Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

The risk of a correction due to a “second wave” of infections has given way to optimism over increased monetary and fiscal stimulus and a potential COVID-19 steroid treatment. For now we view recent weakness as a countertrend move that helped correct the overbought conditions we noted last week. As long as the S&amp;P 500 is above the 2940-2980 support zone we remain bullish and view this as a buyable pullback. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary and Technology.

The risk of a correction due to a “second wave” of infections has given way to optimism over increased monetary and fiscal stimulus and a potential COVID-19 steroid treatment. For now we view recent weakness as a countertrend move that helped correct the overbought conditions we noted last week. As long as the S&amp;P 500 is above the 2940-2980 support zone we remain bullish and view this as a buyable pullback. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary and Technology.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Signs Point To Healthy Pullback Opportunity

The S&amp;P 500 is holding above 3000 and the 200-day MA breakout level. As long as the S&amp;P 500 is above this support level it tells us the bulls are in control. If there is a break below 3000, the next support levels to watch would be 2980 followed by the much bigger 2934.49 (the 61.8% Fib retracement) support level. Similarly, breakouts in the Dow Jones Industrials, small-caps (Russell 2000), mid-caps (Russell Mid Cap, S&amp;P 400), and the MSCI ACWI have held strong and all of these indexes show RS improvement. This is bullish as it indicates improving breadth.In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary: Sporting Goods/Leisure Products, Casinos &amp; Gaming, Small-Cap, Retailers, Discount/Variety, and Retailers, Sporting Goods.

The S&amp;P 500 is holding above 3000 and the 200-day MA breakout level. As long as the S&amp;P 500 is above this support level it tells us the bulls are in control. If there is a break below 3000, the next support levels to watch would be 2980 followed by the much bigger 2934.49 (the 61.8% Fib retracement) support level. Similarly, breakouts in the Dow Jones Industrials, small-caps (Russell 2000), mid-caps (Russell Mid Cap, S&amp;P 400), and the MSCI ACWI have held strong and all of these indexes show RS improvement. This is bullish as it indicates improving breadth.In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary: Sporting Goods/Leisure Products, Casinos &amp; Gaming, Small-Cap, Retailers, Discount/Variety, and Retailers, Sporting Goods.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bulls Remain In Control

Our base case continues to be for near-term consolidation while the market determines the implications of states’ reopening (i.e., the “wait-and-see” phase). Until this consolidation period resolves below support or above resistance we are maintaining a relatively neutral stance considering the wide range of outcomes. Many major indexes are testing logical resistance and until we see breakouts it is hard to get too bullish. In this report we highlight attractive stocks from a RS perspective.

Our base case continues to be for near-term consolidation while the market determines the implications of states’ reopening (i.e., the “wait-and-see” phase). Until this consolidation period resolves below support or above resistance we are maintaining a relatively neutral stance considering the wide range of outcomes. Many major indexes are testing logical resistance and until we see breakouts it is hard to get too bullish. In this report we highlight attractive stocks from a RS perspective.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Round Trip Back To Resistance

Key points:<ul>
<li>Energy names are showing signs of bottoming with the recent uptick in crude, and weakness in the U.S. dollar</li>
<li>REITs are continuing to firm up as rates have plateaued</li>
<li>Biotech stocks are continuing to show leadership characteristics</li>
</ul>Charts highlighted: AFI, ODP, SPWH, CVS, KMB, THS, CHK, KMI, RRC, AXS, ESS, KIM, APTS, KRG, REGN, NERV, NSTG, RARX, AYI, CFX, AXL, PAH, FNSR, TRUE, ALK, HA, SAVE, and PEGI

Key points:
Energy names are showing signs of bottoming with the recent uptick in crude, and weakness in the U.S. dollar
REITs are continuing to firm up as rates have plateaued
Biotech stocks are continuing to show leadership characteristics
Charts highlighted: AFI, ODP, SPWH, CVS, KMB, THS, CHK, KMI, RRC, AXS, ESS, KIM, APTS, KRG, REGN, NERV, NSTG, RARX, AYI, CFX, AXL, PAH, FNSR, TRUE, ALK, HA, SAVE, and PEGI

Technically Attractive U.S. Stocks for Value Investors

United States

Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides sporting goods, sporting equipment, bicycles, footwear, electronics, and apparels. Sportsman's Warehouse distributes its products throughout the United States.

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Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings (SPWH US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Signs Point To Healthy Pullback Opportunity

The risk of a correction due to a “second wave” of infections has given way to optimism over increased monetary and fiscal stimulus and a potential...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bulls Remain In Control

The S&P 500 is holding above 3000 and the 200-day MA breakout level. As long as the S&P 500 is above this support level it tells us the...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Round Trip Back To Resistance

Our base case continues to be for near-term consolidation while the market determines the implications of states’ reopening (i.e., the...

Vermilion Research

Technically Attractive U.S. Stocks for Value Investors

Key points: Energy names are showing signs of bottoming with the recent uptick in crude, and weakness in the U.S. dollar REITs are continuing to...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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