Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>CPI inflation receded to a 59-month low of 3.5%YoY in Jul'24, with food inflation abating to 5.1%YoY (from 8.4%YoY in Jun'24), as vegetable inflation fell to 6.8%YoY (from Jun'24's 29.3%YoY).</li>
<li>Whilst retaining its 6.5% policy rate on 8/8/24, RBI forecast 4.4%YoY inflation in Jul-Sep'24, and 4.7%YoY in Oct-Dec'24; we expect 4.2%YoY and 4.3%YoY respectively, amid 8-10% above-normal monsoon rainfall.</li>
<li>The policy repo rate will likely decline 50bp by Dec'24 and a further 50bp to 5.5% by Jun'25. Rate sensitives like banks, auto-companies, NBFCs and property stocks will benefit. </li>
</ul>


CPI inflation receded to a 59-month low of 3.5%YoY in Jul'24, with food inflation abating to 5.1%YoY (from 8.4%YoY in Jun'24), as vegetable inflation fell to 6.8%YoY (from Jun'24's 29.3%YoY).
Whilst retaining its 6.5% policy rate on 8/8/24, RBI forecast 4.4%YoY inflation in Jul-Sep'24, and 4.7%YoY in Oct-Dec'24; we expect 4.2%YoY and 4.3%YoY respectively, amid 8-10% above-normal monsoon rainfall.
The policy repo rate will likely decline 50bp by Dec'24 and a further 50bp to 5.5% by Jun'25. Rate sensitives like banks, auto-companies, NBFCs and property stocks will benefit. 


India: Relief on Food Inflation Makes an Oct'24 Rate Cut Near-Certain

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Tata Motors introduces the Tata.ev app to help EV owners find and navigate to reliable charging stations.</li>
<li>Bharti Airtel postpones the call for INR15,000 crore of its rights issue.</li>
<li>SBI will deploy 2,000 executives to enhance its wealth management services, aiming to attract high-net-worth individuals.</li>
</ul>


Tata Motors introduces the Tata.ev app to help EV owners find and navigate to reliable charging stations.
Bharti Airtel postpones the call for INR15,000 crore of its rights issue.
SBI will deploy 2,000 executives to enhance its wealth management services, aiming to attract high-net-worth individuals.


# 42 India Insight: Tata Motors New EV, Airtel Postpones Right Issue, SBI Wealth Management

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of NIFTY in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Hindalco Industries, Tata Steel, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, Adani Enterprises, Grasim Industries, State Bank of India, ITC.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of NIFTY in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Hindalco Industries, Tata Steel, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, Adani Enterprises, Grasim Industries, State Bank of India, ITC.


NIFTY Index Earning Revision (Aug): Hindalco Industries, Tata Steel, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> has seen its NPL ratio decline dramatically over the past several years, which is at complete odds with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> </li>
<li>Net profit is nearly 50% lower for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> moved from a loss to the best profit on record </li>
<li>The loan-to-deposit ratio (LDR) of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> has come down from over 200% to 100%, but remains high; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> is gently widening to 77%</li>
</ul>



Canara Bank (CBK IN) has seen its NPL ratio decline dramatically over the past several years, which is at complete odds with Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) 
Net profit is nearly 50% lower for Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) while Canara Bank (CBK IN) moved from a loss to the best profit on record 
The loan-to-deposit ratio (LDR) of Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) has come down from over 200% to 100%, but remains high; Canara Bank (CBK IN) is gently widening to 77%


India Banks - Divergent Trends at Canara and Bandhan Fundamentally Support NIFTY Bank Rebalancing

<ul>
<li>India will add 15.4 GW of coal power by March 2025</li>
<li>New deep-water port to boost trade with Europe, completed by 2029</li>
<li>Funds to strengthen capital base and support growth, raised in FY25</li>
</ul>


India will add 15.4 GW of coal power by March 2025
New deep-water port to boost trade with Europe, completed by 2029
Funds to strengthen capital base and support growth, raised in FY25


#15 India Insight: SBI Fund Raise, 15.4 GW Coal Power, Trade with Europe

India

State Bank of India is a multinational public sector bank and financial services statutory body. It offers a comprehensive range of banking services, including retail, corporate, and investment banking, along with various financial products like loans, savings accounts, and wealth management. The bank is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and traces its origins back to the Bank of Calcutta, founded in 1806, eventually becoming State Bank of India on July 1, 1955.

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State Bank of India (SBID LI)

India: Relief on Food Inflation Makes an Oct'24 Rate Cut Near-Certain

CPI inflation at 59-month low 3.5%YoY in Jul'24. We expect CPI inflation to average 4.2%YoY in Jul-Dec'24, less in H1CY25, hence expect policy...

Prasenjit K. Basu

# 42 India Insight: Tata Motors New EV, Airtel Postpones Right Issue, SBI Wealth Management

Tata Motors launches Tata.ev app for EV charging, Bharti Airtel delays rights issue, SBI to boost wealth management services with 2,000 executives.

Sudarshan Bhandari

NIFTY Index Earning Revision (Aug): Hindalco Industries, Tata Steel, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles

We analyzed NIFTY's consensus for Aug 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN), Tata Steel (TATA IN), Tata Motors...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

India Banks - Divergent Trends at Canara and Bandhan Fundamentally Support NIFTY Bank Rebalancing

The Nifty Bank rebalancing that may see Bandhan Bank replaced by Canara Bank is a rebalancing that is also supported by divergent fundamentals, on...

Daniel Tabbush

#15 India Insight: SBI Fund Raise, 15.4 GW Coal Power, Trade with Europe

India plans to increase coal power capacity, build a new port for trade with Europe, and raise funds for growth by 2025.

Sudarshan Bhandari

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India: Relief on Food Inflation Makes an Oct'24 Rate Cut Near-Certain

​CPI inflation at 59-month low 3.5%YoY in Jul'24. We expect CPI inflation to average 4.2%YoY in Jul-Dec'24, less in H1CY25, hence expect policy...

Prasenjit K. Basu

# 42 India Insight: Tata Motors New EV, Airtel Postpones Right Issue, SBI Wealth Management

​Tata Motors launches Tata.ev app for EV charging, Bharti Airtel delays rights issue, SBI to boost wealth management services with 2,000 executives.

Sudarshan Bhandari

NIFTY Index Earning Revision (Aug): Hindalco Industries, Tata Steel, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles

We analyzed NIFTY's consensus for Aug 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN), Tata Steel (TATA IN), Tata Motors...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

India Banks - Divergent Trends at Canara and Bandhan Fundamentally Support NIFTY Bank Rebalancing

The Nifty Bank rebalancing that may see Bandhan Bank replaced by Canara Bank is a rebalancing that is also supported by divergent fundamentals, on...

Daniel Tabbush

#15 India Insight: SBI Fund Raise, 15.4 GW Coal Power, Trade with Europe

​India plans to increase coal power capacity, build a new port for trade with Europe, and raise funds for growth by 2025.

Sudarshan Bhandari

CPI inflation at 59-month low 3.5%YoY in Jul'24. We expect CPI inflation to average 4.2%YoY in Jul-Dec'24, less in H1CY25, hence expect policy...

Tata Motors launches Tata.ev app for EV charging, Bharti Airtel delays rights issue, SBI to boost wealth management services with 2,000 executives.

India plans to increase coal power capacity, build a new port for trade with Europe, and raise funds for growth by 2025.