IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

17 Education & Technology Grou / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/17-education-and-technology-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31033:1" rel="noopener">17 Education and Technology (YQ US)</a> is an online leading education technology company in China. It ranked fifth in online K-12 large-class after-school tutoring market as measured by gross billing and paid course enrolments in 2019 and 1H20, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</p></div><div><p>17 Education has launched its IPO at a price range of $9.50-11.50 per ADS. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, 17 Education will raise net proceeds of $265.2 million. Indications of interest have been received for up to $80 million of the offer shares from the CPE Fund, which is managed by China Pinnacle Equity Management. The IPO will be priced on 3 December. </p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/17-education-technology-ipo-initiation-acquired-taste" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45820" rel="noopener">17 Education &amp; Technology IPO Initiation: Acquired Taste</a>, we stated that investing in the China online education sector requires acceptance that the high upfront losses are a necessary evil which should generate returns through the lifetime value of K-12 students. For investors comfortable with this dynamic, we believe that 17 Education has attractive fundamentals. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive. </p></div></div></div>

17 Education and Technology (YQ US) is an online leading education technology company in China. It ranked fifth in online K-12 large-class after-school tutoring market as measured by gross billing and paid course enrolments in 2019 and 1H20, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.17 Education has launched its IPO at a price range of $9.50-11.50 per ADS. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, 17 Education will raise net proceeds of $265.2 million. Indications of interest have been received for up to $80 million of the offer shares from the CPE Fund, which is managed by China Pinnacle Equity Management. The IPO will be priced on 3 December. In 17 Education &amp; Technology IPO Initiation: Acquired Taste, we stated that investing in the China online education sector requires acceptance that the high upfront losses are a necessary evil which should generate returns through the lifetime value of K-12 students. For investors comfortable with this dynamic, we believe that 17 Education has attractive fundamentals. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive. 

17 Education & Technology IPO: Valuation Insights

Equity Analyst, Event-driven, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst, Event-driven

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

China Distance Education Holdings Ltd (ADR) / Event-Driven

China Distance Education Holdings Ltd (ADR)

<p>On 8th June, the top shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-distance-education-hldgs-ltd-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9679:1" rel="noopener">China Distance Education Hldgs Ltd (Adr) (DL US)</a>, Mr.Zhengdong Zhu and his spouse Ms. Baohong Yin, made a "<em><a href="http://ir.cdeledu.com/news_en/PressReleases_en/li2006087242.shtml" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Preliminary Non-Binding Proposal</a></em>" to acquire all the outstanding shares of the company. </p><p>The Offer Price will be US$9.08 in cash per ADS (US$2.27 per ordinary share) and this translates to an implied market cap of US$307mn for the company. </p><p>The Target board has said it had "<em>just received the Proposal Letter and has not had an opportunity to carefully review and evaluate the proposal or make any decision with respect to the Company’s response to the proposal"</em>. </p><p>At the time of writing, the company's shares are at US$8.21 - approximately 9.6% below the Offer Price (10.6% upside).</p><p>In this insight, we take a look at the details of the proposal to evaluate the likelihood of this Deal going through.</p><p>More below the fold. </p>

On 8th June, the top shareholders of China Distance Education Hldgs Ltd (Adr) (DL US), Mr.Zhengdong Zhu and his spouse Ms. Baohong Yin, made a "Preliminary Non-Binding Proposal" to acquire all the outstanding shares of the company. The Offer Price will be US$9.08 in cash per ADS (US$2.27 per ordinary share) and this translates to an implied market cap of US$307mn for the company. The Target board has said it had "just received the Proposal Letter and has not had an opportunity to carefully review and evaluate the proposal or make any decision with respect to the Company’s response to the proposal". At the time of writing, the company's shares are at US$8.21 - approximately 9.6% below the Offer Price (10.6% upside).In this insight, we take a look at the details of the proposal to evaluate the likelihood of this Deal going through.More below the fold. 

China Distance Education (DL US): Takeover Proposal by the Founders

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/youdao-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28315:1" rel="noopener">Youdao (DAO US)</a> is the online learning unit of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17203:1" rel="noopener">Netease Inc (Adr) (NTES US)</a>, a 66% shareholder. Youdao has launched its IPO at an indicative price range of $15-18 per ADS. Along with a $125 million concurrent private placement, the net proceeds are $208.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/youdao-ipo-initiation-chasing-growth-at-all-costs" target="_blank" rel="noopener">our initiation note</a>, we noted that Youdao sits squarely in the growth-at-all-costs, highly-valued private companies category. We believe that Youdao's fundamentals struggle to justify its last private valuation round, let alone any aspiration to come to the public markets with an excessive valuation. Overall, our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive.</p></div>

Youdao (DAO US) is the online learning unit of Netease Inc (Adr) (NTES US), a 66% shareholder. Youdao has launched its IPO at an indicative price range of $15-18 per ADS. Along with a $125 million concurrent private placement, the net proceeds are $208.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range.In our initiation note, we noted that Youdao sits squarely in the growth-at-all-costs, highly-valued private companies category. We believe that Youdao's fundamentals struggle to justify its last private valuation round, let alone any aspiration to come to the public markets with an excessive valuation. Overall, our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive.

Youdao IPO: Valuation Calls for a Compulsory Re-Education

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/youdao-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28315:1" rel="noopener">Youdao (DAO US)</a> is the online learning unit of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17203:1" rel="noopener">Netease Inc (Adr) (NTES US)</a>, a 66% shareholder. Youdao aims to raise up to $300 million through an NYSE IPO and a $125 million concurrent private placement with Orbis Investment Management. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>We believe that Youdao sits squarely in the growth-at-all-costs, highly-valued private companies category. We believe that Youdao's fundamentals struggle to justify its last private valuation round, let alone any aspiration to come to the public markets with an excessive valuation. </p></div>

Youdao (DAO US) is the online learning unit of Netease Inc (Adr) (NTES US), a 66% shareholder. Youdao aims to raise up to $300 million through an NYSE IPO and a $125 million concurrent private placement with Orbis Investment Management. We believe that Youdao sits squarely in the growth-at-all-costs, highly-valued private companies category. We believe that Youdao's fundamentals struggle to justify its last private valuation round, let alone any aspiration to come to the public markets with an excessive valuation. 

Youdao IPO Initiation: Chasing Growth at All Costs

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/youdao-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28315:1" rel="noopener">Youdao (DAO US)</a>, a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17203:1" rel="noopener">Netease Inc (Adr) (NTES US)</a>, is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming U.S. IPO. </p>
<p>At its core, Dao is an online education company offering courses via live stream format. It also offers learning apps, tools and smart devices to help students with their learning process.</p>
<p>Revenue grew by an impressive 60.5% and 67.7% YoY for FY2018 and 6M 2019 respectively due to higher gross billings per paid student enrollment and average total MAUs.</p>
<p>But margins have been declining. The company's operating losses have been widening while conversion rate worsened even though the company has been focusing on increasing student enrollment.</p>

Youdao (DAO US), a subsidiary of Netease Inc (Adr) (NTES US), is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming U.S. IPO. 
At its core, Dao is an online education company offering courses via live stream format. It also offers learning apps, tools and smart devices to help students with their learning process.
Revenue grew by an impressive 60.5% and 67.7% YoY for FY2018 and 6M 2019 respectively due to higher gross billings per paid student enrollment and average total MAUs.
But margins have been declining. The company's operating losses have been widening while conversion rate worsened even though the company has been focusing on increasing student enrollment.

Youdao, Inc (有道) Pre-IPO - Weak Conversion Rate Is a Worry

China

Sunlands Technology Group provides educational services. The Company offers programs in engineering, accounting, human resource management, finance, and languages. Sunlands Technology Group serves students in China.

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Sunlands Technology Group (STG US)

17 Education & Technology IPO: Valuation Insights

17 Education has launched its IPO at a price range of $9.50-11.50 per ADS. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive.

Arun George

China Distance Education (DL US): Takeover Proposal by the Founders

On 8th June, the top shareholders of China Distance Education Hldgs Ltd (Adr) (DL US), Mr.Zhengdong Zhu and his spouse Ms. Baohong Yin, made a...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Youdao IPO: Valuation Calls for a Compulsory Re-Education

Youdao (DAO US) is the online learning unit of Netease Inc (Adr) (NTES US), a 66% shareholder. Youdao has launched its IPO at an indicative price...

Arun George

Youdao IPO Initiation: Chasing Growth at All Costs

Youdao (DAO US) is the online learning unit of Netease Inc (Adr) (NTES US), a 66% shareholder. Youdao aims to raise up to $300 million through an...

Arun George

Youdao, Inc (有道) Pre-IPO - Weak Conversion Rate Is a Worry

Youdao (DAO US), a subsidiary of Netease Inc (Adr) (NTES US), is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming U.S. IPO. At its core, Dao is an online...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

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