Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Recent SPE winners Kokusai, Screen and TEL set to open weak but excessive drops may offer an opportunity to add.</li>
<li>A positive for Softbank if the potentially less competitive marketplace for frontier models is seen as positive for OpenAI.</li>
<li>Fujitsu and NEC may offer a safe haven after strong overnight moves for software names following Guggenheim upgrades.</li>
</ul>


Recent SPE winners Kokusai, Screen and TEL set to open weak but excessive drops may offer an opportunity to add.
A positive for Softbank if the potentially less competitive marketplace for frontier models is seen as positive for OpenAI.
Fujitsu and NEC may offer a safe haven after strong overnight moves for software names following Guggenheim upgrades.


Japan Morning Connection: SPEs Face Pullback as Meta Enters Cloud Infrastructure

<ul>
<li>May see rebounds for biggest SPE losers over the week - Lasertec -14%, Softy -19%, Rigaku -12% and JX Advanced Metals -16%.</li>
<li>Expect a strong day for the Japanese optical peers, especially Furukawa Electric and Sumitomo Electric Industries.</li>
<li>Japanese telcos may face selling pressure as SpaceX talks with Charter about a consumer mobile offering and Rocket Lab looks to build out its own telecom network.</li>
</ul>


May see rebounds for biggest SPE losers over the week - Lasertec -14%, Softy -19%, Rigaku -12% and JX Advanced Metals -16%.
Expect a strong day for the Japanese optical peers, especially Furukawa Electric and Sumitomo Electric Industries.
Japanese telcos may face selling pressure as SpaceX talks with Charter about a consumer mobile offering and Rocket Lab looks to build out its own telecom network.


Japan Morning Connection: Memory-Exposed SPEs Primed to Rally on South Korean Semi Investment

<ul>
<li>SOX up ~80% this quarter, one of its biggest ever gains, making quarter-end profit-taking a real risk for high-flying AI names over the next two sessions.</li>
<li>Rohm, Fuji Elec, Renesas and Sanken likely to open weak after Onsemi -24% taken as a warning that there isn’t much upside for power/industrial makers in the DC arena.</li>
<li>European heatwave puts Daikin, Mitsubishi Electric and Panasonic A/C names in focus as a potential distraction from AI volatility into quarter end.</li>
</ul>


SOX up ~80% this quarter, one of its biggest ever gains, making quarter-end profit-taking a real risk for high-flying AI names over the next two sessions.
Rohm, Fuji Elec, Renesas and Sanken likely to open weak after Onsemi -24% taken as a warning that there isn’t much upside for power/industrial makers in the DC arena.
European heatwave puts Daikin, Mitsubishi Electric and Panasonic A/C names in focus as a potential distraction from AI volatility into quarter end.


Japan Morning Connection: AI Names Increasingly Volatile with SOX Reversal and Quarter-End Pressure

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>AI enthusiasm cooled as investors rotated out of the most richly valued technology names, favouring companies with visible earnings upgrades, governance catalysts and more resilient valuations. </li>
<li>Fujikura and J. Front Retailing outperformed for very different reasons, highlighting a market increasingly rewarding execution, capital allocation and stock-specific catalysts over broad themes. </li>
<li>With inflation firming and the BOJ edging towards further tightening, valuation discipline is re-emerging as a key driver of Japanese equity performance.</li>
</ul>


AI enthusiasm cooled as investors rotated out of the most richly valued technology names, favouring companies with visible earnings upgrades, governance catalysts and more resilient valuations. 
Fujikura and J. Front Retailing outperformed for very different reasons, highlighting a market increasingly rewarding execution, capital allocation and stock-specific catalysts over broad themes. 
With inflation firming and the BOJ edging towards further tightening, valuation discipline is re-emerging as a key driver of Japanese equity performance.


Japan Strategy Weekly | the AI Trade Grows More Selective

<ul>
<li>Should still be more upside after Micron’s AH numbers yesterday with many Japanese SPE names still a ways from their recent highs after correcting earlier in the week.</li>
<li>Still yet to see Furukawa, SEI and SWCC play catch up to Fujikura after strong guidance revision this week.</li>
<li>A negative read for JP game developers such as Nintendo and Sony after Microsoft announced price hikes for its Xbox.</li>
</ul>


Should still be more upside after Micron’s AH numbers yesterday with many Japanese SPE names still a ways from their recent highs after correcting earlier in the week.
Still yet to see Furukawa, SEI and SWCC play catch up to Fujikura after strong guidance revision this week.
A negative read for JP game developers such as Nintendo and Sony after Microsoft announced price hikes for its Xbox.


Japan Morning Connection: Room to Run with SPEs Still Below Recent Highs

Japan

SoftBank Group Corp provides telecommunication services.  The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

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Softbank Group (ADR) (SFTBY US)

Japan Morning Connection: SPEs Face Pullback as Meta Enters Cloud Infrastructure

Japanese SPEs may give back some recent gains on Meta's cloud move, though dips could offer opportunity. Space and software names may benefit from...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Memory-Exposed SPEs Primed to Rally on South Korean Semi Investment

Japanese SPEs with memory exposure set for a quarter-end rally. Furukawa and SEI in focus after Corning's breakout. Telcos face headwinds from new...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: AI Names Increasingly Volatile with SOX Reversal and Quarter-End Pressure

Japanese AI and semi names face a rocky quarter end with power/industrial stocks, memory names and Softbank all under pressure, while A/C names may...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Strategy Weekly | the AI Trade Grows More Selective

Investors shifting focus from AI to companies with visible earnings upgrades and resilient valuations in Japanese equity market as inflation firms...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Room to Run with SPEs Still Below Recent Highs

Japanese SPEs have room to run as AI rally yet to be fully priced in, with relative s/t laggards including Lasertec, TEL and Resonac.

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: SPEs Face Pullback as Meta Enters Cloud Infrastructure

Japanese SPEs may give back some recent gains on Meta's cloud move, though dips could offer opportunity. Space and software names may benefit from...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Memory-Exposed SPEs Primed to Rally on South Korean Semi Investment

Japanese SPEs with memory exposure set for a quarter-end rally. Furukawa and SEI in focus after Corning's breakout. Telcos face headwinds from new...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: AI Names Increasingly Volatile with SOX Reversal and Quarter-End Pressure

Japanese AI and semi names face a rocky quarter end with power/industrial stocks, memory names and Softbank all under pressure, while A/C names may...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Strategy Weekly | the AI Trade Grows More Selective

​Investors shifting focus from AI to companies with visible earnings upgrades and resilient valuations in Japanese equity market as inflation firms...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Room to Run with SPEs Still Below Recent Highs

Japanese SPEs have room to run as AI rally yet to be fully priced in, with relative s/t laggards including Lasertec, TEL and Resonac.

Andrew Jackson

Investors shifting focus from AI to companies with visible earnings upgrades and resilient valuations in Japanese equity market as inflation firms...