Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH index is trading higher on higher breadth and momentum in January, up 6% so far.  Analysts project an upside of 23% over 12 months.</li>
<li>China's semiconductor sector is advancing this year from AI enthusiasm and accelerated localization in the chip industry.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a> shares have benefited from this trend.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> benefits from China's announcement that it will subsidize more consumer products, including smartphones and new vehicles.
</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH index is trading higher on higher breadth and momentum in January, up 6% so far.  Analysts project an upside of 23% over 12 months.
China's semiconductor sector is advancing this year from AI enthusiasm and accelerated localization in the chip industry.  Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK) shares have benefited from this trend.

Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) benefits from China's announcement that it will subsidize more consumer products, including smartphones and new vehicles.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 25)

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Information technology very strong with AAC Tech, Sunny Optical, Kingdee Int’l and Byd Elec all posting &gt; 10% weekly gains.</li>
<li>Gains were positive with helpful seasonals but not as widespread as last week with fewer singles stocks and Sectors participating in the rally.</li>
<li>China Vanke has big increase in option trading, in particular Calls, with implied vols also rising. </li>
</ul>


Information technology very strong with AAC Tech, Sunny Optical, Kingdee Int’l and Byd Elec all posting &gt; 10% weekly gains.
Gains were positive with helpful seasonals but not as widespread as last week with fewer singles stocks and Sectors participating in the rally.
China Vanke has big increase in option trading, in particular Calls, with implied vols also rising. 


EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (January 20 – 24): Rally Continues on Less Participation

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Global AI smart glasses shipment jumped 588% YoY to 2.34mn in 2024, thanks to strong sales of Ray Ban Meta in 4Q24 (1.36mn; +183% QoQ).</li><li>Looking into 2025, AI smart glasses market is set to continue strong momentum with 135% YoY growth to 5.5mn units, backed by strong product pipeline from Meta/Xiaomi /Bytedance/Ray Neo/Rokid, based on Wellsenn XR.</li><li>As more players expand into AI smart glass products, we expect BOM cost will decline gradually and more killer apps in AI glasses to become prevalent in the next few years. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Global AI smart glasses shipment jumped 588% YoY to 2.34mn in 2024, thanks to strong sales of Ray Ban Meta in 4Q24 (1.36mn; +183% QoQ).Looking into 2025, AI smart glasses market is set to continue strong momentum with 135% YoY growth to 5.5mn units, backed by strong product pipeline from Meta/Xiaomi /Bytedance/Ray Neo/Rokid, based on Wellsenn XR.As more players expand into AI smart glass products, we expect BOM cost will decline gradually and more killer apps in AI glasses to become prevalent in the next few years. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - Global AI Smart Glasses Market Set to Kick off in 2025

<ul><li>4Q24 global smartphone shipments grew 2.4% YoY to 332mn units, driven by China sales promotions, new model launches and aggressive trade-ins.</li><li>By brand, Xiaomi/Vivo outperformed peers with 4.8%/12.7% YoY growth in 4Q24, while Apple/Samsung declined 4.1%/2.7% YoY with share loss.</li><li>Looking ahead to 2025, we estimate global smartphone shipments to grow 3% YoY boosted by iPhone 17 cycle, AI integration and Chinese subsidy programs. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

4Q24 global smartphone shipments grew 2.4% YoY to 332mn units, driven by China sales promotions, new model launches and aggressive trade-ins.By brand, Xiaomi/Vivo outperformed peers with 4.8%/12.7% YoY growth in 4Q24, while Apple/Samsung declined 4.1%/2.7% YoY with share loss.Looking ahead to 2025, we estimate global smartphone shipments to grow 3% YoY boosted by iPhone 17 cycle, AI integration and Chinese subsidy programs. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - 4Q24 Global Smartphone Shipments Ahead; Xiaomi/Vivo Outperformed Apple/Samsung

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Longfor Group, Logan Group, Vedanta Resources, Sunny Optical</li>
<li>In the US, the December 2024 nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly jumped to 256 k (165 k e / 212 k revised p), with November’s data adjusted downwards by 15 k. Average hourly earnings edged down to 0.3% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.4% p) and 3.9% y-o-y (4.0% e / 4.0% p), while the unemployment rate declined to 4.1% (4.2% e / 4.2% p).</li>
<li>Separately, the January 2025 (preliminary) University of Michigan consumer sentiment index fell to 73.2 (74.0 e / 74.0 p). The one-year inflation expectation among consumers soared to 3.3% (2.8% e / 2.8% p), the highest since May 2024 and above the 2.3-3.0% range seen in the two years prior to the COVID-19 pandemic.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Longfor Group, Logan Group, Vedanta Resources, Sunny Optical
In the US, the December 2024 nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly jumped to 256 k (165 k e / 212 k revised p), with November’s data adjusted downwards by 15 k. Average hourly earnings edged down to 0.3% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.4% p) and 3.9% y-o-y (4.0% e / 4.0% p), while the unemployment rate declined to 4.1% (4.2% e / 4.2% p).
Separately, the January 2025 (preliminary) University of Michigan consumer sentiment index fell to 73.2 (74.0 e / 74.0 p). The one-year inflation expectation among consumers soared to 3.3% (2.8% e / 2.8% p), the highest since May 2024 and above the 2.3-3.0% range seen in the two years prior to the COVID-19 pandemic.


China

Sunny Optical Technology Group Co., Limited designs and manufactures optical and optical related products. The Company's products include glass/plastic lenses, prisms, mobile phone camera modules, microscopes, surveying instruments, and other analytical instruments.

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Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 25)

HSTECH advances with good market breadth in January. SMIC is benefiting from AI advances as well as the localization trend in semi industry. ...

David Mudd

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (January 20 – 24): Rally Continues on Less Participation

Strong gains in information technology stocks AAC Tech, Sunny Optical, Kingdee Int’l, and Byd Elec, but rally not as widespread as last week.

John Ley

Technology - Global AI Smart Glasses Market Set to Kick off in 2025

Global AI smart glasses shipment jumped 588% YoY to 2.34mn in 2024, thanks to strong sales of Ray Ban Meta in 4Q24 (1.36mn; +183% QoQ).

CMB International

Technology - 4Q24 Global Smartphone Shipments Ahead; Xiaomi/Vivo Outperformed Apple/Samsung

4Q24 global smartphone shipments grew 2.4% YoY to 332mn units, driven by China sales promotions, new model launches and aggressive trade-ins.

CMB International

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Longfor Group, Logan Group, Vedanta Resources,...

Lucror Analytics

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The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 25)

HSTECH advances with good market breadth in January. SMIC is benefiting from AI advances as well as the localization trend in semi industry. ...

David Mudd

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (January 20 – 24): Rally Continues on Less Participation

​Strong gains in information technology stocks AAC Tech, Sunny Optical, Kingdee Int’l, and Byd Elec, but rally not as widespread as last week.

John Ley

Technology - Global AI Smart Glasses Market Set to Kick off in 2025

Global AI smart glasses shipment jumped 588% YoY to 2.34mn in 2024, thanks to strong sales of Ray Ban Meta in 4Q24 (1.36mn; +183% QoQ).

CMB International

Technology - 4Q24 Global Smartphone Shipments Ahead; Xiaomi/Vivo Outperformed Apple/Samsung

4Q24 global smartphone shipments grew 2.4% YoY to 332mn units, driven by China sales promotions, new model launches and aggressive trade-ins.

CMB International

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Longfor Group, Logan Group, Vedanta Resources,...

Lucror Analytics

Strong gains in information technology stocks AAC Tech, Sunny Optical, Kingdee Int’l, and Byd Elec, but rally not as widespread as last week.