Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX carve out gains on relief Bank rally; Energy leads on Oil supply distruptions; Tech lags on profit taking; Crypto in spotlight as US cracks down on Binance/CEO CZ</li>
<li>JAPAN. Nikkei Futs -0.5% vs Cash; USDJPY 131.6;  Diplomatic Row btw Japan-China brewing on arrest of Japanese national for spying; SMFG expands in Vietnam; Bullish Toray MTP</li>
<li>NUGGET. Softbank just cannot catch a break. Son-san ARM IPO to be wildly successful. $70bn IPO Valuation seem a tall ask. Can Son-san pull this one off ?</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX carve out gains on relief Bank rally; Energy leads on Oil supply distruptions; Tech lags on profit taking; Crypto in spotlight as US cracks down on Binance/CEO CZ
JAPAN. Nikkei Futs -0.5% vs Cash; USDJPY 131.6;  Diplomatic Row btw Japan-China brewing on arrest of Japanese national for spying; SMFG expands in Vietnam; Bullish Toray MTP
NUGGET. Softbank just cannot catch a break. Son-san ARM IPO to be wildly successful. $70bn IPO Valuation seem a tall ask. Can Son-san pull this one off ?


Good Morning Japan |More Bank Relief as SPX Gains 0.2%; NUGGET: Softbank- Just Can't Catch a Break

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.</li>
<li>Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).</li>
<li>Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.</li>
</ul>


This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.
Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).
Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.


U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: In Japan, currently two pair trade opportunities persist across one sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: In Japan, currently two pair trade opportunities persist across one sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Japan: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (20 June 2026)

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

The broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE) have pulled back to test key intermediate-term supports, and we expect to see buyers step in near current levels. Market dynamics remain largely healthy and our outlook remains neutral yet constructive overall. We see this pullback as a buying opportunity, however breakdowns would be problematic and would suggest additional downside or consolidation is likely.

The broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE) have pulled back to test key intermediate-term supports, and we expect to see buyers step in near current levels. Market dynamics remain largely healthy and our outlook remains neutral yet constructive overall. We see this pullback as a buying opportunity, however breakdowns would be problematic and would suggest additional downside or consolidation is likely.

MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE Testing Key Supports; Buy Ideas in Financials, Materials, Industrials

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently 14 pair trade opportunities persist across six markets and nine sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently 14 pair trade opportunities persist across six markets and nine sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (13 Jul 2026)

Japan

Sojitz Corporation is a general trading company.  The Company has business divisions such as Machinery & Aerospace, Energy & Mineral Resources, Chemicals & Plastics, Real Estate Development & Forest Products, Consumer Lifestyle Business, and New Business Development Group.  Sojitz was formed through the business integration between Nichimen and Nissho Iwai.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Sojitz Corp (2768 JP)

Good Morning Japan |More Bank Relief as SPX Gains 0.2%; NUGGET: Softbank- Just Can't Catch a Break

SPX carve out gains on relief Bank rally; Tech lags on profit taking; Crypto in spotlight as US cracks down on Binance/CEO CZ. Japan to follow. ...

Mark Chadwick

U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

This is now the third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes with bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals,...

Vermilion Research

Japan: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (20 June 2026)

Discover two Consumer Goods pair trade opportunities using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE Testing Key Supports; Buy Ideas in Financials, Materials, Industrials

The MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US) are testing important intermediate-term support levels of $99, $54, and $76.50...

Vermilion Research

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (13 Jul 2026)

Discover 14 pair trade opportunities across six markets and nine sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Good Morning Japan |More Bank Relief as SPX Gains 0.2%; NUGGET: Softbank- Just Can't Catch a Break

SPX carve out gains on relief Bank rally; Tech lags on profit taking; Crypto in spotlight as US cracks down on Binance/CEO CZ. Japan to follow. ...

Mark Chadwick

U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

This is now the third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes with bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals,...

Vermilion Research

Japan: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (20 June 2026)

​Discover two Consumer Goods pair trade opportunities using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE Testing Key Supports; Buy Ideas in Financials, Materials, Industrials

The MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US) are testing important intermediate-term support levels of $99, $54, and $76.50...

Vermilion Research

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (13 Jul 2026)

​Discover 14 pair trade opportunities across six markets and nine sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Discover two Consumer Goods pair trade opportunities using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Discover 14 pair trade opportunities across six markets and nine sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.