Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The August 1st deadline is approaching, and it seems a bit unclear whether a deal with Vietnam has been reached on a 20% tariff or something lower. </li>
<li>With no formal agreement and just Trump's Truth Social account as a reference, uncertainty looms. For HK-listed companies, the understanding is that they will pass on tariffs to their customers. </li>
<li>We summarize this in our call with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nameson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22670:1" rel="noopener">Nameson Holdings (1982 HK)</a> following the results. We also provide updates for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-textiles-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12638:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Textiles (1382 HK)</a> and other names. </li>
</ul>


The August 1st deadline is approaching, and it seems a bit unclear whether a deal with Vietnam has been reached on a 20% tariff or something lower. 
With no formal agreement and just Trump's Truth Social account as a reference, uncertainty looms. For HK-listed companies, the understanding is that they will pass on tariffs to their customers. 
We summarize this in our call with Nameson Holdings (1982 HK) following the results. We also provide updates for Pacific Textiles (1382 HK) and other names. 


HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener July 2025: August 1st Deadline Approaches

<ul>
<li>Share prices are gradually stabilizing, influenced by news reports suggesting that Trump may eventually reduce tariffs on China (although trust overhang with Trump statements remains an issue).</li>
<li>Besides <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bosideng-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6537:1" rel="noopener">Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)</a>, most companies have halted capital allocation decisions like buybacks till more clarity emerges.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stella-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7610:1" rel="noopener">Stella International (1836 HK)</a>  has the highest US revenue exposure at 47%, followed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crystal-international-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25979:1" rel="noopener">Crystal International (2232 HK)</a> at 38%, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lever-style-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35760:1" rel="noopener">Lever Style (1346 HK)</a>  at 58%.</li>
</ul>


Share prices are gradually stabilizing, influenced by news reports suggesting that Trump may eventually reduce tariffs on China (although trust overhang with Trump statements remains an issue).
Besides Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK), most companies have halted capital allocation decisions like buybacks till more clarity emerges.

Stella International (1836 HK)  has the highest US revenue exposure at 47%, followed by Crystal International (2232 HK) at 38%, and Lever Style (1346 HK)  at 58%.


HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener May 2025: Can't Shake The Tariff Overhang

<ul>
<li>Tariff introductions in Vietnam were 46%, PRC 34%, Bangladesh 37%, Indonesia 32%, etc, have rocked the textile complex, and share prices have reacted negatively. </li>
<li>The companies with the maximum revenue exposure to the US market are <a target="_blank" rel="noopener">Stella International (1836 HK)</a>, with 47%, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener">Crystal International (2232 HK)</a>, with 38%, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lever-style-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35760:1" rel="noopener">Lever Style (1346 HK)</a>, with 58%.</li>
<li>We anticipate that the negative sentiment will continue to hinder the sector until a reasonable negotiation occurs. In the meantime, there are no beneficiaries in this trade war.</li>
</ul>


Tariff introductions in Vietnam were 46%, PRC 34%, Bangladesh 37%, Indonesia 32%, etc, have rocked the textile complex, and share prices have reacted negatively. 
The companies with the maximum revenue exposure to the US market are Stella International (1836 HK), with 47%, Crystal International (2232 HK), with 38%, and Lever Style (1346 HK), with 58%.
We anticipate that the negative sentiment will continue to hinder the sector until a reasonable negotiation occurs. In the meantime, there are no beneficiaries in this trade war.


HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Tariff Drag On The Sector

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha simulated portfolio returned 0.97% in March outperforming its benchmark by 1.1%.  Since inception the portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 8% to 11%.</li>
<li>The portfolio has generated alpha while maintaining a correlation of 0.8 and a beta of 1.05.  The HK Alpha portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 2.19 YTD.</li>
<li>On 3/31/25 we sold <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-electric-group-company-limited-d542164d-4d5a-4ce0-b33e-5fe6bc34722c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8777:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/citic-securities-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:463:1" rel="noopener">Citic Securities (H) (6030 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sands-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:182:1" rel="noopener">Sands China (1928 HK)</a> , and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a></li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha simulated portfolio returned 0.97% in March outperforming its benchmark by 1.1%.  Since inception the portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 8% to 11%.
The portfolio has generated alpha while maintaining a correlation of 0.8 and a beta of 1.05.  The HK Alpha portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 2.19 YTD.
On 3/31/25 we sold Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK) , Citic Securities (H) (6030 HK) , Sands China (1928 HK) , and Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)


Sunny Optical Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>HK Alpha Portfolio returned -1.29% in December and outperformed the benchmark by 0.34%. The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 7.93% to 9.64% since its inception on 10/01/24.  </li>
<li> About 75% of the portfolio's excess returns have been from alpha generation. The portfolio had no exposure to Real Estate, Energy or Materials. </li>
<li>At month-end we sold <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-cinda-asset-management-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:372:1" rel="noopener">China Cinda Asset Management (1359 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/citic-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20590:1" rel="noopener">Citic Ltd (267 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-galaxy-securities-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:165:1" rel="noopener">China Galaxy Securities (H) (6881 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gds-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32157:1" rel="noopener">GDS Holdings (9698 HK)</a> .  </li>
</ul>


HK Alpha Portfolio returned -1.29% in December and outperformed the benchmark by 0.34%. The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 7.93% to 9.64% since its inception on 10/01/24.  
 About 75% of the portfolio's excess returns have been from alpha generation. The portfolio had no exposure to Real Estate, Energy or Materials.  
At month-end we sold China Cinda Asset Management (1359 HK) , Citic Ltd (267 HK) , China Galaxy Securities (H) (6881 HK) and GDS Holdings (9698 HK) .  


Hong Kong

Stella International is an investment holding company primarily engaged in the development, manufacturing, and sale of premium footwear products and leather goods. The company also operates in footwear retailing and wholesaling, offering products under its own brands such as Stella Luna. It was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.

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Stella International (1836 HK)

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener July 2025: August 1st Deadline Approaches

Textile Sector Note: Approaching Aug 1 tariff deadline to drive volatility. We see tactical opportunities and risks across our 12-stock coverage...

Sameer Taneja

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener May 2025: Can't Shake The Tariff Overhang

We identify twelve high-yield, net cash or low-net debt stocks in Hong Kong's apparel and footwear sector, analyzing their exposure to the US amid...

Sameer Taneja

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Tariff Drag On The Sector

We identify twelve high-yield, net cash or low-net debt stocks in Hong Kong's apparel and footwear sector, analyzing their exposure to the US amid...

Sameer Taneja

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO (March 2025)

The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio returned 0.97% in March outperforming its benchmark by 1.1%. Since inception the portfolio has outperformed Hong...

David Mudd

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO (January 2025)

Hong Kong Alpha portfolio lost 1.29% in January and outperformed its benchmark. We sold GDS, Citic, Cinda and China Galaxy Securities. We added...

David Mudd

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