Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we have presented our latest expectations for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Our expectations for ASX 20, 50, and 100 have changed as we anticipated might (in our last insight) might happen. The reference period is about to end soon.</li>
<li>We now expect one change for ASX 20, two changes for ASX 50, two changes for ASX 100, three changes for ASX 200, and 15 ADDs/8 DELs for ASX 300.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we have presented our latest expectations for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2026 index rebal event.
Our expectations for ASX 20, 50, and 100 have changed as we anticipated might (in our last insight) might happen. The reference period is about to end soon.
We now expect one change for ASX 20, two changes for ASX 50, two changes for ASX 100, three changes for ASX 200, and 15 ADDs/8 DELs for ASX 300.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar26: Multiple Changes to Key Ranks as Anticipated; Many High-Impact Names

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, DZT Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 20th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD36.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Evolution Mining, 4Dmedical Ltd, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Insurance Australia, Coles.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 20th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD36.7bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Evolution Mining, 4Dmedical Ltd, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Insurance Australia, Coles.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 20th): Evolution Mining, 4Dmedical Ltd, Sigma Pharmaceuticals

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Vulcan Energy Resources / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX50, 3 for the ASX100, 3 for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and 16 adds/9 deletes for the ASX300 in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/regis-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20106:1" rel="noopener">Regis Resources</a> and Greatland Resources are potential inclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-gold-miners-etf-usa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32924:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US)</a> in March and those passive trackers will need to buy stock on the same day.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes for all indices over the last few months, though performance has been flat over the last few weeks for most indices.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX50, 3 for the ASX100, 3 for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and 16 adds/9 deletes for the ASX300 in March.

Regis Resources and Greatland Resources are potential inclusions to the VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US) in March and those passive trackers will need to buy stock on the same day.
The adds have outperformed the deletes for all indices over the last few months, though performance has been flat over the last few weeks for most indices.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2026): 43 Changes Across Indices as Adds Outperform Deletes

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Equity Bottom-Up

Saunders International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>From FY20 to FY25, Saunders International (ASX:SND) has transformed from a smaller, more traditional project-based contractor into a scaled, diversified national infrastructure services group with a deliberate shift toward more recurring, panel-style revenues.</li><li>In FY26, Saunders presents as a multi-market engineering and industrial asset services platform spanning defence, water, energy and resources, operating nationally and across the Indo-Pacific, with expanded capability sets including industrial automation/electrical and water infrastructure.</li><li>Successful transition into a multi-disciplinary, multi-sector facing company could see its multiple expand to match that of its listed peers</li></ul>

From FY20 to FY25, Saunders International (ASX:SND) has transformed from a smaller, more traditional project-based contractor into a scaled, diversified national infrastructure services group with a deliberate shift toward more recurring, panel-style revenues.In FY26, Saunders presents as a multi-market engineering and industrial asset services platform spanning defence, water, energy and resources, operating nationally and across the Indo-Pacific, with expanded capability sets including industrial automation/electrical and water infrastructure.Successful transition into a multi-disciplinary, multi-sector facing company could see its multiple expand to match that of its listed peers

Saunders International Limited: Clear Path Forward…

<ul>
<li>There could be 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX50, 3 for the ASX100, 4 for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and 17 adds/10 deletes for the ASX300 in March.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>While the forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months, there was a drawdown for most indices in January. Most of that underperformance has now reversed.</li>
</ul>


There could be 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX50, 3 for the ASX100, 4 for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and 17 adds/10 deletes for the ASX300 in March.
Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). 
While the forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months, there was a drawdown for most indices in January. Most of that underperformance has now reversed.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact

Australia

SRG Global Limited operates as a construction services company. The Company constructs skyscrapers, bridges, dams, structures, transport infrastructures, and oil and gas projects, as well as offers drilling support, civil engineering, and industrial maintenance services. SRG Global serves customers worldwide.

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SRG Global (SRG AU)

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar26: Multiple Changes to Key Ranks as Anticipated; Many High-Impact Names

The expected changes for ASX 200 and ASX 300 have fairly high impacts expected in the upcoming rebalance. The ASX 20, 50, and 100 have large...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 20th): Evolution Mining, 4Dmedical Ltd, Sigma Pharmaceuticals

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Evolution Mining, 4Dmedical Ltd, Sigma...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2026): 43 Changes Across Indices as Adds Outperform Deletes

There are 43 changes across the ASX changes in March. Couple of the adds could also be added to the GDX in March. The adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

Saunders International Limited: Clear Path Forward…

From FY20 to FY25, Saunders International (ASX:SND) has transformed from a smaller, more traditional project-based contractor into a scaled,...

Research as a Service (RaaS)

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact

There could be 46 changes across the ASX family of indices in March. Passive trackers need to trade a lot of stock in many names. Some names are...

Brian Freitas

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Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar26: Multiple Changes to Key Ranks as Anticipated; Many High-Impact Names

The expected changes for ASX 200 and ASX 300 have fairly high impacts expected in the upcoming rebalance. The ASX 20, 50, and 100 have large...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 20th): Evolution Mining, 4Dmedical Ltd, Sigma Pharmaceuticals

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Evolution Mining, 4Dmedical Ltd, Sigma...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2026): 43 Changes Across Indices as Adds Outperform Deletes

There are 43 changes across the ASX changes in March. Couple of the adds could also be added to the GDX in March. The adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

Saunders International Limited: Clear Path Forward…

From FY20 to FY25, Saunders International (ASX:SND) has transformed from a smaller, more traditional project-based contractor into a scaled,...

Research as a Service (RaaS)

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact

There could be 46 changes across the ASX family of indices in March. Passive trackers need to trade a lot of stock in many names. Some names are...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2026): 43 Changes Across Indices as Adds Outperform Deletes

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact