Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 57 stocks in Korea in January 2023, among which 5 are in KOSPI and 52 are in KOSDAQ.</li>
<li>These 57 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in December and could underperform relative to the market. </li>
<li>Among these 57 stocks, the top 5 market cap stocks include Sungeel Hitech, HPSP, CJ CGV, Sillajen, and Eoflow. </li>
</ul>


We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 57 stocks in Korea in January 2023, among which 5 are in KOSPI and 52 are in KOSDAQ.
These 57 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in December and could underperform relative to the market. 
Among these 57 stocks, the top 5 market cap stocks include Sungeel Hitech, HPSP, CJ CGV, Sillajen, and Eoflow. 


End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 57 Companies in Korea in January 2023

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide a back-testing of the end of mandatory lock-up periods data from Korea Securities Depository (KSD) in the past six months.</li>
<li>Our back-testing suggests a 67% probability of the average share price performances of the top 3 market cap companies in each month data underperforming relative to KOSPI (10/15 time periods).</li>
<li>Among these stocks, some of the big underperformers included Wemade Co., Ltd. (112040 KS), Sebitchem (107600 KS), and Iljin Hysolus (271940 KS).</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide a back-testing of the end of mandatory lock-up periods data from Korea Securities Depository (KSD) in the past six months.
Our back-testing suggests a 67% probability of the average share price performances of the top 3 market cap companies in each month data underperforming relative to KOSPI (10/15 time periods).
Among these stocks, some of the big underperformers included Wemade Co., Ltd. (112040 KS), Sebitchem (107600 KS), and Iljin Hysolus (271940 KS).


Back-Testing End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods Data from Korea Securities Depository in 2H 2022

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>As expected, Sungeel Hitech (365340) made it to the index. And C&amp;I System (222080) and Wonik PNE (217820) were added, whereas Ecopro (086520) and Dongwha Enterprise (025900) were deleted.</li>
<li>Among the existing constituents, Samsung SDI (006400), Ecopro BM (247540), SK Innovation (096770), L&amp;F (066970), and SKC (011790) are expected to have a relatively significant impact.</li>
<li>Looking at the last rebalancing, the impact/price correlation was most significant on Day 1. So, we should consider aiming for LONG/SHORT today for those with a high relative impact.</li>
</ul>


As expected, Sungeel Hitech (365340) made it to the index. And C&amp;I System (222080) and Wonik PNE (217820) were added, whereas Ecopro (086520) and Dongwha Enterprise (025900) were deleted.
Among the existing constituents, Samsung SDI (006400), Ecopro BM (247540), SK Innovation (096770), L&amp;F (066970), and SKC (011790) are expected to have a relatively significant impact.
Looking at the last rebalancing, the impact/price correlation was most significant on Day 1. So, we should consider aiming for LONG/SHORT today for those with a high relative impact.


KODEX Battery Rebalancing Results Out: From Today to Next Tuesday

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this report, we review our IPO investment research in 2022, including the performance of our calls.</li>
<li>The accuracy rate of our calls on IPOs this year was 79% (15 calls right, 4 calls wrong), higher than our average accurate rate of 77% from 2017 to 2022.</li>
<li>In 2022, the 12 stocks (positive ratings) were up 50.1% on average from their IPO prices. The 7 stocks (negative ratings) were down 11.2% on average from their IPO prices. </li>
</ul>


In this report, we review our IPO investment research in 2022, including the performance of our calls.
The accuracy rate of our calls on IPOs this year was 79% (15 calls right, 4 calls wrong), higher than our average accurate rate of 77% from 2017 to 2022.
In 2022, the 12 stocks (positive ratings) were up 50.1% on average from their IPO prices. The 7 stocks (negative ratings) were down 11.2% on average from their IPO prices. 


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 11 inclusions and 11 exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance to be implemented at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>We had forecast most of the changes (10 adds and 9 deletes), so there are a few surprises. The inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sillajen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22838:1" rel="noopener">SillaJen Inc (215600 KS)</a> is the biggest one.</li>
<li>The adds to the index become short sell eligible from the open of trading on 9 December while the deletions will not be short sell eligible from the same time.</li>
</ul>


There are 11 inclusions and 11 exclusions for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance to be implemented at the close on 8 December.
We had forecast most of the changes (10 adds and 9 deletes), so there are a few surprises. The inclusion of SillaJen Inc (215600 KS) is the biggest one.
The adds to the index become short sell eligible from the open of trading on 9 December while the deletions will not be short sell eligible from the same time.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 11 Changes with a Couple of Surprises

South Korea

Sungeel Hitech Co., Ltd. operates as a leading secondary battery recycling company. The Company provides lithium ion battery recycling, sustainable rechargeable battery recycling, waste batteries full circulatory recycling, and circulation services. Sungeel Hitech markets its products worldwide.

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Sungeel Hitech (365340 KS)

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 57 Companies in Korea in January 2023

We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 57 stocks in Korea in January 2023, among which 5 are in KOSPI and 52 are in KOSDAQ.

Douglas Kim

Back-Testing End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods Data from Korea Securities Depository in 2H 2022

In this insight, we provide a back-testing of the end of mandatory lock-up periods data from Korea Securities Depository (KSD) in the past six months.

Douglas Kim

KODEX Battery Rebalancing Results Out: From Today to Next Tuesday

This post details the rebalancing results and resulting passive impacts of the KODEX Secondary Battery ETF, which runs from today to next Tuesday.

Sanghyun Park

Recap of Our IPO Research in 2022

In this report, we review our IPO investment research in 2022, including the performance of our calls. The accuracy rate of our calls on IPOs this...

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 11 Changes with a Couple of Surprises

There are 11 changes at the Dec rebal: mostly in line with forecasts. SillaJen is a surprise add; Devsisters is a surprise delete. Short interest...

Brian Freitas

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