Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

CG Power and Industrial Solutions / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-June in July. There are companies with significant float changes from end-March and/or end-December.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in flow from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 11 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 5 could have passive outflows in August.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-June in July. There are companies with significant float changes from end-March and/or end-December.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in flow from passive trackers.
Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 11 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 5 could have passive outflows in August.


India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in August

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
Global chemical inventory levels are at decade lows, and product prices have begun stabilizing across key segments, signaling the early stages of a demand-led recovery. </li>
<li>The capex cycle is largely behind us, setting the stage for strong free cash flow generation even as select sub-segments like amines, fluorine, and pyridines see pricing and volume tailwinds. 
</li>
<li>We adopt a selective bullish view, with momentum expected in companies that have strategically aligned capex, strong product-market fit, and established global customer relationships. 
</li>
</ul>



Global chemical inventory levels are at decade lows, and product prices have begun stabilizing across key segments, signaling the early stages of a demand-led recovery. 
The capex cycle is largely behind us, setting the stage for strong free cash flow generation even as select sub-segments like amines, fluorine, and pyridines see pricing and volume tailwinds. 

We adopt a selective bullish view, with momentum expected in companies that have strategically aligned capex, strong product-market fit, and established global customer relationships. 



Thematic Report on What’s Different About the Chemical Recovery This Time?

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 20 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June. We had correctly forecast 39 of the 40 changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 68.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 160bn (US$1.9bn). There are 22 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The Financials sector has 9 net inclusions to the index while the Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors have 2 net deletions each.</li>
</ul>


There are 20 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June. We had correctly forecast 39 of the 40 changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 68.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 160bn (US$1.9bn). There are 22 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
The Financials sector has 9 net inclusions to the index while the Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors have 2 net deletions each.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

<ul>
<li>There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).</li>
<li>Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.</li>
</ul>


There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).
Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pvr-inox-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10144:1" rel="noopener">Pvr Inox (PVRINOX IN)</a> reports wider Q4 loss due to weak film releases, urban spending slowdown, and decline in audience turnout.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank (IIB IN)</a> faces scrutiny over derivative accounting discrepancy, with auditors questioning if it should be classified as fraud.</li>
<li>Shares of China+1 stocks, including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dixon-technologies-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25486:1" rel="noopener">Dixon Technologies India Ltd (DIXON IN)</a> , Welspun, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/srf-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3601:1" rel="noopener">SRF Ltd (SRF IN)</a> , dip after US-China trade deal reduces tariff uncertainty.</li>
</ul>



Pvr Inox (PVRINOX IN) reports wider Q4 loss due to weak film releases, urban spending slowdown, and decline in audience turnout.

Indusind Bank (IIB IN) faces scrutiny over derivative accounting discrepancy, with auditors questioning if it should be classified as fraud.
Shares of China+1 stocks, including Dixon Technologies India Ltd (DIXON IN) , Welspun, and SRF Ltd (SRF IN) , dip after US-China trade deal reduces tariff uncertainty.


#145 India Insight: PVR Inox Posts Wider Q4 Loss, IndusInd Faces Audit Scrutiny, China+1 Stocks Dip

India

SRF Limited is a multi-business Indian multinational engaging in the manufacture of chemical based industrial intermediates. The Company has a business portfolio that encompasses technical textiles, chemicals, packaging films and engineering plastics.

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SRF Ltd (SRF IN)

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in August

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 2...

Brian Freitas

Thematic Report on What’s Different About the Chemical Recovery This Time?

Global chemical inventory levels are at decade lows, signaling the early stages of a demand-led recovery. Selective bullish view on companies with...

Sudarshan Bhandari

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

The Nifty200 Momentum30 Index rebalances at the close tomorrow. Since announcement, the adds have outperformed the deletes (but only marginally)....

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

We forecast 20 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn). The...

Brian Freitas

#145 India Insight: PVR Inox Posts Wider Q4 Loss, IndusInd Faces Audit Scrutiny, China+1 Stocks Dip

PVRINOX IN reports wider Q4 loss, IIB IN faces scrutiny over derivative accounting, China+1 stocks dip post US-China trade deal.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in August

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 2...

Brian Freitas

Thematic Report on What’s Different About the Chemical Recovery This Time?

​Global chemical inventory levels are at decade lows, signaling the early stages of a demand-led recovery. Selective bullish view on companies with...

Sudarshan Bhandari

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

The Nifty200 Momentum30 Index rebalances at the close tomorrow. Since announcement, the adds have outperformed the deletes (but only marginally)....

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

We forecast 20 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn). The...

Brian Freitas

#145 India Insight: PVR Inox Posts Wider Q4 Loss, IndusInd Faces Audit Scrutiny, China+1 Stocks Dip

​PVRINOX IN reports wider Q4 loss, IIB IN faces scrutiny over derivative accounting, China+1 stocks dip post US-China trade deal.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Global chemical inventory levels are at decade lows, signaling the early stages of a demand-led recovery. Selective bullish view on companies with...

PVRINOX IN reports wider Q4 loss, IIB IN faces scrutiny over derivative accounting, China+1 stocks dip post US-China trade deal.