Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish (as of our 4/21/26 Compass) on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM). </li>
<li>Additionally, we continue to believe the bottom is in for SPX, IWM, QQQ, and Technology areas (XLK, IGV, SOXX, CHAT).</li>
<li>With that said, some mixed price action in A.I. themes -- notably semiconductors (SOXX), generative A.I. (CHAT), memory (DRAM), and neoclouds (WGMI) -- are giving us some reason for pause.</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish (as of our 4/21/26 Compass) on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM). 
Additionally, we continue to believe the bottom is in for SPX, IWM, QQQ, and Technology areas (XLK, IGV, SOXX, CHAT).
With that said, some mixed price action in A.I. themes -- notably semiconductors (SOXX), generative A.I. (CHAT), memory (DRAM), and neoclouds (WGMI) -- are giving us some reason for pause.


Mixed Signals in A.I. Names (SOXX, CHAT, DRAM, WGMI); Bullish Outlook Intact

<ul>
<li>We downgraded our near-term outlook on SPX and QQQ to neutral last week (11/19/25), after being bullish since 4/22/25, while we maintained our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of 5/14/25).</li>
<li>Crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on QQQ held last week, and we are back to being near-term bullish as long as these supports continue to hold</li>
<li>The latest pullback offers an attractive entry point into all the speculative growth areas that we were pounding the table on since May, WITH A STOP AT LAST WEEKS LOWS</li>
</ul>


We downgraded our near-term outlook on SPX and QQQ to neutral last week (11/19/25), after being bullish since 4/22/25, while we maintained our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of 5/14/25).
Crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on QQQ held last week, and we are back to being near-term bullish as long as these supports continue to hold
The latest pullback offers an attractive entry point into all the speculative growth areas that we were pounding the table on since May, WITH A STOP AT LAST WEEKS LOWS


Back to Near-Term Bullish on SPX and Nasdaq 100; Supports Held at SPX 6480-6520 and QQQ $580-583

Investment Advisor, Upslope Capital Management

Upslope Capital Management

Investment Advisor

Investment advisor for Upslope Partners Fund, LP, a global long/short equity hedge fund.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>MARKET CONDITIONS – ‘BUY GOOD COMPANIES. DON’T OVERPAY. DO NOTHING.’</li><li>The above is the legendary investment mantra of Fundsmith, a UK-based fund manager.</li><li>I’ve had it taped to my wall – with a handful of other North Star-like quotes – for years. </li></ul>

MARKET CONDITIONS – ‘BUY GOOD COMPANIES. DON’T OVERPAY. DO NOTHING.’The above is the legendary investment mantra of Fundsmith, a UK-based fund manager.I’ve had it taped to my wall – with a handful of other North Star-like quotes – for years. 

Upslope's Quarterly Investor Letter 2026Q2

Our outlook remains cautious as we continue to expect heightened volatility and a potential retest of the February 2018 lows over the next several weeks. Near-term we are monitoring for S&amp;P 500 support near 2,600 (i.e., the October low) and resistance near 2,817 or the 100- and 50-day moving averages. In today’s report we outline our current concerns along with developments that would cause us to become more constructive on the market. We also highlight attractive set ups within the Financials, Consumer Discretionary, and Health Care Sectors.

Our outlook remains cautious as we continue to expect heightened volatility and a potential retest of the February 2018 lows over the next several weeks. Near-term we are monitoring for S&amp;P 500 support near 2,600 (i.e., the October low) and resistance near 2,817 or the 100- and 50-day moving averages. In today’s report we outline our current concerns along with developments that would cause us to become more constructive on the market. We also highlight attractive set ups within the Financials, Consumer Discretionary, and Health Care Sectors.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Retest of October Lows Underway; Upgrading Financials

As the S&amp;P 500 nears the 2,873 January high - a critical hurdle - short-term Sector leadership changes give us reason for pause. While we remain constructive overall, our expectations are tempered as the market finds itself a crossroad.  In today’s report we provide our U.S. equity strategy synopsis, and also highlight attractive stocks within the Health Care Sector.

As the S&amp;P 500 nears the 2,873 January high - a critical hurdle - short-term Sector leadership changes give us reason for pause. While we remain constructive overall, our expectations are tempered as the market finds itself a crossroad.  In today’s report we provide our U.S. equity strategy synopsis, and also highlight attractive stocks within the Health Care Sector.

S&P 500: Outlook Constructive but Concerns Remain

United States

STERIS Public Limited Company operates as a provider of infection prevention and other procedural products and services. The Company offers sterilizers and washers, surgical tables, lights and equipment management systems, and endoscopy accessories. STERIS serves healthcare, pharmaceutical, and medical device industries.

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STERIS (STE US)

Mixed Signals in A.I. Names (SOXX, CHAT, DRAM, WGMI); Bullish Outlook Intact

Mixed Signals in A.I. Names ($SOXX $CHAT $DRAM $WGMI); Bullish Outlook Intact $SPX $QQQ $IWM. $CHAT breaking above the 50-day MA likely signaling...

Vermilion Research

Back to Near-Term Bullish on SPX and Nasdaq 100; Supports Held at SPX 6480-6520 and QQQ $580-583

Back to Near-Term Bullish on $SPX and Nasdaq 100 $NDX; Crucial Supports Held at 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on $QQQ, we are near-term bullish as...

Vermilion Research

Upslope's Quarterly Investor Letter 2026Q2

MARKET CONDITIONS – ‘BUY GOOD COMPANIES. DON’T OVERPAY. DO NOTHING.’ The above is the legendary investment mantra of Fundsmith, a UK-based fund...

Upslope Capital Management

U.S. Equity Strategy: Retest of October Lows Underway; Upgrading Financials

Our outlook remains cautious as we continue to expect heightened volatility and a potential retest of the February 2018 lows over the next several...

Vermilion Research

S&P 500: Outlook Constructive but Concerns Remain

As the S&P 500 nears the 2,873 January high - a critical hurdle - short-term Sector leadership changes give us reason for pause. While we...

Vermilion Research

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