Equity Analyst, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The upcoming Johor Bahru-Singapore Rapid Transit System and the ease of cross-border movements could impact Singapore’s retail sector as more consumers may choose to spend across the border.</li>
<li>DFI Retail CEO cited this as rationale for exiting Singapore based grocery retail business under Cold Storage and Giant's brands. Sheng Siong group said it will carefully monitor this development.</li>
<li>Singapore retail prices for branded consumer discretionary and staples are between 30%-50% higher than in Malaysia. With greater ease of commute and shipping, this price differential may not be sustainable.</li>
</ul>


The upcoming Johor Bahru-Singapore Rapid Transit System and the ease of cross-border movements could impact Singapore’s retail sector as more consumers may choose to spend across the border.
DFI Retail CEO cited this as rationale for exiting Singapore based grocery retail business under Cold Storage and Giant's brands. Sheng Siong group said it will carefully monitor this development.
Singapore retail prices for branded consumer discretionary and staples are between 30%-50% higher than in Malaysia. With greater ease of commute and shipping, this price differential may not be sustainable.


Singapore Retail Sector: Will It Be Impacted by Improved Connectivity with Malaysia?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paragon-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)</a> announced a privatisation proposal from Cuscaden Peak at S$1.0033 per unit (S$0.98 cash per unit and the 2H FY2024 distribution of S$0.0233 per unit).  </li>
<li>The offer price is attractive compared to historical trading ranges, peer multiples and precedent privatisations.  It represents an all-time high. </li>
<li>No disinterested shareholder holds a blocking stake. At the current price and for an end-of-May payment, the gross/annualised spread was 1.3%/4.6%. </li>
</ul>



Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP) announced a privatisation proposal from Cuscaden Peak at S$1.0033 per unit (S$0.98 cash per unit and the 2H FY2024 distribution of S$0.0233 per unit).  
The offer price is attractive compared to historical trading ranges, peer multiples and precedent privatisations.  It represents an all-time high. 
No disinterested shareholder holds a blocking stake. At the current price and for an end-of-May payment, the gross/annualised spread was 1.3%/4.6%. 


Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP): Cuscaden Peak’s Attractive Privatisation Offer

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Star Asia Investment / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/star-asia-investment-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24040:1" rel="noopener">Star Asia Investment (3468 JP)</a> is looking to raise around US$118m in its primary follow-on offering to acquire four hotels. The acquisition will amount to a total of JPY34.7bn (US$237.5m). </li>
<li>The deal is a somewhat large one to digest, at 83 days of three month ADV and 13.3% of TSO .</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Star Asia Investment (3468 JP) is looking to raise around US$118m in its primary follow-on offering to acquire four hotels. The acquisition will amount to a total of JPY34.7bn (US$237.5m). 
The deal is a somewhat large one to digest, at 83 days of three month ADV and 13.3% of TSO .
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Star Asia Investment Corp Placement - Needs a Decent Correction Leading up to Pricing

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isetan-mitsukoshi-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18871:1" rel="noopener">Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings Ltd (3099 JP)</a></strong>, the controlling shareholder of department store operator <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isetan-singapore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6762:1" rel="noopener">Isetan Singapore (ISET SP)</a></strong>, is offering $7.20/share, by way of a Scheme.</li>
<li>That's a whopping 153.5% premium to last close. And a 178.9% premium to ISET's NAV (as at 31 Dec 2023). </li>
<li>Apart from Mitsukoshi's 52.73% stake, no other shareholder has &gt;5%. This is a done deal. But why the large premium?</li>
</ul>



Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings Ltd (3099 JP), the controlling shareholder of department store operator Isetan Singapore (ISET SP), is offering $7.20/share, by way of a Scheme.
That's a whopping 153.5% premium to last close. And a 178.9% premium to ISET's NAV (as at 31 Dec 2023). 
Apart from Mitsukoshi's 52.73% stake, no other shareholder has &gt;5%. This is a done deal. But why the large premium?


Isetan Singapore (ISET SP): Mitsukoshi's BIGLY Premium Offer

Industrial & Infrastructure Fund Investment / Equity Capital Markets

Industrial & Infrastructure Fund Investment

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-infrastructure" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3822:1" rel="noopener">Industrial &amp; Infrastructure Fund Investment (3249 JP)</a> is looking to raise around US$341m in its primary follow-on offering to acquire 28 properties and an equity interest in a silent partnership. </li>
<li>The deal is a somewhat large one to digest, at 83 days of three month ADV and 16.2% dilution.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Industrial &amp; Infrastructure Fund Investment (3249 JP) is looking to raise around US$341m in its primary follow-on offering to acquire 28 properties and an equity interest in a silent partnership. 
The deal is a somewhat large one to digest, at 83 days of three month ADV and 16.2% dilution.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Industrial & Infrastructure Investment Corp Placement - Back to the Markets for the 12th Time

Singapore

Starhill Global REIT is a real estate investment trust.  The trust invests in retail and office buildings in Singapore and overseas.

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Starhill Global REIT (SGREIT SP)

Singapore Retail Sector: Will It Be Impacted by Improved Connectivity with Malaysia?

Singapore's branded consumer retail margins and retail rental yield are at risk when easier border crossing access to Malaysia could prompt more...

Devi Subhakesan

Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP): Cuscaden Peak’s Attractive Privatisation Offer

This is a done deal. No disinterested shareholder holds a blocking stake. At the current price and for an end-of-May payment, the gross/annualised...

Arun George

Star Asia Investment Corp Placement - Needs a Decent Correction Leading up to Pricing

Star Asia Investment (3468 JP) is looking to raise around US$118m in its primary follow-on offering to acquire four hotels. The acquisition will...

Ethan Aw

Isetan Singapore (ISET SP): Mitsukoshi's BIGLY Premium Offer

This should trade tight to terms. I wouldn't be surprised is this was to trade at or above S$7.00/share. I'd be happier to get in below that.

David Blennerhassett

Industrial & Infrastructure Investment Corp Placement - Back to the Markets for the 12th Time

Industrial & Infrastructure Fund Investment (3249 JP) is looking to raise around US$341m in its primary follow-on offering to acquire 28 properties...

Ethan Aw

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