Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2024 index review.</li>
<li>The conclusion of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)</a> M&amp;A deal could trigger an index change in February 2024.</li>
<li>Separately, there could be a "surprise" index change in March 2024 caused by a long-term trading suspension. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2024 index review.
The conclusion of the Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU) M&amp;A deal could trigger an index change in February 2024.
Separately, there could be a "surprise" index change in March 2024 caused by a long-term trading suspension. 


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar 24: Exp ADDs Vs DELs Trade Successful; More to Come?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Budweiser Brewing  APAC  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for a global index commenced last week and will run through this week as well.</li>
<li>The announcement of the changes for the LQ45 Index should be announced in the coming week and will be implemented at the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>Huge inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> trackers during the week while there was a big outflow from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for a global index commenced last week and will run through this week as well.
The announcement of the changes for the LQ45 Index should be announced in the coming week and will be implemented at the close on 31 January.
Huge inflows to CSI 300 Index trackers during the week while there was a big outflow from Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, KS200, KQ150, HSIII, STTF, L&F, Costa Group, Japan, Bud APAC

<ul>
<li>With over 80% of the review period complete, there could be 26 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in March.</li>
<li>The largest flow will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40416:1" rel="noopener">Newmont (NEM AU)</a> due to the potential S&amp;P/ASX 20 Index deletion and a large decrease in the number of shares held in Australia.</li>
<li>There will be 1.2-38 days of ADV to buy in the inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 1-21 days of ADV.</li>
</ul>


With over 80% of the review period complete, there could be 26 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in March.
The largest flow will be on Newmont (NEM AU) due to the potential S&amp;P/ASX 20 Index deletion and a large decrease in the number of shares held in Australia.
There will be 1.2-38 days of ADV to buy in the inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 1-21 days of ADV.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Changes; A$1bn to Sell in Newmont

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Scheme Meeting for PSP's acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)</a> will be held on 30 January and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group</a> could stop trading after the close on 8 February.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/strike-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12473:1" rel="noopener">Strike Energy (STX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siteminder-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34688:1" rel="noopener">SiteMinder (SDR AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/audinate-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26757:1" rel="noopener">Audinate (AD8 AU)</a> are potential inclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at an ad hoc rebalance.</li>
<li>For the stocks that are not added at the ad hoc rebalance, there is a very high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> inclusion at the March rebalance.</li>
</ul>


The Scheme Meeting for PSP's acquisition of Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU) will be held on 30 January and Costa Group could stop trading after the close on 8 February.

Strike Energy (STX AU), SiteMinder (SDR AU) and Audinate (AD8 AU) are potential inclusions to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at an ad hoc rebalance.
For the stocks that are not added at the ad hoc rebalance, there is a very high probability of S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) inclusion at the March rebalance.


Costa Group (CGC AU): Potential ASX200 Replacements

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 15th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Rio Tinto, Macquarie, Wisetech Global, Fortescue, Westpac, ANZ, Qantas Airways.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 15th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Rio Tinto, Macquarie, Wisetech Global, Fortescue, Westpac, ANZ, Qantas Airways.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 15th): BHP, Rio Tinto, Macquarie, Wisetech Global, Fortescue, Westpac

Australia

Strike Energy Limited is an oil and gas exploration company whose exploration activities are located in the Carnarvon Basin in Western Australia and the Cooper Basin in South Australia.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Strike Energy (STX AU)

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar 24: Exp ADDs Vs DELs Trade Successful; More to Come?

I see 6 changes for ASX 200 between now and the March 2024 rebalance. Both ASX 20 and ASX 100 could see one change each. Many index changes...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, KS200, KQ150, HSIII, STTF, L&F, Costa Group, Japan, Bud APAC

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Changes; A$1bn to Sell in Newmont

CGC's privatisation could lead to an adhoc change in Feb. Then there could be 26 changes at the March rebalance. Newmont could be deleted from the...

Brian Freitas

Costa Group (CGC AU): Potential ASX200 Replacements

The PSP/Costa Group Scheme Meeting takes place on 30 Jan and CGC could stop trading on 8 Feb. There will be an ad hoc rebalance for the ASX200 and...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 15th): BHP, Rio Tinto, Macquarie, Wisetech Global, Fortescue, Westpac

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in BHP, Rio Tinto, Macquarie, Wisetech Global,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar 24: Exp ADDs Vs DELs Trade Successful; More to Come?

I see 6 changes for ASX 200 between now and the March 2024 rebalance. Both ASX 20 and ASX 100 could see one change each. Many index changes...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, KS200, KQ150, HSIII, STTF, L&F, Costa Group, Japan, Bud APAC

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Changes; A$1bn to Sell in Newmont

CGC's privatisation could lead to an adhoc change in Feb. Then there could be 26 changes at the March rebalance. Newmont could be deleted from the...

Brian Freitas

Costa Group (CGC AU): Potential ASX200 Replacements

The PSP/Costa Group Scheme Meeting takes place on 30 Jan and CGC could stop trading on 8 Feb. There will be an ad hoc rebalance for the ASX200 and...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 15th): BHP, Rio Tinto, Macquarie, Wisetech Global, Fortescue, Westpac

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in BHP, Rio Tinto, Macquarie, Wisetech Global,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Changes; A$1bn to Sell in Newmont