FLASH: UK Labour Market Momentum Remains Hawkish
The unemployment rate remained at 4.2% in May, but robust employment trends and a supportive cohort effect make another fall likely in June. Hours...
488 Views
FLASH: UK GDP Still Rebounding Toward 0.4% in Q2
Monthly GDP increased by 0.3% m-o-m in May, as expected. GDP remains on track to grow 0.4% q-o-q in Q2, and the BoE shouldn’t need the extra data...
402 Views
UK Politics: Leading Soft Brexit or Bust
Softer Brexit proposals presented a position that senior Brexiteers could not get behind, leading to both the Brexit and Foreign Secretaries to...
479 Views
Brexit: Bouncing Through Unstable Equilibria
There has been little progress in Brexit negotiations recently as the UK debates unviable positions with itself and the EU is intransigent over...
777 Views
FLASH: UK PMI Surprises Support August Hike
The UK’s services PMI stretched its recovery near to the heights hit around the last BoE rate hike. It also suggests strength beyond what I pencil...
591 Views