Senior Investment Analyst, Black Crane Investment Mgmt Ltd

Perry Tan, CFA, CAIA, FRM

Senior Investment Analyst

Black Crane Investment Mgmt Ltd

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div>Jet.com was a $600m company last year before further fund raising.</div><div>It is now valued at $3.3bn after Wal-Mart's cash and stock acquisition announced earlier.</div><div>Jet.com charges a $49.99 per month annual fee to its customers and promises the lowest prices (they priced below Amazon and other competitors).</div><div>Their strategy backfired and suffered losses because they did not sign up with enough partner merchants and as a result, Jet.com employees had to sometimes buy from competing merchants at a loss, in…</div>

Jet.com was a $600m company last year before further fund raising.It is now valued at $3.3bn after Wal-Mart's cash and stock acquisition announced earlier.Jet.com charges a $49.99 per month annual fee to its customers and promises the lowest prices (they priced below Amazon and other competitors).Their strategy backfired and suffered losses because they did not sign up with enough partner merchants and as a result, Jet.com employees had to sometimes buy from competing merchants at a loss, in…

Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

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<p><span class="s1"><strong>Economic Data Out of US and China Do Not Address Key Concerns</strong></span></p><p><span class="s1">This week investors attention turned away from the risks a Brexit poses to the global economy as China’s foreign exchange reserves unexpectedly increased and the US Jobs report came in well above expectations.</span></p><p><span class="s1">Due to the better than expected key data releases in the US and China global equity markets have surged to record highs. </span></p><p><span class="s1"><strong>Economic Data Out of US and China Do Not Address Key Concerns</strong></span></p><p><span class="s1">While data out of the US and China is encouraging the data does not address key issues and has not changed the near term outlook for the global economy.</span></p>

Economic Data Out of US and China Do Not Address Key ConcernsThis week investors attention turned away from the risks a Brexit poses to the global economy as China’s foreign exchange reserves unexpectedly increased and the US Jobs report came in well above expectations.Due to the better than expected key data releases in the US and China global equity markets have surged to record highs. Economic Data Out of US and China Do Not Address Key ConcernsWhile data out of the US and China is encouraging the data does not address key issues and has not changed the near term outlook for the global economy.

RRG Call For This Week: US Jobs Report Distracts Investors From Real Concerns

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

<p>Non-farm payroll employment came in much higher than market expectations with 287,000 jobs being added in June 2016 compared to an average addition of 148,400 jobs in the first five months of 2016. Over the past 3 months (April-June 2016), job gains have averaged 147,000 per month. The payrolls number for May 2016 was revised down from 38,000 to 11,000 and the number for April 2016 was revised up from 123,000 to 144,000.</p><p>The unemployment rate increased to 4.9% in June 2016, up from 4.7% in May…</p>

Non-farm payroll employment came in much higher than market expectations with 287,000 jobs being added in June 2016 compared to an average addition of 148,400 jobs in the first five months of 2016. Over the past 3 months (April-June 2016), job gains have averaged 147,000 per month. The payrolls number for May 2016 was revised down from 38,000 to 11,000 and the number for April 2016 was revised up from 123,000 to 144,000.The unemployment rate increased to 4.9% in June 2016, up from 4.7% in May…

US: Non-Farm Payrolls Surge, Beating Market Expectations

<p>The Federal Reserve can be expected to stay on course to normalize interest rate policy through the year as the unemployment rate continues to decline, hourly earnings remain on an upward trend and other economic indicators such as retail sales, house prices and consumer sentiment continue to improve on a trend basis.</p><p>We expect the pace of rate increases to be very gradual, and see the Federal Funds rate around 1.0% by the end of 2016. The pace of increase will depend on the strength of the US…</p>

The Federal Reserve can be expected to stay on course to normalize interest rate policy through the year as the unemployment rate continues to decline, hourly earnings remain on an upward trend and other economic indicators such as retail sales, house prices and consumer sentiment continue to improve on a trend basis.We expect the pace of rate increases to be very gradual, and see the Federal Funds rate around 1.0% by the end of 2016. The pace of increase will depend on the strength of the US…

US: Federal Reserve to Stay on Course to Normalize Rates

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q1 26 result is out, EV sales are slowing down, but the more important thing is the shrinking regulatory credit, which is the highest-margin business. </li>
<li>The robotaxi and robotic businesses update indicates that they will come to life in 2027 onwards thus it should be adjusted in the valuation. </li>
<li>At 335x PER, taking into account the above data, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla (TSLA US)</a> certainly looks expensive. If net margin is not improving, it calls for a lower valuation. </li>
</ul>


Q1 26 result is out, EV sales are slowing down, but the more important thing is the shrinking regulatory credit, which is the highest-margin business. 
The robotaxi and robotic businesses update indicates that they will come to life in 2027 onwards thus it should be adjusted in the valuation. 
At 335x PER, taking into account the above data, Tesla (TSLA US) certainly looks expensive. If net margin is not improving, it calls for a lower valuation. 


Netherlands

Stellantis is a multinational automotive manufacturing corporation that designs, engineers, manufactures, distributes, and sells vehicles and components. Formed in 2021 through the merger of Fiat Chrysler Automobiles and PSA Group, the company offers a portfolio of 14 iconic vehicle brands including Jeep, Peugeot, Citroën, Fiat, and Dodge. Stellantis is headquartered in Hoofddorp, Netherlands, and was founded on January 17, 2021.

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Stellantis (STLAM IM)

Wal-Mart's Acquisition of Jet.com

Jet.com was a $600m company last year before further fund raising.It is now valued at $3.3bn after Wal-Mart's cash and stock acquisition announced...

Perry Tan, CFA, CAIA, FRM

RRG Call For This Week: US Jobs Report Distracts Investors From Real Concerns

Economic Data Out of US and China Do Not Address Key ConcernsThis week investors attention turned away from the risks a Brexit poses to the global...

David Riedel

US: Non-Farm Payrolls Surge, Beating Market Expectations

Non-farm payroll employment came in much higher than market expectations with 287,000 jobs being added in June 2016 compared to an average addition...

Rajan Govil

US: Federal Reserve to Stay on Course to Normalize Rates

The Federal Reserve can be expected to stay on course to normalize interest rate policy through the year as the unemployment rate continues to...

Rajan Govil

Tesla (TSLA): Starts to Crack

Q1 26 results show slowing EV sales, but shrinking regulatory credit is the real concern for Tesla's high valuation. Robotaxi not expected until...

Henry Soediarko

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Market Cap (USDm)

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Wal-Mart's Acquisition of Jet.com

Jet.com was a $600m company last year before further fund raising.It is now valued at $3.3bn after Wal-Mart's cash and stock acquisition announced...

Perry Tan, CFA, CAIA, FRM

RRG Call For This Week: US Jobs Report Distracts Investors From Real Concerns

Economic Data Out of US and China Do Not Address Key ConcernsThis week investors attention turned away from the risks a Brexit poses to the global...

David Riedel

US: Non-Farm Payrolls Surge, Beating Market Expectations

Non-farm payroll employment came in much higher than market expectations with 287,000 jobs being added in June 2016 compared to an average addition...

Rajan Govil

US: Federal Reserve to Stay on Course to Normalize Rates

The Federal Reserve can be expected to stay on course to normalize interest rate policy through the year as the unemployment rate continues to...

Rajan Govil

Tesla (TSLA): Starts to Crack

​Q1 26 results show slowing EV sales, but shrinking regulatory credit is the real concern for Tesla's high valuation. Robotaxi not expected until...

Henry Soediarko

Q1 26 results show slowing EV sales, but shrinking regulatory credit is the real concern for Tesla's high valuation. Robotaxi not expected until...