Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 14th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD27.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Aristocrat Leisure, Sonic Healthcare, Super Retail, DroneShield.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 14th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD27.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Aristocrat Leisure, Sonic Healthcare, Super Retail, DroneShield.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 14th): Northern Star Resources, Aristocrat Leisure, Sonic Healthcare

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 7th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in James Hardie Industries, Resmed Inc DRC, Charter Hall, Steadfast, Dexus Property.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 7th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.6bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in James Hardie Industries, Resmed Inc DRC, Charter Hall, Steadfast, Dexus Property.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 7th): James Hardie Industries, Resmed Inc DRC, Charter Hall

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 24th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD27.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Reece, Bluescope Steel, APA, Transurban, Sigma Pharmaceuticals.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 24th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD27.5bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Reece, Bluescope Steel, APA, Transurban, Sigma Pharmaceuticals.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 24th): Reece, Bluescope Steel, APA, Transurban, Sigma Pharmaceuticals

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In response to an AFR article, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aub-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11179:1" rel="noopener">AUB Group Limited (AUB AU)</a> confirmed that on 26 September, it received a non-binding proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eqt-ab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28922:1" rel="noopener">EQT (EQT SS)</a> at A$45.00.</li>
<li>While the offer represents an all-time high, it is arguably light compared to precedent transactions and peer multiples. EQT's history of unsuccessful ASX tilts warrants some caution. </li>
<li>The Board has granted a six-week exclusive due diligence period, which ends on 20 November. The shareholder structure reduces the vote risk. </li>
</ul>


In response to an AFR article, AUB Group Limited (AUB AU) confirmed that on 26 September, it received a non-binding proposal from EQT (EQT SS) at A$45.00.
While the offer represents an all-time high, it is arguably light compared to precedent transactions and peer multiples. EQT's history of unsuccessful ASX tilts warrants some caution. 
The Board has granted a six-week exclusive due diligence period, which ends on 20 November. The shareholder structure reduces the vote risk. 


AUB Group (AUB AU): EQT’s NBIO at A$45.00

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast no inclusions to the index in September. There could be up to 3 deletions at the review though.</li>
<li>Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.8% and a round-trip trade of A$232m.</li>
<li>If there are 3 deletes as forecast, one-way turnover increases to 6.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of A$384m.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast no inclusions to the index in September. There could be up to 3 deletions at the review though.
Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.8% and a round-trip trade of A$232m.
If there are 3 deletes as forecast, one-way turnover increases to 6.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of A$384m.


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Deletions in September

Australia

Steadfast Group Ltd is a provider of services to broker businesses across Australia, New Zealand and Singapore. The Company has equity interests in insurance broker businesses, underwriting agencies and other complementary businesses.

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Steadfast (SDF AU)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 14th): Northern Star Resources, Aristocrat Leisure, Sonic Healthcare

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Aristocrat Leisure, Sonic...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 7th): James Hardie Industries, Resmed Inc DRC, Charter Hall

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in James Hardie Industries, Resmed Inc DRC, Charter...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 24th): Reece, Bluescope Steel, APA, Transurban, Sigma Pharmaceuticals

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Reece, Bluescope Steel, APA, Transurban, Sigma...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

AUB Group (AUB AU): EQT’s NBIO at A$45.00

While the offer represents an all-time high, it is arguably light compared to precedent transactions and peer multiples.

Arun George

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Deletions in September

We do not forecast any inclusions but there could be 3 deletions. Just capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.8% and a round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

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