IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

SBI Shinsei Bank / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, a Japanese financial institution, is looking to relist by raising about US$2 billion. The primary/secondary split is 40%/60%.</li>
<li>I discussed the investment thesis in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sbi-shinsei-bank-8303-jp-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:211376" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case</a></em></strong>. </li>
<li>In this note, I discuss valuation. My analysis suggests that SBI Shinsei is fairly valued at the IPO price of JPY1,440 per share. </li>
</ul>



SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, is looking to relist by raising about US$2 billion. The primary/secondary split is 40%/60%.
I discussed the investment thesis in SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case. 
In this note, I discuss valuation. My analysis suggests that SBI Shinsei is fairly valued at the IPO price of JPY1,440 per share. 


SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, a Japanese financial institution, is looking to relist by raising about US$2 billion. The primary/secondary split is 40%/60%. </li>
<li>In December 2021, Shinsei Bank was privatised by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10928:1" rel="noopener">SBI Holdings (8473 JP)</a> through a contentious tender offer at JPY2,800 per share. </li>
<li>The investment case rests on growth in accounts/deposits, robust loan book growth, accelerating revenue growth, rising margins and improving asset quality.</li>
</ul>



SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, is looking to relist by raising about US$2 billion. The primary/secondary split is 40%/60%. 
In December 2021, Shinsei Bank was privatised by SBI Holdings (8473 JP) through a contentious tender offer at JPY2,800 per share. 
The investment case rests on growth in accounts/deposits, robust loan book growth, accelerating revenue growth, rising margins and improving asset quality.


SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Late Nov-2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a> was trading ¥2,900, weekly mag Bunshun scooped a possible NTT Docomo deal. The stock popped, I was skeptical. It popped more.</li>
<li>At Q3 earnings, NTT seemed to downplay the possibility saying they wouldn't overpay. SBI Sumshin fell. Then fell some more. </li>
<li>Today we get a deal whereby NTT buys out <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10928:1" rel="noopener">SBI Holdings (8473 JP)</a>'s 34% stake, and minorities, and partners with Sumitomo Mitsui Trust. Then a side deal with SBI. </li>
</ul>


Late Nov-2024, SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) was trading ¥2,900, weekly mag Bunshun scooped a possible NTT Docomo deal. The stock popped, I was skeptical. It popped more.
At Q3 earnings, NTT seemed to downplay the possibility saying they wouldn't overpay. SBI Sumshin fell. Then fell some more. 
Today we get a deal whereby NTT buys out SBI Holdings (8473 JP)'s 34% stake, and minorities, and partners with Sumitomo Mitsui Trust. Then a side deal with SBI. 


[Japan M&A] NTT To Buy Out SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163) At a HUGE Price for Minorities

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Of the nearly 200 financials in Japan, on average shares outstanding are up 3% over the past several years </li>
<li>Japan Post Insurance, Japan Post Holdings, and Yamaguchi Financial are at the extreme opposite end with shares outstanding at -22%</li>
<li>MS&amp;AD features well ranking #11 of financials in our sample, with shares outstanding at -7%, adding well to its commitment on dividends, cross-shareholdings sales</li>
</ul>


Of the nearly 200 financials in Japan, on average shares outstanding are up 3% over the past several years 
Japan Post Insurance, Japan Post Holdings, and Yamaguchi Financial are at the extreme opposite end with shares outstanding at -22%
MS&amp;AD features well ranking #11 of financials in our sample, with shares outstanding at -7%, adding well to its commitment on dividends, cross-shareholdings sales


Japan Financials - Buybacks Strongest at Japan Post Insurance, Japan Post Holdings, Yamaguchi

Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

Equity Bottom-Up

Cushman & Wakefield plc / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Temasek-backed Tikehau partners with Nikko AM to launch new Asia investment management joint venture, expanding their presence in the region.</li><li>STT GDC commences construction on a 16MW data center in Johor, demonstrating growth in data infrastructure in Malaysia.</li><li>Digital Edge CEO Samuel Lee resigns, former legal officer assumes leadership of the data centre platform, amidst continued investment in Australian logistics market.</li></ul>

Temasek-backed Tikehau partners with Nikko AM to launch new Asia investment management joint venture, expanding their presence in the region.STT GDC commences construction on a 16MW data center in Johor, demonstrating growth in data infrastructure in Malaysia.Digital Edge CEO Samuel Lee resigns, former legal officer assumes leadership of the data centre platform, amidst continued investment in Australian logistics market.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (26-Feb-2025): Temasek's Tikehau & Nikko AM JV in Asia.

Japan

Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc. is a holding company established jointly by Chuo Mitsui Trust Holdings and Sumitomo Trust and Banking. As a financial group, the Bank provides trust banking business, as well as securities brokerage, assets management, and related financial services.

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Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings (8309 JP)

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

SBI Shinsei is seeking to raise about US$2 billion. My analysis suggests that SBI Shinsei is fairly valued at the IPO price of JPY1,440 per share.

Arun George

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case

SBI Shinsei Bank, a Japanese financial institution, is looking to relist by raising about US$2 billion. In this note, I discuss the investment case.

Arun George

[Japan M&A] NTT To Buy Out SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163) At a HUGE Price for Minorities

NTT Docomo needed a bank to compete with its mobile telephony rivals. This deal was mooted 6mos ago, but speculation dampened in Feb. But they are...

Travis Lundy

Japan Financials - Buybacks Strongest at Japan Post Insurance, Japan Post Holdings, Yamaguchi

Japan Post Bank in spotlight now, and new data shows improving credit growth and demand, from Tankan Survey and from loan officer survey.

Daniel Tabbush

Asia Real Estate Tracker (26-Feb-2025): Temasek's Tikehau & Nikko AM JV in Asia.

Tikehau partners with Nikko AM for Asia investment, STT GDC building 16MW data center in Johor, Digital Edge CEO steps down, Australian logistics...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

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