Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We revise our investment weighting on the title loan sector to Neutral, reflecting a more cautious stance among operators, slower loan growth, and efforts to reduce D/E ratios to mitigate risks and brace for uncertainty.</li><li>For the truck hire- purchase segment, we also maintain a Neutral weighting.</li><li>While an earnings rebound is clearly underway, policy uncertainty regarding taxation remains a risk to the sector’s full recovery. </li></ul>

We revise our investment weighting on the title loan sector to Neutral, reflecting a more cautious stance among operators, slower loan growth, and efforts to reduce D/E ratios to mitigate risks and brace for uncertainty.For the truck hire- purchase segment, we also maintain a Neutral weighting.While an earnings rebound is clearly underway, policy uncertainty regarding taxation remains a risk to the sector’s full recovery. 

Industry Update: Finance & Securities - May 28, 2025

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With 8 trading days left in the review period, we forecast 3 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> in June.</li>
<li>Capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thailand-pcl-98806732-8ac4-42b2-a565-ba32673d1e5a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)</a> will result in big passive selling in the stock and funding inflows for the other index constituents.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have drifted lower over the last 6 months and outperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET 50 Index</a> while the deletes have dropped a lot and underperformed the index.</li>
</ul>


With 8 trading days left in the review period, we forecast 3 changes for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) in June.
Capping changes for Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB) will result in big passive selling in the stock and funding inflows for the other index constituents.
The forecast adds have drifted lower over the last 6 months and outperformed the SET 50 Index while the deletes have dropped a lot and underperformed the index.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Capping DELTA & Constituent Changes

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of May 9th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Airports Of Thailand, Advanced Info Service, Gulf Energy Development, Central Retail, Srisawad, Tmbthanachart Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of May 9th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Airports Of Thailand, Advanced Info Service, Gulf Energy Development, Central Retail, Srisawad, Tmbthanachart Bank.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (May 9th): Airports Of Thailand, Advanced Info Service

<ul><li>The influx of positive factors — particularly China's rollout of economic stimulus measures and this week's trade negotiations between China and the US — along with strong 1Q25 earnings from ADVANC, sparked a sharp rally in the SET, making it the best- performing market in the region.</li><li>Large-cap stocks took the lead, and the index showed a steady upward pattern.</li><li>The index not only held above the 1,200-point area but also quickly advanced toward the 1,235-point resistance faster than expected. </li></ul>

The influx of positive factors — particularly China's rollout of economic stimulus measures and this week's trade negotiations between China and the US — along with strong 1Q25 earnings from ADVANC, sparked a sharp rally in the SET, making it the best- performing market in the region.Large-cap stocks took the lead, and the index showed a steady upward pattern.The index not only held above the 1,200-point area but also quickly advanced toward the 1,235-point resistance faster than expected. 

<ul><li>The SET rallied for the fourth consecutive day, supported by optimism over US-China trade negotiations, enthusiasm surrounding the Thai ESGX fund, and notably, the MPC’s decision to cut the policy rate by 0.25%.</li><li>This rate cut accelerated the index’s gains, particularly in the afternoon session.</li><li>Key stocks such as DELTA, ADVANC, SCC, GULF, and major banking shares recorded strong gains, while fund inflows helped sustain solid upward momentum.</li></ul>

The SET rallied for the fourth consecutive day, supported by optimism over US-China trade negotiations, enthusiasm surrounding the Thai ESGX fund, and notably, the MPC’s decision to cut the policy rate by 0.25%.This rate cut accelerated the index’s gains, particularly in the afternoon session.Key stocks such as DELTA, ADVANC, SCC, GULF, and major banking shares recorded strong gains, while fund inflows helped sustain solid upward momentum.

Thailand

Srisawad Corporation Public Company Limited operates as a consumer finance company. The Company provides personal secured loans, home loans, loans for international labors, and other related financial products. Srisawad offers its products and services to retail clients in Thailand.

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Srisawad Power 1979 (SAWAD TB)

Industry Update: Finance & Securities - May 28, 2025

We revise our investment weighting on the title loan sector to Neutral, reflecting a more cautious stance among operators, slower loan growth, and...

Krungthai XSpring

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Capping DELTA & Constituent Changes

There should be 3 constituent changes in June and large selling in DELTA due to capping. Passive trackers will need to buy 1.5-3.8x ADV in the adds...

Brian Freitas

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (May 9th): Airports Of Thailand, Advanced Info Service

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Airports Of Thailand (AOT TB), Advanced Info...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Technical Analysis - MAY 8, 2025

The index not only held above the 1,200-point area but also quickly advanced toward the 1,235-point resistance faster than expected.

Krungthai XSpring

Technical Analysis - MAY 2, 2025

Key stocks such as DELTA, ADVANC, SCC, GULF, and major banking shares recorded strong gains, while fund inflows helped sustain solid upward momentum.

Krungthai XSpring

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