European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Silver Lake has announced its intention to launch a cash offer to delist Software AG at €30/share (53% premium, 12.7x EV/NTM EBITDA, 20.5x Fwd P/E), targeting 37% of the float.</li>
<li>The Board is suportive and Silver Lake does not seek a domination agreement. The offer price <strong>will not be adjusted</strong> by the next dividend (€0.05, ex-date 19 May).</li>
<li>My fair value estimate (EV/EBITDA based) is €26.54/share, the offer price seems adequate. The offer targets 37.6% of the float, feasible. Gross spread (incl. divi) is 0.97%, not terribly exciting.</li>
</ul>


Silver Lake has announced its intention to launch a cash offer to delist Software AG at €30/share (53% premium, 12.7x EV/NTM EBITDA, 20.5x Fwd P/E), targeting 37% of the float.
The Board is suportive and Silver Lake does not seek a domination agreement. The offer price will not be adjusted by the next dividend (€0.05, ex-date 19 May).
My fair value estimate (EV/EBITDA based) is €26.54/share, the offer price seems adequate. The offer targets 37.6% of the float, feasible. Gross spread (incl. divi) is 0.97%, not terribly exciting.


Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Wuestenrot & Wuerttembergische / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The March 2023 index changes for the DAX index family were confirmed after the close on Friday 3rd March 2023.</li>
<li>There will be one change for DAX, two for MDAX, and two for SDAX mostly in line with our expectations. Separately, there is also a change in TecDAX.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a closer look at our expectations for index flows and the recent price and volume performance of the names involved in the index rebalance event.</li>
</ul>


The March 2023 index changes for the DAX index family were confirmed after the close on Friday 3rd March 2023.
There will be one change for DAX, two for MDAX, and two for SDAX mostly in line with our expectations. Separately, there is also a change in TecDAX.
In this insight, we take a closer look at our expectations for index flows and the recent price and volume performance of the names involved in the index rebalance event.


Quiddity Flow Expectations for DAX Mar 23 Rebal: WUW GR Vs SDAX Seems Interesting

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELETEs for the DAX, MDAX, and SDAX Indices.</li>
<li>In the March 2023 review, I do not see any changes for the DAX index although a couple names are close to the border.</li>
<li>As it stands, I currently expect two more changes between MDAX and SDAX and one more ADD/DEL for the SDAX index based on the latest available data.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELETEs for the DAX, MDAX, and SDAX Indices.
In the March 2023 review, I do not see any changes for the DAX index although a couple names are close to the border.
As it stands, I currently expect two more changes between MDAX and SDAX and one more ADD/DEL for the SDAX index based on the latest available data.


Quiddity Leaderboard for DAX Mar 23: Linde DEL Triggers US$2.7bn Reverse Funding Flows

Germany

Software AG operates as a software development company. The Company enables enterprises to integrate, connect, and manage IoT components, as well as analyze data and predict future events based on artificial intelligence. Software serves customers worldwide.

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Software (SOW GR)

Silver Lake/Software AG: Agreed Offer

Silver Lake offers €30/share in cash (plus €0.05 divi), 53% premium, 12.7x EV/Fwd NTM EBITDA and 20.5x Fwd P/E, and intends to delist Software AG....

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Quiddity Flow Expectations for DAX Mar 23 Rebal: WUW GR Vs SDAX Seems Interesting

I would be Bullish SDAX ADD Wuestenrot & Wuerttembergische (WUW GR) vs the SDAX index because historically SDAX ADDs have clearly outperformed the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard for DAX Mar 23: Linde DEL Triggers US$2.7bn Reverse Funding Flows

The largest DAX member Linde AG (LIN GR) is expected to get deleted in February 2023 triggering extraordinary index changes and US$2.7bn in reverse...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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