Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Sep 4th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD353,626m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, PING AN INSURANCE, INDUSTRIAL BANK, BANK OF BEIJING, HAOHUA CHEMICAL SCIENCE &amp; TECHNOLOGY.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Sep 4th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD353,626m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, PING AN INSURANCE, INDUSTRIAL BANK, BANK OF BEIJING, HAOHUA CHEMICAL SCIENCE &amp; TECHNOLOGY.


A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 4th): CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, PING AN INSURANCE, INDUSTRIAL BANK

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Contrary to battery, Chinese renewable energy companies have largely been absent in EU's solar capacity buildup.We believe the main reason is supply chain structure differences;</li>
<li>One year after we tallied the capacity in C2Q23,11% of the tallied capacity have been cancelled, but another 66% more have been added, among which, however,no ingot or polysilicon projects; </li>
<li>Wacker Chemie's 39GW polysilicon project needs to supply ~10GW of ingot and wafer,~13GW of cell and ~52GW of module, comparing to EU's 2023 installation of only 56GW, which is insufficient.</li>
</ul>


Contrary to battery, Chinese renewable energy companies have largely been absent in EU's solar capacity buildup.We believe the main reason is supply chain structure differences;
One year after we tallied the capacity in C2Q23,11% of the tallied capacity have been cancelled, but another 66% more have been added, among which, however,no ingot or polysilicon projects; 
Wacker Chemie's 39GW polysilicon project needs to supply ~10GW of ingot and wafer,~13GW of cell and ~52GW of module, comparing to EU's 2023 installation of only 56GW, which is insufficient.


EU's Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part II

<ul>
<li>About a year ago, we started collating battery investments in the European Union. At the time we conclude between 1/4 to a 1/3 were originated from China;</li>
<li>A year later, we revisited and found the ratio has increased. With the latest EU tariff on China-made EV's, we expect Chinese capacity buildups to quicken;</li>
<li>A total of 1,742 GWh of projects are supposed to go online in EU countries, representing investment of US$150bn, among which China related GWh and investment is ~25%. </li>
</ul>


About a year ago, we started collating battery investments in the European Union. At the time we conclude between 1/4 to a 1/3 were originated from China;
A year later, we revisited and found the ratio has increased. With the latest EU tariff on China-made EV's, we expect Chinese capacity buildups to quicken;
A total of 1,742 GWh of projects are supposed to go online in EU countries, representing investment of US$150bn, among which China related GWh and investment is ~25%. 


EU's Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part I

<ul>
<li>300274 SZ/DQ US/CSIQ US/JKS US/601615 SH/2208 HK/601012 SH: Domestic new energy installed capacity further slows downDomestic new energy installed capacity further slows down (/////////////)</li>
<li>XPEV US: Xpeng Motors' losses narrowed slightly in the first quarter of 2024 as software sales to Volkswagen increased gross profits (+)</li>
<li>1211HK/LIUS/NIOUS/XPEVUS/TSLAUS:20th week of 2024, BYD fell back a bit while Tesla recovered most of lost ground, Nio and Xiaomi had strong deliveries, and LI once again beat AITO (-/+/+/-/+)</li>
</ul>


300274 SZ/DQ US/CSIQ US/JKS US/601615 SH/2208 HK/601012 SH: Domestic new energy installed capacity further slows downDomestic new energy installed capacity further slows down (/////////////)
XPEV US: Xpeng Motors' losses narrowed slightly in the first quarter of 2024 as software sales to Volkswagen increased gross profits (+)
1211HK/LIUS/NIOUS/XPEVUS/TSLAUS:20th week of 2024, BYD fell back a bit while Tesla recovered most of lost ground, Nio and Xiaomi had strong deliveries, and LI once again beat AITO (-/+/+/-/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]: 300274SZ/DQ US/CSIQ US/JKSUS/601615SH/2208HK/601012SH/XPEV/1211HK/LI/NIO/TSLA

<ul>
<li>BEKE US: Visiting volume surged in the first weekend after new stimulus, and transactions increased slightly.（+）</li>
<li>300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US:  Except for electric vehicles, new energy exports in April were hardly positive, indicating that capturing consumers is the key to offsetting geopolitical restrictions(///////////)</li>
<li>BEKE US: Sluggish New Home Sales Prompt the PBOC to Introduce Further Stimulus Policies. (+)</li>
</ul>


BEKE US: Visiting volume surged in the first weekend after new stimulus, and transactions increased slightly.（+）
300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US:  Except for electric vehicles, new energy exports in April were hardly positive, indicating that capturing consumers is the key to offsetting geopolitical restrictions(///////////)
BEKE US: Sluggish New Home Sales Prompt the PBOC to Introduce Further Stimulus Policies. (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK/BIDU US

China

Sungrow Power Supply Company Limited develops, produces, sells and provides services for solar PV inverters, wind power converters and other power supply. The Company also provides system solutions to renewable energy industry users.

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Sungrow Power Supply (300274 CH)

EU's Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part II

Chinese companies have been absent in building capacity in EU, due to lack of upstream material supply. EU's own capacity building is cautious and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

EU's Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part I

Chinese companies accounted for a quarter of battery investments in EU. This ratio has increased materially over the past 12 months and will...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]: 300274SZ/DQ US/CSIQ US/JKSUS/601615SH/2208HK/601012SH/XPEV/1211HK/LI/NIO/TSLA

new energy installed capacity slows down, Xpeng Motors' losses narrow with increased software sales to Volkswagen, BYD falls while Tesla recovers,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK/BIDU US

Visiting volume surges after stimulus, new energy exports struggle, PBOC introduces more stimulus for sluggish new home sales.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 4th): CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, PING AN INSURANCE, INDUSTRIAL BANK

We analyzed A-share margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, PING AN INSURANCE, INDUSTRIAL BANK,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

EU's Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part II

Chinese companies have been absent in building capacity in EU, due to lack of upstream material supply. EU's own capacity building is cautious and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

EU's Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part I

Chinese companies accounted for a quarter of battery investments in EU. This ratio has increased materially over the past 12 months and will...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]: 300274SZ/DQ US/CSIQ US/JKSUS/601615SH/2208HK/601012SH/XPEV/1211HK/LI/NIO/TSLA

new energy installed capacity slows down, Xpeng Motors' losses narrow with increased software sales to Volkswagen, BYD falls while Tesla recovers,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK/BIDU US

​Visiting volume surges after stimulus, new energy exports struggle, PBOC introduces more stimulus for sluggish new home sales.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Visiting volume surges after stimulus, new energy exports struggle, PBOC introduces more stimulus for sluggish new home sales.