upside in the Absence of Global Investors, Stock Connect in 2021
Smoore Intl (思摩尔国际) IPO Trading: Visible Upside as Peer Performed Well


Smoore International Placement - Mixed Signals

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

RLX Technology Inc / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rlx-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31113:1" rel="noopener">RLX Technology Inc (RLX US)</a>, China’s number one branded e-vapour company, raised $1.4bn last week through an NYSE IPO. The IPO was priced at $12.0 per ADS, 20% above the upper end of the indicative price range. Despite the obvious health and regulatory risks, the success of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smoore-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28241:1" rel="noopener">Smoore International (6969 HK)</a> immediately following its IPO may have tempted investors to take part in the RLX Technology IPO, which was priced in line with Smoore’s current FY+2 EV/Sales multiple.</p><p>RLX shares opened trading at $24.57 per ADS, 105% above the IPO price, and ended trading on 22<sup>nd</sup> Friday at $29.51 per ADS, up 145.9% from the IPO price.</p><p>We were expecting around 20-25% short term upside from the upper end of the initial price range, despite regulatory and health risks (RLX to trade in line with Smoore International).</p><p>A significant proportion of the market already considers Smoore is overvalued at 21.0x 2022 consensus EV/Sales.</p><p>However, RLX’s 2022 EV sales of 51.2x made Smoore seem ridiculously cheap compared to RLX, even after adjusting for the revenue growth differential.</p>

RLX Technology Inc (RLX US), China’s number one branded e-vapour company, raised $1.4bn last week through an NYSE IPO. The IPO was priced at $12.0 per ADS, 20% above the upper end of the indicative price range. Despite the obvious health and regulatory risks, the success of Smoore International (6969 HK) immediately following its IPO may have tempted investors to take part in the RLX Technology IPO, which was priced in line with Smoore’s current FY+2 EV/Sales multiple.RLX shares opened trading at $24.57 per ADS, 105% above the IPO price, and ended trading on 22nd Friday at $29.51 per ADS, up 145.9% from the IPO price.We were expecting around 20-25% short term upside from the upper end of the initial price range, despite regulatory and health risks (RLX to trade in line with Smoore International).A significant proportion of the market already considers Smoore is overvalued at 21.0x 2022 consensus EV/Sales.However, RLX’s 2022 EV sales of 51.2x made Smoore seem ridiculously cheap compared to RLX, even after adjusting for the revenue growth differential.

RLX Technology IPO Trading Update: Long Smoore/Short RLX

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Quantitative Analysis

<div><p>The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.</p></div><div><p>Hong Kong saw shorts rise on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gcl-poly-energy-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3708:1" rel="noopener">Gcl Poly Energy Holdings Limited (3800 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> while there was short covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smoore-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28241:1" rel="noopener">Smoore International (6969 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao (6862 HK)</a>. Shorts increased on Financials, Information Technology, Communication Services and Health Care, and decreased on Real Estate.</p></div><div><p>In Japan, stocks that saw the most shorts were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lasertec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4126:1" rel="noopener">Lasertec Corp (6920 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seiko-epson-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16793:1" rel="noopener">Seiko Epson (6724 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zenkoku-hosho-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5537:1" rel="noopener">Zenkoku Hosho (7164 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a> while shorts decreased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advantest-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18107:1" rel="noopener">Advantest Corp (6857 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shionogi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19535:1" rel="noopener">Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thk-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19572:1" rel="noopener">Thk Co Ltd (6481 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anritsu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3700:1" rel="noopener">Anritsu Corp (6754 JP)</a>. Sectorally, shorts increased on Consumer Staples and Financials, while decreasing on Information Technology and Industrials.</p></div><div><p>In Korea, there were short positions put on in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-infracore-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3982:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Infracore (042670 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kia-motors-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:156:1" rel="noopener">Kia Motors Corp (000270 KS)</a> while shorts were covered in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amorepacific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20854:1" rel="noopener">Amorepacific Corp (090430 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12421:1" rel="noopener">Posco Chemical Co Ltd (003670 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electro-mechanics-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:539:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electro Mechanics Co, Ltd. (009150 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mirae-asset-daewoo-co-ltd-b50c4d95-1687-46cb-9b58-f79ce0e72670" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12061:1" rel="noopener">Mirae Asset Daewoo (006800 KS)</a>. </p></div><div><p>Stocks in Taiwan that saw the highest increase in shorts were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/e-sun-financial-holding-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:719:1" rel="noopener">E.Sun Financial Holding Co (2884 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-cement" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19736:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Cement (1101 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-financial-holding-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17677:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Financial Holding Co (2882 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-life-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:603:1" rel="noopener">China Life Insurance (2823 TT)</a> while shorts were covered on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/largan-precision-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9126:1" rel="noopener">Largan Precision (3008 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergreen-marine-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15428:1" rel="noopener">Evergreen Marine Corp (2603 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/walsin-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11084:1" rel="noopener">Walsin Technology (2492 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (2330 TT)</a>. </p></div>

The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.Hong Kong saw shorts rise on Tencent Holdings (700 HK), Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK), Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK), Gcl Poly Energy Holdings Limited (3800 HK) and Alibaba Group (9988 HK) while there was short covering on Smoore International (6969 HK), Great Wall Motor (2333 HK), China Mobile (941 HK), BYD (1211 HK) and Haidilao (6862 HK). Shorts increased on Financials, Information Technology, Communication Services and Health Care, and decreased on Real Estate.In Japan, stocks that saw the most shorts were Lasertec Corp (6920 JP), Seiko Epson (6724 JP), Zenkoku Hosho (7164 JP) and Itochu Corp (8001 JP) while shorts decreased on Advantest Corp (6857 JP), Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP), Thk Co Ltd (6481 JP) and Anritsu Corp (6754 JP). Sectorally, shorts increased on Consumer Staples and Financials, while decreasing on Information Technology and Industrials.In Korea, there were short positions put on in Celltrion Inc (068270 KS), Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS), Doosan Infracore (042670 KS) and Kia Motors Corp (000270 KS) while shorts were covered in Amorepacific Corp (090430 KS), Posco Chemical Co Ltd (003670 KS), Samsung Electro Mechanics Co, Ltd. (009150 KS) and Mirae Asset Daewoo (006800 KS). Stocks in Taiwan that saw the highest increase in shorts were E.Sun Financial Holding Co (2884 TT), Taiwan Cement (1101 TT), Cathay Financial Holding Co (2882 TT) and China Life Insurance (2823 TT) while shorts were covered on Largan Precision (3008 TT), Evergreen Marine Corp (2603 TT), Walsin Technology (2492 TT) and TSMC (2330 TT). 

Asia Short Interest: Tencent, Xiaomi, GCL Poly, Mobile, BYD, Lasertec, Advantest, Celltrion, Largan

<div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rlx-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31113:1" rel="noopener">RLX Technology Inc (RLX US)</a> has raised around US$1.4bn in its US listing. RLX is the largest branded e-vapor company in China with a market share of closed-system e-vapor products in terms of retail sales value of 48% in 2019 and 62.6% over 9M20. </p>
</div>
<div>
<p>In our previous note, links to which are below, we have spoke about various aspects of the deal. In this note, talk about the trading dynamics and provide a valuation table at different  share price levels.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>Links to our previous notes:</p>
</div>
<div>
<ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rlx-technology-pre-ipo-the-positives-fast-growth-low-penetration" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:46797" rel="noopener">RLX Technology Pre-IPO - The Positives - Fast Growth, Low Penetration</a> </li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rlx-technology-pre-ipo-the-negatives-limited-track-record-and-missing-international-ops" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:46836" rel="noopener">RLX Technology Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Limited Track Record, and Missing International Ops</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rlx-technology-pre-ipo-rlx-store-visits-to-relx-and-its-competitors" target="_blank" rel="noopener">RLX Technology Pre-IPO (RLX): Store Visits to Relx and Its Competitors</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rlx-technology-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-and-valuation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">RLX Technology Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison and Valuation</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rlx-technology-ipo-valuation-has-more-than-doubled-in-two-months" target="_blank" rel="noopener">RLX Technology IPO - Valuation Has More than Doubled in Two Months</a></li>
</ul>
</div>


RLX Technology Inc (RLX US) has raised around US$1.4bn in its US listing. RLX is the largest branded e-vapor company in China with a market share of closed-system e-vapor products in terms of retail sales value of 48% in 2019 and 62.6% over 9M20. 


In our previous note, links to which are below, we have spoke about various aspects of the deal. In this note, talk about the trading dynamics and provide a valuation table at different  share price levels.


Links to our previous notes:




RLX Technology Pre-IPO - The Positives - Fast Growth, Low Penetration 
RLX Technology Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Limited Track Record, and Missing International Ops
RLX Technology Pre-IPO (RLX): Store Visits to Relx and Its Competitors
RLX Technology Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison and Valuation
RLX Technology IPO - Valuation Has More than Doubled in Two Months



RLX Technology IPO Trading - We Won't Be Chasing

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rlx-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31113:1" rel="noopener">RLX Technology Inc (RLX US)</a>, China’s number one branded e-vapour company, has demonstrated strong growth since inception in January 2018. The company has captured 62.6% of China’s closed-system e-vapour products market during the first 33 months of operations and might find it difficult to maintain domestic revenue growth in high double digits range in future. Even though overseas expansion has the potential to offset the slowdown of domestic revenue growth, RELX’s performance in about 100 overseas markets was thus far unimpressive. However, the IPO valuation seems to imply sustained growth rates. Thus, we would avoid the RLX Technology IPO on long term investment standpoint. However, as a relative play, RLX Technology’s IPO valuation appears to be at a substantial discount to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smoore-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28241:1" rel="noopener">Smoore International (6969 HK)</a>, a recent HK IPO in the upstream portion of the e-vapour supply chain. We discuss the details below.</p>

RLX Technology Inc (RLX US), China’s number one branded e-vapour company, has demonstrated strong growth since inception in January 2018. The company has captured 62.6% of China’s closed-system e-vapour products market during the first 33 months of operations and might find it difficult to maintain domestic revenue growth in high double digits range in future. Even though overseas expansion has the potential to offset the slowdown of domestic revenue growth, RELX’s performance in about 100 overseas markets was thus far unimpressive. However, the IPO valuation seems to imply sustained growth rates. Thus, we would avoid the RLX Technology IPO on long term investment standpoint. However, as a relative play, RLX Technology’s IPO valuation appears to be at a substantial discount to Smoore International (6969 HK), a recent HK IPO in the upstream portion of the e-vapour supply chain. We discuss the details below.

RLX Technology IPO Valuation: Smoore International May Not Be The Perfect Hedge

China

Smoore International is a global leader in atomization technology solutions, specializing in the research, design, and manufacturing of vaping devices, components, and heat-not-burn products for corporate clients and under its own brands like Vaporesso and FEELM. The company also develops beauty atomization products. Headquartered in Shenzhen, China, Smoore International was founded in 2009.

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Smoore International (6969 HK)

Smoore International Placement - Mixed Signals

Smoore International (6969 HK) along with its executive director, plans to raise around US$884m via a top-up and secondary placement. The company...

Sumeet Singh

RLX Technology IPO Trading Update: Long Smoore/Short RLX

RLX’s 2022 EV sales of 51.2x made Smoore seem ridiculously cheap compared to RLX, even after adjusting for the revenue growth differential.

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Asia Short Interest: Tencent, Xiaomi, GCL Poly, Mobile, BYD, Lasertec, Advantest, Celltrion, Largan

The Insight looks at large short interest movements across HK, Japan, Korea and Taiwan stocks and highlights large increases/decreases in shorts to...

Brian Freitas

RLX Technology IPO Trading - We Won't Be Chasing

RLX Technology Inc (RLX US) raised around US$1.4bn in its US listing. RLX is the largest branded e-vapor company in China with a market share of...

Sumeet Singh

RLX Technology IPO Valuation: Smoore International May Not Be The Perfect Hedge

RLX’s IPO valuation appears to be at a substantial discount to Smoore, a recent HK IPO in the upstream portion of the e-vapour supply chain....

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

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