Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With 3 days left in the review period, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> has a 11.29% weight in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a>. That means double capping in March.</li>
<li>If <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> underperforms the other index stocks by 1.8% from now to the close on 31 January, there will only be a single level of capping.</li>
<li>Double capping will result in big selling on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> and big inflows into the other index constituents. Smaller impact for single level capping.</li>
</ul>


With 3 days left in the review period, Fast Retailing (9983 JP) has a 11.29% weight in the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX). That means double capping in March.
If Fast Retailing (9983 JP) underperforms the other index stocks by 1.8% from now to the close on 31 January, there will only be a single level of capping.
Double capping will result in big selling on Fast Retailing (9983 JP) and big inflows into the other index constituents. Smaller impact for single level capping.


Fast Retailing (9983 JP): Double Capping & The Reverse Funding Trade

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, we had a look at the possible A/H listing for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technolog" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)</a>, along with a few large IPOs in India .</li>
<li>On the placements front, while there weren't any large deals launched, we did look at the lockup expiry for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timee-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43690:1" rel="noopener">Timee Inc (215A JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanil-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43687:1" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric (062040 KS).</a>
</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, we had a look at the possible A/H listing for Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH), along with a few large IPOs in India .
On the placements front, while there weren't any large deals launched, we did look at the lockup expiry for Timee Inc (215A JP) and Sanil Electric (062040 KS).



ECM Weekly (27th Jan 2025) - CATL, HDB Financial, Dr Agarwal's, Eco-Shop, Vikran, Sanil, Timee

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>For the week, the Nikkei added 4.1% while the Topix gained 2.7%. Stocks were buoyed by a rebound in AI-related beneficiaries: Fujikura (22%), Softbank (+16%), and Advantest (+10%).</li>
<li>The “Magnificent Seven”  stocks have added a staggering $11 trillion in market cap since the start of 2023—an amount equivalent to two entire Japanese stock markets.</li>
<li>If investors want MORE U.S and MORE Tech exposure, Softbank has positioned itself at the front and centre of the AI revolution. </li>
</ul>


For the week, the Nikkei added 4.1% while the Topix gained 2.7%. Stocks were buoyed by a rebound in AI-related beneficiaries: Fujikura (22%), Softbank (+16%), and Advantest (+10%).
The “Magnificent Seven”  stocks have added a staggering $11 trillion in market cap since the start of 2023—an amount equivalent to two entire Japanese stock markets.
If investors want MORE U.S and MORE Tech exposure, Softbank has positioned itself at the front and centre of the AI revolution. 


Japan Strategy Week | SoftBank's Starring Role in the Stargate Revolution

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>Big gains in the US semi and DC related should translate into continued upside in Japan despite some BIG gains yesterday.</li>
<li>Wire and cable plays are all surging, yet the smaller side of the sector underperforms. Nidec good risk/reward into numbers.</li>
<li>HAMR rollout helping Seagate higher should also help memory/HDD component plays.</li>
</ul>


Big gains in the US semi and DC related should translate into continued upside in Japan despite some BIG gains yesterday.
Wire and cable plays are all surging, yet the smaller side of the sector underperforms. Nidec good risk/reward into numbers.
HAMR rollout helping Seagate higher should also help memory/HDD component plays.


Japan Morning Connection: AI Binge Buying Should Continue in Japan

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Tanvi Arora

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Greenko Energy, New World Development, Softbank Group</li>
<li>In the US, treasuries climbed slightly yesterday, amid a lack of macro news and as President Donald Trump held back from implementing tariffs on his first day in office. The UST curve bull flattened, with the yield on the 1Y UST declining 1 bp to 4.28%, while the 10Y fell 5 bps to 4.58%. Similarly, equities rose on the back of optimism that Mr Trump’s policies will boost US corporations.</li>
<li>This came after he unveiled a new investment push for artificial intelligence led by Softbank Group, Open AI and Oracle Corp (see comment below). The S&amp;P 500 climbed 0.9% to 6,049, while the Nasdaq was up 0.6% at 19,757.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Greenko Energy, New World Development, Softbank Group
In the US, treasuries climbed slightly yesterday, amid a lack of macro news and as President Donald Trump held back from implementing tariffs on his first day in office. The UST curve bull flattened, with the yield on the 1Y UST declining 1 bp to 4.28%, while the 10Y fell 5 bps to 4.58%. Similarly, equities rose on the back of optimism that Mr Trump’s policies will boost US corporations.
This came after he unveiled a new investment push for artificial intelligence led by Softbank Group, Open AI and Oracle Corp (see comment below). The S&amp;P 500 climbed 0.9% to 6,049, while the Nasdaq was up 0.6% at 19,757.


Japan

SoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services. The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

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Softbank Group (9984 JP)

Fast Retailing (9983 JP): Double Capping & The Reverse Funding Trade

Fast Retailing will be capped (again) in March - the question is whether it will be single or double. Passives will need to sell either 5x or 10x...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (27th Jan 2025) - CATL, HDB Financial, Dr Agarwal's, Eco-Shop, Vikran, Sanil, Timee

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Japan Strategy Week | SoftBank's Starring Role in the Stargate Revolution

Japanese stocks surged this week, driven by AI-related companies like Fujikura, Softbank, and Advantest. Softbank stands out for investors seeking...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: AI Binge Buying Should Continue in Japan

US gains in semiconductor and DC related should drive continued upside in Japan. Surges in wire and cable plays. HAMR rollout should boost memory...

Andrew Jackson

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Greenko Energy, New World Development,...

Lucror Analytics

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Fast Retailing (9983 JP): Double Capping & The Reverse Funding Trade

Fast Retailing will be capped (again) in March - the question is whether it will be single or double. Passives will need to sell either 5x or 10x...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (27th Jan 2025) - CATL, HDB Financial, Dr Agarwal's, Eco-Shop, Vikran, Sanil, Timee

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Japan Strategy Week | SoftBank's Starring Role in the Stargate Revolution

​Japanese stocks surged this week, driven by AI-related companies like Fujikura, Softbank, and Advantest. Softbank stands out for investors seeking...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: AI Binge Buying Should Continue in Japan

US gains in semiconductor and DC related should drive continued upside in Japan. Surges in wire and cable plays. HAMR rollout should boost memory...

Andrew Jackson

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Greenko Energy, New World Development,...

Lucror Analytics

Japanese stocks surged this week, driven by AI-related companies like Fujikura, Softbank, and Advantest. Softbank stands out for investors seeking...