Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The 100bp rate cut cycle is transmitting unevenly, with Private Banks raising loan spreads to 415bp while PSBs cut more sharply, compressing margins. </li>
<li>This divergence is reshaping profitability, with NIMs under pressure through Q2–Q3 FY26 and relief delayed by slow deposit rate repricing.</li>
<li>Margin recovery now hinges on H2FY26 onwards, aided by CRR liquidity, easing funding costs, and credit cost normalization.</li>
</ul>


The 100bp rate cut cycle is transmitting unevenly, with Private Banks raising loan spreads to 415bp while PSBs cut more sharply, compressing margins. 
This divergence is reshaping profitability, with NIMs under pressure through Q2–Q3 FY26 and relief delayed by slow deposit rate repricing.
Margin recovery now hinges on H2FY26 onwards, aided by CRR liquidity, easing funding costs, and credit cost normalization.


Bank Margins Under Pressure: Navigating the Rate Cut Ripple

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The systemic credit growth (as of 13th June, 2025) has derailed to &lt;10%.</li><li>This can be attributed to a meaningful slowdown in the unsecured loans amidst continued asset quality challenges alongside banks, mainly private banks, intending to bring down their LDRs to a balanced level.</li><li>We expect the bank under our coverage to deliver ~11% YoY credit growth, marginally ahead of industry growth. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The systemic credit growth (as of 13th June, 2025) has derailed to &lt;10%.This can be attributed to a meaningful slowdown in the unsecured loans amidst continued asset quality challenges alongside banks, mainly private banks, intending to bring down their LDRs to a balanced level.We expect the bank under our coverage to deliver ~11% YoY credit growth, marginally ahead of industry growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q1FY26 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

<ul><li>Management Commentaries &amp; Guidance Remain Critical We are happy to share that the Axis Top Picks Basket delivered a return of 9.7% in the last three months against the 8.5% return posted by the Nifty 50, outperforming the Nifty 50 by a notable margin of 1.2%.</li><li>Moreover, over the last one month, the basket has gained 3.7%.</li><li>Our Top Picks Basket has delivered an impressive return of 336% since its inception (May’20), which stands well above the 175% return delivered by the NIFTY 50 index over the same period.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Management Commentaries &amp; Guidance Remain Critical We are happy to share that the Axis Top Picks Basket delivered a return of 9.7% in the last three months against the 8.5% return posted by the Nifty 50, outperforming the Nifty 50 by a notable margin of 1.2%.Moreover, over the last one month, the basket has gained 3.7%.Our Top Picks Basket has delivered an impressive return of 336% since its inception (May’20), which stands well above the 175% return delivered by the NIFTY 50 index over the same period.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Top Picks for the month of July 2025

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The Indian PSU banking (PSB) sector, once considered structurally broken, is experiencing early signs of a secular turnaround, buttressed by a combination of governance reforms (balance sheet repair and recapitalization), modernized digital stack, and a gradual turnaround in the quality and sustainability of earnings</li><li>This is beginning to reflect in PSBs finally stabilizing their loan market share (+52bps market share gains during FY25), enhancing the quality of their customer franchise and service standards, and improving their return ratios</li><li>Despite improving profitability (FY25 RoAs approaching 1%), investors remain skeptical of the sustainability of these earnings</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Indian PSU banking (PSB) sector, once considered structurally broken, is experiencing early signs of a secular turnaround, buttressed by a combination of governance reforms (balance sheet repair and recapitalization), modernized digital stack, and a gradual turnaround in the quality and sustainability of earningsThis is beginning to reflect in PSBs finally stabilizing their loan market share (+52bps market share gains during FY25), enhancing the quality of their customer franchise and service standards, and improving their return ratiosDespite improving profitability (FY25 RoAs approaching 1%), investors remain skeptical of the sustainability of these earningsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Public Sector Banks: Repair, Reform, Reset

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

<ul>
<li>RBI finalized new provisioning norms for project finance (effective October 1, 2025), significantly softening earlier proposals. Provisioning for under-construction projects has been cut to 1–1.25% (from the proposed 5%).</li>
<li>The change reduces capital strain for lenders, preserves profitability metrics, and encourages fresh credit flow to infrastructure and commercial real estate (CRE) sectors.</li>
<li>Lenders must maintain or improve RoA/RoE while passing on marginal provisioning costs to borrowers. The credit environment for real estate and infrastructure segments could strengthen materially in FY26 and beyond</li>
</ul>


RBI finalized new provisioning norms for project finance (effective October 1, 2025), significantly softening earlier proposals. Provisioning for under-construction projects has been cut to 1–1.25% (from the proposed 5%).
The change reduces capital strain for lenders, preserves profitability metrics, and encourages fresh credit flow to infrastructure and commercial real estate (CRE) sectors.
Lenders must maintain or improve RoA/RoE while passing on marginal provisioning costs to borrowers. The credit environment for real estate and infrastructure segments could strengthen materially in FY26 and beyond


RBI’s Relief Push: How Easier Infra & Realty Credit Norms Could Impact Banks & NBFCs

India

State Bank of India (SBI) is a multinational public sector bank and financial services company that offers a wide array of banking and financial services, including retail and corporate banking, investment banking, insurance, and wealth management. Its key products and services include home loans, SME loans, corporate credit, and digital banking solutions. The bank is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, and traces its roots to the Bank of Calcutta established in 1806, officially becoming State Bank of India in 1955.

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State Bank of India (SBIN IN)

Bank Margins Under Pressure: Navigating the Rate Cut Ripple

Private Banks raise loan spreads while PSBs cut more, reshaping profitability and compressing margins, with margin recovery expected in H2FY26.

Nimish Maheshwari

Q1FY26 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

The systemic credit growth (as of 13th June, 2025) has derailed to <10%. This can be attributed to a meaningful slowdown in the unsecured loans...

Axis Direct

Axis Top Picks for the month of July 2025

Our Top Picks Basket has delivered an impressive return of 336% since its inception (May’20), which stands well above the 175% return delivered by...

Axis Direct

Public Sector Banks: Repair, Reform, Reset

Despite improving profitability (FY25 RoAs approaching 1%), investors remain skeptical of the sustainability of these earnings

HDFC Securities

RBI’s Relief Push: How Easier Infra & Realty Credit Norms Could Impact Banks & NBFCs

RBI eases project finance provisioning norms, boosting credit flow to infrastructure and real estate sectors while reducing capital strain for...

Sudarshan Bhandari

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

Bank Margins Under Pressure: Navigating the Rate Cut Ripple

​Private Banks raise loan spreads while PSBs cut more, reshaping profitability and compressing margins, with margin recovery expected in H2FY26.

Nimish Maheshwari

Q1FY26 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

The systemic credit growth (as of 13th June, 2025) has derailed to <10%. This can be attributed to a meaningful slowdown in the unsecured loans...

Axis Direct

Axis Top Picks for the month of July 2025

Our Top Picks Basket has delivered an impressive return of 336% since its inception (May’20), which stands well above the 175% return delivered by...

Axis Direct

Public Sector Banks: Repair, Reform, Reset

Despite improving profitability (FY25 RoAs approaching 1%), investors remain skeptical of the sustainability of these earnings

HDFC Securities

RBI’s Relief Push: How Easier Infra & Realty Credit Norms Could Impact Banks & NBFCs

​RBI eases project finance provisioning norms, boosting credit flow to infrastructure and real estate sectors while reducing capital strain for...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Private Banks raise loan spreads while PSBs cut more, reshaping profitability and compressing margins, with margin recovery expected in H2FY26.

RBI eases project finance provisioning norms, boosting credit flow to infrastructure and real estate sectors while reducing capital strain for...