Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Vision Fund public portfolio closed Q3 in the black as gains for Didi and AutoStore offset weakness for Asian investments Goto and Coupang. We have included updated tables inside</li>
<li>On a yen basis, however, Softbank will likely post a Q3 segment loss for Vision Fund as a weaker dollar more than offsets the local currency gains.  </li>
<li>SBG shares have traded close to the 35% discount to NAV level since end-November but that could expand if sentiment on China weakens or tech valuations remain volatile</li>
</ul>


The Vision Fund public portfolio closed Q3 in the black as gains for Didi and AutoStore offset weakness for Asian investments Goto and Coupang. We have included updated tables inside
On a yen basis, however, Softbank will likely post a Q3 segment loss for Vision Fund as a weaker dollar more than offsets the local currency gains.  
SBG shares have traded close to the 35% discount to NAV level since end-November but that could expand if sentiment on China weakens or tech valuations remain volatile


Softbank Group - Vision Fund: Gains on Dollar Basis in Q3 but Stronger Yen Points to Quarterly Loss

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Although there are some points to iron out, Fortress Investment is in the final stages of negotiation to purchase Sogo Seibu from Seven &amp; I, with Yodobashi Camera as partner. </li>
<li>This is an exciting move for Yodobashi as it should be an excellent choice to leverage Sogo Seibu’s better locations and create more competition for rivals like Bic Camera.</li>
<li>Even so, some stores will no longer have a future under their existing banners and the acquisition will mark the final demise of a 170 year old brand and company.</li>
</ul>


Although there are some points to iron out, Fortress Investment is in the final stages of negotiation to purchase Sogo Seibu from Seven &amp; I, with Yodobashi Camera as partner. 
This is an exciting move for Yodobashi as it should be an excellent choice to leverage Sogo Seibu’s better locations and create more competition for rivals like Bic Camera.
Even so, some stores will no longer have a future under their existing banners and the acquisition will mark the final demise of a 170 year old brand and company.


Yodobashi to Become Top 10 Retailer in Sogo Seibu Deal with Fortress

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>While most of the semi industry is reducing capex due to market weakness -- Samsung says it will still expand capacity next year.</li>
<li>China chip restrictions get more severe -- Now Arm is not selling its most advanced chip architectures to Chinese firms.</li>
<li>TSMC in advanced talks to set up its first European production capacity in Germany.</li>
</ul>


While most of the semi industry is reducing capex due to market weakness -- Samsung says it will still expand capacity next year.
China chip restrictions get more severe -- Now Arm is not selling its most advanced chip architectures to Chinese firms.
TSMC in advanced talks to set up its first European production capacity in Germany.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung Will Keep Expanding Capacity, China Chip Restrictions Tighten Further

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<p>Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.</p>In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/kawasan-industri-jababeka-tbk-pt' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Kawasan Industri Jababeka</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-south-city-holdings' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China South City</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/guangzhou-r-f-properties-h' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Guangzhou R&F Properties</a></li><li><a href='/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Sunac China Holdings</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Kawasan Industri JababekaChina South CityChina Jinmao HoldingsGuangzhou R&F PropertiesSunac China Holdingsand more...

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>GoTo pre-IPO shareholders were released from the lockup on 1st Dec 2022, which led to a 47% slide in its share price.</li>
<li>We had written about the upcoming lockup expiry in our earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/goto-ipo-lockup-expiry-us-13bn-lockup-release-or-in-other-words-the-real-ipo" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:84796" rel="noopener">GoTo IPO Lockup Expiry - US$13bn Lockup Release or in Other Words, the Real IPO</a>.</li>
<li>While the price appears to be settling down now, given the intra-day trading limits in Indonesia,  very little volumes have been transacted compared to the shares released from lockup.</li>
</ul>


GoTo pre-IPO shareholders were released from the lockup on 1st Dec 2022, which led to a 47% slide in its share price.
We had written about the upcoming lockup expiry in our earlier note, GoTo IPO Lockup Expiry - US$13bn Lockup Release or in Other Words, the Real IPO.
While the price appears to be settling down now, given the intra-day trading limits in Indonesia,  very little volumes have been transacted compared to the shares released from lockup.


GoTo IPO Lockup Expiry Follow-Up - Has Corrected but Has Traded Relatively Little Volume

Japan

SoftBank Group Corp provides telecommunication services.  The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

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Softbank Group (ADR) (SFTBY US)

Softbank Group - Vision Fund: Gains on Dollar Basis in Q3 but Stronger Yen Points to Quarterly Loss

Softbank Vision Fund's dollar-based portfolio appreciated in Q3 for the first time in seven quarters although segment losses may continue as a...

Kirk Boodry

Yodobashi to Become Top 10 Retailer in Sogo Seibu Deal with Fortress

The sale of Sogo Seibu won't make much difference to Seven & I but if the sale to Fortress goes ahead will make Yodobashi Camera into one of...

Michael Causton

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung Will Keep Expanding Capacity, China Chip Restrictions Tighten Further

China chip restrictions get more severe -- Now Arm is not selling its most advanced chip architectures to Chinese firms.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Weekly Wrap - 22 Dec 2022

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

GoTo IPO Lockup Expiry Follow-Up - Has Corrected but Has Traded Relatively Little Volume

GoTo pre-IPO shareholders were released from the lockup on 1st Dec 2022, which led to a 47% slide in its share price. While the stock has...

Sumeet Singh

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