Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>AI upside took a  break with the SOX index back at the ATH's, although the selling looks fleeting. </li>
<li>Memory names were up buoyed by Kioxia's big earnings print, with 4Q guidance pointing to a big uptick is ASP's.</li>
<li>Softbank booking a $4.2bn valuation gain for OpenAI...yet to be seen if the mkt agrees with the valuation.</li>
</ul>


AI upside took a  break with the SOX index back at the ATH's, although the selling looks fleeting. 
Memory names were up buoyed by Kioxia's big earnings print, with 4Q guidance pointing to a big uptick is ASP's.
Softbank booking a $4.2bn valuation gain for OpenAI...yet to be seen if the mkt agrees with the valuation.


Japan Morning Connection: Logistics Seen as the Next Industry Vulnerable to Disruption from AI

<ul>
<li>Expect the usual 'Takaichi trade' suspects to continue trading higher with the election result surpassing expectations.</li>
<li>US switches to risk, with tech and AI surging and NVDA clocking a +7.9% gain after the market decided big tech’s $650bn planned capex for 2026 wasn’t so bad.</li>
<li>Expect big gains for tech and SPE with the markets set to surge after US moves + election win.</li>
</ul>


Expect the usual 'Takaichi trade' suspects to continue trading higher with the election result surpassing expectations.
US switches to risk, with tech and AI surging and NVDA clocking a +7.9% gain after the market decided big tech’s $650bn planned capex for 2026 wasn’t so bad.
Expect big gains for tech and SPE with the markets set to surge after US moves + election win.


Japan Morning Connection: Takaichi Blows the Doors off and Secures a Super-Majority for the LDP

<ul>
<li>Amazon down -11% AH after its capex guidance seen as unjustified in light of earnings.</li>
<li>ARM makes a surprise turn around on DC upside...watch Softbank.</li>
<li>Estee lauder -19% with numbers not good enough to justify rally. -ve Kose and Shiseido.</li>
</ul>


Amazon down -11% AH after its capex guidance seen as unjustified in light of earnings.
ARM makes a surprise turn around on DC upside...watch Softbank.
Estee lauder -19% with numbers not good enough to justify rally. -ve Kose and Shiseido.


Japan Morning Connection: Risk-Off Mood Continues, but Semi-Caps Pick up After Google Capex Surprise

<ul>
<li>Alphabet announces massive capex plans well ahead of ests as a bright spot, but sentiment is down.</li>
<li>ARM and Qualcomm miss after hours as memory shortage concerns increase.</li>
<li>Home Builders rise on plans for low cost "Trump Homes" which may free up access to federal funding.</li>
</ul>


Alphabet announces massive capex plans well ahead of ests as a bright spot, but sentiment is down.
ARM and Qualcomm miss after hours as memory shortage concerns increase.
Home Builders rise on plans for low cost "Trump Homes" which may free up access to federal funding.


Japan Morning Connection: AMD Weakness Sparks Wide Spread Sell-Off Likely to Continue in US Tmrw

<ul>
<li>KLA dropped -15% after guidance underwhelms while Screen and Lasertec likely underwhelm.</li>
<li>Western Digital drops -10% despite beating across all metrics after its massive run higher.</li>
<li>Deckers +20% on good results for Hoka could be good read for Asics.</li>
</ul>


KLA dropped -15% after guidance underwhelms while Screen and Lasertec likely underwhelm.
Western Digital drops -10% despite beating across all metrics after its massive run higher.
Deckers +20% on good results for Hoka could be good read for Asics.


Japan Morning Connection: Gold and Silver + Soggy Semi-Caps Sets Dour Tone

Japan

SoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services. The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

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Softbank Group (9984 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Logistics Seen as the Next Industry Vulnerable to Disruption from AI

Software continued it's fall as AI fears gripped the market after a period of relative calm. With OpenAI probably listing this year, its likely...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Takaichi Blows the Doors off and Secures a Super-Majority for the LDP

With risk sentiment shifted up, look to play the bounce with Lasertec which was -17% after earnings miss and Kioxia which was -11% last week.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Risk-Off Mood Continues, but Semi-Caps Pick up After Google Capex Surprise

The market has been quick to punish lavish spending on AI. Qualcomm's statement about the shortage of memory chips will be negative for names...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: AMD Weakness Sparks Wide Spread Sell-Off Likely to Continue in US Tmrw

Bloodbath for tech and AI overnight led lower by AMD after earnings disappointed. Some rebounds in heavily sold software names after Jensen Huang...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Gold and Silver + Soggy Semi-Caps Sets Dour Tone

Asics may get a lift from Deckers Outdoor showing strong growth for brands outside the usual Nike/Adidas space. Lasertec's outlook guidance may...

Andrew Jackson

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