Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Reuters this afternoon carried an <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/exclusive-tencent-plans-divest-24-bln-meituan-stake-sources-2022-08-16/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">article</a> that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> was seeking to divest "US$24bn" (17%) of $78bn market cap delivery company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> by year-end to mollify domestic regulators.</li>
<li>Tencent would seek to launch a share sale within 2022 "if market conditions are favourable." Meituan shares tanked 9%, immediately.</li>
<li>The article suggests disposal via block sale (faster than negotiating with a private buyer), odd given Tencent's Q1 2022 experience with the JD.com unwind. But it leads to BIG flows.</li>
</ul>


Reuters this afternoon carried an article that Tencent (700 HK) was seeking to divest "US$24bn" (17%) of $78bn market cap delivery company Meituan (3690 HK) by year-end to mollify domestic regulators.
Tencent would seek to launch a share sale within 2022 "if market conditions are favourable." Meituan shares tanked 9%, immediately.
The article suggests disposal via block sale (faster than negotiating with a private buyer), odd given Tencent's Q1 2022 experience with the JD.com unwind. But it leads to BIG flows.


Tencent (700 HK) To Divest Meituan (3690 HK) - Impact and Index Implications

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Shenzhen International / Equity Bottom-Up

Share price of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-intl-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Intl (152 HK)</a> (SZI) has been under pressure lately due to concerns on the proposed acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suning-com-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9178:1" rel="noopener">Suning.com (002024 CH)</a> and weakened performance on its 49%-owned Shenzhen Airlines (SZA). However, now that it decided not to go ahead on Suning.com and there are signs of recovery at SZA, the still-depressed valuation (0.61x P/B, 5-year low) is unwarranted, in our opinion.Its core logistics segment performed well in 1H21, achieving higher occupancy which is supportive to rental income, and the expansion in project portfolio should be an added driver. The proposed acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-investment-holdings-bay-area-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12134:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Investment Holdings Bay Area Development (737 HK)</a> by its subsidiary <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-expressway-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2875:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Expressway Co H (548 HK)</a> should also generate good cash flow with upside from its land assets. Long-term, the transformation of South China Logistics Park may potentially create another successful story similar to its Qianhai project. At FY21F dividend yield of 8%, we believe SZI is very attractive at the current level.

Share price of Shenzhen Intl (152 HK) (SZI) has been under pressure lately due to concerns on the proposed acquisition of Suning.com (002024 CH) and weakened performance on its 49%-owned Shenzhen Airlines (SZA). However, now that it decided not to go ahead on Suning.com and there are signs of recovery at SZA, the still-depressed valuation (0.61x P/B, 5-year low) is unwarranted, in our opinion.Its core logistics segment performed well in 1H21, achieving higher occupancy which is supportive to rental income, and the expansion in project portfolio should be an added driver. The proposed acquisition of Shenzhen Investment Holdings Bay Area Development (737 HK) by its subsidiary Shenzhen Expressway Co H (548 HK) should also generate good cash flow with upside from its land assets. Long-term, the transformation of South China Logistics Park may potentially create another successful story similar to its Qianhai project. At FY21F dividend yield of 8%, we believe SZI is very attractive at the current level.

Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): What's Wrong Recently?

Global TMT analyst with Asia ex-Japan focus.

Mitchell Kim

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The latest sales data from the 6.18 (running from June 1st to June 18th) Festival by Syntun suggests potential revenue upside for online shopping platforms but particularly more for the larger market shareholders, Alibaba and JD, and Vipshop as apparel and shoes categories showed the highest sales growth.    I am positive on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (BABA US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vipshop-holdings-ltd-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1088:1" rel="noopener">Vipshop Holdings (VIPS US)</a> as they provide an attractive balance of growth and value.  I have recently turned more bullish on Vipshop because of its cheap value and the continued improving operating metrics.  I remain cautious on PDD US because of the risk associated with the company’s profit model. Three takeaways from my analysis of the 6.18.21 sales data (some 2020 data):<ol>
<li>Alibaba remains the king of promotions.  The company maintained its top-selling platform position.  Alibaba is particularly strong in personal and beauty care and snack foods.   </li>
<li>Apparel and shoes were the top two growth categories during the 6.18 Festival.  This bodes well for Vipshop and Alibaba. </li>
<li>JD maintains its strong position in appliances and electronics as well as dairy products (based on 2020 detail data for select categories).  JD also leads in New Retail – grocery delivery and supermarkets. </li>
<li>PDD appears to be a distant third on 6.18 sales (based on 2020 detail data breakdown – 2021 is unavailable).         </li>
</ol>

The latest sales data from the 6.18 (running from June 1st to June 18th) Festival by Syntun suggests potential revenue upside for online shopping platforms but particularly more for the larger market shareholders, Alibaba and JD, and Vipshop as apparel and shoes categories showed the highest sales growth.    I am positive on Alibaba Group (BABA US), JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US), and Vipshop Holdings (VIPS US) as they provide an attractive balance of growth and value.  I have recently turned more bullish on Vipshop because of its cheap value and the continued improving operating metrics.  I remain cautious on PDD US because of the risk associated with the company’s profit model. Three takeaways from my analysis of the 6.18.21 sales data (some 2020 data):
Alibaba remains the king of promotions.  The company maintained its top-selling platform position.  Alibaba is particularly strong in personal and beauty care and snack foods.   
Apparel and shoes were the top two growth categories during the 6.18 Festival.  This bodes well for Vipshop and Alibaba. 
JD maintains its strong position in appliances and electronics as well as dairy products (based on 2020 detail data for select categories).  JD also leads in New Retail – grocery delivery and supermarkets. 
PDD appears to be a distant third on 6.18 sales (based on 2020 detail data breakdown – 2021 is unavailable).         


China E-Commerce: 6.18 Festival Getting Bigger - Good for Alibaba, JD, Vipshop

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Israel-Palestine /Cover Story: Hamas attack on Israel reignites region’s cycle of violence</li><li>Fraud /: Hong Kong takes aim at banking fraud as complaints surge</li><li>Securities /: China tightens rules for short selling to prop up stocks</li></ul>

Israel-Palestine /Cover Story: Hamas attack on Israel reignites region’s cycle of violenceFraud /: Hong Kong takes aim at banking fraud as complaints surgeSecurities /: China tightens rules for short selling to prop up stocks

CX Daily: Hamas Attack on Israel Reignites Region’s Cycle of Violence

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>NetEase and Activision Blizzard will possibly terminate their cooperation next January.</li>
<li>Singles’ Day sales were not very successful for e-commerce apps such as Alibaba and JD.com.</li>
<li>IQiyi announced a revenue share rule to short TV series producers, including cost per mille and membership fee.</li>
</ul>


NetEase and Activision Blizzard will possibly terminate their cooperation next January.
Singles’ Day sales were not very successful for e-commerce apps such as Alibaba and JD.com.
IQiyi announced a revenue share rule to short TV series producers, including cost per mille and membership fee.


China Internet Weekly (14Nov2022): NetEase, Activision Blizzard, Alibaba, Tencent, IQiyi, Suning.com

China

Suning.com Co., Ltd. operates retail chain stores to sell household appliances, electronic products, office equipment, and communication products. The Company also provides installation and maintenance services.

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Suning.com (002024 CH)

Tencent (700 HK) To Divest Meituan (3690 HK) - Impact and Index Implications

Tencent is said to be looking at a $20bn block sale of its stake in Meituan (3690 HK) by year end. That's a big block. Maybe a repeat of JD.com?...

Travis Lundy

Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): What's Wrong Recently?

SZI's depressed share price has already reflected the concerns of the market, with upside coming from good logistics segment, asset transformation...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China E-Commerce: 6.18 Festival Getting Bigger - Good for Alibaba, JD, Vipshop

The latest data from the 6.18 Festival suggests potential revenue upside for online shopping platforms. Find out who is strong by category and why...

Mitchell Kim

CX Daily: Hamas Attack on Israel Reignites Region’s Cycle of Violence

Israel-Palestine /Cover Story: Hamas attack on Israel reignites region’s cycle of violence Fraud /: Hong Kong takes aim at banking fraud as...

Caixin Global

China Internet Weekly (14Nov2022): NetEase, Activision Blizzard, Alibaba, Tencent, IQiyi, Suning.com

NetEase and Activision Blizzard will possibly terminate their cooperation next January. Singles’ Day sales are not successful. iQiyi announced...

Ming Lu

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