Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Yields continue to rise as investors flee US assets and Trump's bill adds to fiscal imbalance.</li>
<li>Weakness for yesterdays big tech/AI outperformers to be reflected in Japan, although new lows unlikely.</li>
<li>Suzuki should see lower levels into its secondary pricing next week amid tepid longer-term investor backdrop.</li>
</ul>


Yields continue to rise as investors flee US assets and Trump's bill adds to fiscal imbalance.
Weakness for yesterdays big tech/AI outperformers to be reflected in Japan, although new lows unlikely.
Suzuki should see lower levels into its secondary pricing next week amid tepid longer-term investor backdrop.


Japan Morning Connection: Markets Tumble on China/US Standoff and Outlook for Capital Spending

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokio-marine-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7591:1" rel="noopener">Tokio Marine Holdings (8766 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sompo-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:632:1" rel="noopener">Sompo Holdings (8630 JP)</a> aim to raise around US1.15bn (including over-allotment) via selling around 5% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuki-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:732:1" rel="noopener">Suzuki Motor (7269 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>While Suzuki doesn’t have much direct exposure to the US markets, its shares had corrected in line with other auto players going into the deal launch.</li>
<li>In this note, we compare the deal to some of the past deals and talk about the updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Tokio Marine Holdings (8766 JP) and Sompo Holdings (8630 JP) aim to raise around US1.15bn (including over-allotment) via selling around 5% of Suzuki Motor (7269 JP).
While Suzuki doesn’t have much direct exposure to the US markets, its shares had corrected in line with other auto players going into the deal launch.
In this note, we compare the deal to some of the past deals and talk about the updates since our last note.


Suzuki Motor Placement Updates - Relative Correction Has Been Decent so Far. But Lacks Buyback

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokio-marine-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7591:1" rel="noopener">Tokio Marine Holdings (8766 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sompo-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:632:1" rel="noopener">Sompo Holdings (8630 JP)</a> aim to raise around US1.15bn (including over-allotment) via selling around 5% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuki-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:732:1" rel="noopener">Suzuki Motor (7269 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>While Suzuki doesn’t have much direct exposure to the US markets, its shares have still corrected in line with other auto players.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Tokio Marine Holdings (8766 JP) and Sompo Holdings (8630 JP) aim to raise around US1.15bn (including over-allotment) via selling around 5% of Suzuki Motor (7269 JP).
While Suzuki doesn’t have much direct exposure to the US markets, its shares have still corrected in line with other auto players.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Suzuki Motor Placement - Not the Best Time for a US$1.15bn Deal. It Will Be a Long Week.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We discussed last week (Feb. 27 Int'l Compass) how both ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 displayed false breakouts, and to look for near-term pullbacks</li>
<li>We said expect pullbacks to range supports at $116 on ACWI-US and 5770-5850 or 5600-5670 on the S&amp;P 500 in the coming weeks, where we would be buyers.</li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 is testing the 5770-5850 range now, while ACWI-US is testing its 200-day MA at $117. It is possible ACWI-US finds support here. Upgrading Europe to overweight</li>
</ul>


We discussed last week (Feb. 27 Int'l Compass) how both ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 displayed false breakouts, and to look for near-term pullbacks
We said expect pullbacks to range supports at $116 on ACWI-US and 5770-5850 or 5600-5670 on the S&amp;P 500 in the coming weeks, where we would be buyers.
The S&amp;P 500 is testing the 5770-5850 range now, while ACWI-US is testing its 200-day MA at $117. It is possible ACWI-US finds support here. Upgrading Europe to overweight


Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. (S&P 500) For a Downgrade; Buy Gold Miners and More

Murata Manufacturing / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A group of shareholders aim to raise around US$900m via selling around 3% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/murata-manufacturing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11649:1" rel="noopener">Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP)</a>, in another cross-shareholding selldown.</li>
<li>The company’s shares haven’t done much over the past few years and recent share price performance as well hasn’t been the best</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


A group of shareholders aim to raise around US$900m via selling around 3% of Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP), in another cross-shareholding selldown.
The company’s shares haven’t done much over the past few years and recent share price performance as well hasn’t been the best
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Murata Manufacturing Placement - Recent Momentum Isn’t Particularly Strong

Japan

Sompo Holdings, Inc, is a holding company established through the integration of Sompo Japan Insurance Inc. and NIPPONKOA Insurance Company Limited. Through subsidiaries, the Company provides non-life insurance including marine, fire, and automobile, as well as life insurance.

Price Gauge
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Sompo Holdings (8630 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Tumble on China/US Standoff and Outlook for Capital Spending

Investors fleeing US assets and Trump's bill adding to fiscal imbalance causing yields to rise further. New lows unlikely for big tech/AI, today's...

Andrew Jackson

Suzuki Motor Placement Updates - Relative Correction Has Been Decent so Far. But Lacks Buyback

Tokio Marine Holdings (8766 JP) and Sompo Holdings (8630 JP) aim to raise around US1.15bn via selling 5% of Suzuki Motor (7269 JP). We compare it...

Sumeet Singh

Suzuki Motor Placement - Not the Best Time for a US$1.15bn Deal. It Will Be a Long Week.

Tokio Marine Holdings (8766 JP) and Sompo Holdings (8630 JP) aim to raise around US1.15bn (including over-allotment) via selling around 5% of...

Sumeet Singh

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. (S&P 500) For a Downgrade; Buy Gold Miners and More

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. $SPX for a Downgrade to Market Weight. $ACWI and $SPX likely bottoming here at 200-day MAs. Bullish...

Vermilion Research

Murata Manufacturing Placement - Recent Momentum Isn’t Particularly Strong

A group of shareholders aim to raise around US$900m via selling around 3% of Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP), in another cross-shareholding selldown.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Tumble on China/US Standoff and Outlook for Capital Spending

​Investors fleeing US assets and Trump's bill adding to fiscal imbalance causing yields to rise further. New lows unlikely for big tech/AI, today's...

Andrew Jackson

Suzuki Motor Placement Updates - Relative Correction Has Been Decent so Far. But Lacks Buyback

Tokio Marine Holdings (8766 JP) and Sompo Holdings (8630 JP) aim to raise around US1.15bn via selling 5% of Suzuki Motor (7269 JP). We compare it...

Sumeet Singh

Suzuki Motor Placement - Not the Best Time for a US$1.15bn Deal. It Will Be a Long Week.

Tokio Marine Holdings (8766 JP) and Sompo Holdings (8630 JP) aim to raise around US1.15bn (including over-allotment) via selling around 5% of...

Sumeet Singh

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. (S&P 500) For a Downgrade; Buy Gold Miners and More

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. $SPX for a Downgrade to Market Weight. $ACWI and $SPX likely bottoming here at 200-day MAs. Bullish...

Vermilion Research

Murata Manufacturing Placement - Recent Momentum Isn’t Particularly Strong

A group of shareholders aim to raise around US$900m via selling around 3% of Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP), in another cross-shareholding selldown.

Sumeet Singh

Investors fleeing US assets and Trump's bill adding to fiscal imbalance causing yields to rise further. New lows unlikely for big tech/AI, today's...