Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> is about to release its earnings on August 7th. </li>
<li>The stock pulled back last week but this week is rallying. The rally can easily reach Q2 (12416) and Q3 (13003) resistance zones, if the earnings are good.</li>
<li>If the earnings are disappointing, look for initial support at 11145 (Q3).  If earnings are really disappointing, look at 10086 (outliers zone).</li>
</ul>



Softbank Group (9984 JP) is about to release its earnings on August 7th. 
The stock pulled back last week but this week is rallying. The rally can easily reach Q2 (12416) and Q3 (13003) resistance zones, if the earnings are good.
If the earnings are disappointing, look for initial support at 11145 (Q3).  If earnings are really disappointing, look at 10086 (outliers zone).


Softbank Group (9984 JP) Outlook (Pre-Earnings Price Range Forecast)

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">SoftBank Group (9984 JP)</a> reports Q1 FY2025 earnings on 7 August at 15:30 JST, with a conference call at 16:30 JST.</li>
<li>
Highlights: SoftBank’s post-earnings moves are often sharp and unpredictable — with outliers above ±12%. Options markets flag the results day as a high-volatility event to watch.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for investors or options traders focused on Japan: Understand how timing, historic patterns and current volatility pricing shape both opportunity and risk around SoftBank earnings.</li>
</ul>



SoftBank Group (9984 JP) reports Q1 FY2025 earnings on 7 August at 15:30 JST, with a conference call at 16:30 JST.

Highlights: SoftBank’s post-earnings moves are often sharp and unpredictable — with outliers above ±12%. Options markets flag the results day as a high-volatility event to watch.

Why Read: Essential for investors or options traders focused on Japan: Understand how timing, historic patterns and current volatility pricing shape both opportunity and risk around SoftBank earnings.


Softbank Group (9984 JP) Results on 7 Aug: Expected Move and Option Insights

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Softbank Group</li>
<li>The UST curve bear-steepened yesterday, alongside a selloff in long-dated UK gilts. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 1 bp to 3.79%, while that on the 10Y UST climbed 4 bps to 4.28%.</li>
<li>Equities advanced after US President Donald Trump announced that he had reached a trade deal with Vietnam. The S&amp;P 500 was up 0.5% to a fresh record of 6,227, while the Nasdaq rose 0.9% to 20,393.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Softbank Group
The UST curve bear-steepened yesterday, alongside a selloff in long-dated UK gilts. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 1 bp to 3.79%, while that on the 10Y UST climbed 4 bps to 4.28%.
Equities advanced after US President Donald Trump announced that he had reached a trade deal with Vietnam. The S&amp;P 500 was up 0.5% to a fresh record of 6,227, while the Nasdaq rose 0.9% to 20,393.


Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>SoftBank group (SBG) relies increasingly on Arm’s premium valuation for NAV growth, with SBG shares having benefited from their high correlation to those of Arm Holdings</li>
<li>JPY-USD FX strengthened recently, with the potential for BoJ monetary tightening and Fed easing set to accentuate this trend; SBG is USD asset heavy, and JPY heavy in its liabilities</li>
<li>The Vision Funds are slowly seeing IPO exits for private companies; in essence, we see that SBG shares are challenged by (geo)political, concentration, currency and market risks</li>
</ul>


SoftBank group (SBG) relies increasingly on Arm’s premium valuation for NAV growth, with SBG shares having benefited from their high correlation to those of Arm Holdings
JPY-USD FX strengthened recently, with the potential for BoJ monetary tightening and Fed easing set to accentuate this trend; SBG is USD asset heavy, and JPY heavy in its liabilities
The Vision Funds are slowly seeing IPO exits for private companies; in essence, we see that SBG shares are challenged by (geo)political, concentration, currency and market risks


SoftBank (9984 JP): Challenged by Portfolio Concentration and JPY Strength

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Softbank Group, New World Development</li>
<li>US Treasury yields fell yesterday. The UST curve bull flattened, with the yield on the 2Y UST declining 3 bps to 3.72%, while that on the 10Y UST was down 5 bps at 4.23%. Equities climbed to new record highs.</li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 rose 0.5% to 6,205, while the Nasdaq advanced 0.5% to 20,370. Contracted sales for China’s Top 100 developers in June declined 23% y-o-y but were up 15% m-o-m at CNY 339 bn, according to CRIC.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Softbank Group, New World Development
US Treasury yields fell yesterday. The UST curve bull flattened, with the yield on the 2Y UST declining 3 bps to 3.72%, while that on the 10Y UST was down 5 bps at 4.23%. Equities climbed to new record highs.
The S&amp;P 500 rose 0.5% to 6,205, while the Nasdaq advanced 0.5% to 20,370. Contracted sales for China’s Top 100 developers in June declined 23% y-o-y but were up 15% m-o-m at CNY 339 bn, according to CRIC.


Japan

SoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services. The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

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Softbank Group (9984 JP)