Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$9.2bn this week (now 26wks in a row of net buying), on smallish two-way volumes.</li>
<li>I've thought national team was buying banks for months. They were gone for a couple of weeks. Feels like they are back. </li>
<li>There were three ETFs in the top five SOUTHBOUND sells this past week, reversing last week. Energy, Utilities, Telecoms bought. </li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$9.2bn this week (now 26wks in a row of net buying), on smallish two-way volumes.
I've thought national team was buying banks for months. They were gone for a couple of weeks. Feels like they are back. 
There were three ETFs in the top five SOUTHBOUND sells this past week, reversing last week. Energy, Utilities, Telecoms bought. 


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 2 Aug 2024); ETFs Get Sold; Tencent, SOEs, Utilities Bought

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Apple reported 3QFY24 (2QCY24) revenue of US$85.78bn (+5% YoY) and EPS of US$1.40 (+11% YoY), which are 2% and 3% above Bloomberg consensus, thanks to strong iPad sales (+24%), record services revenue (+14%), and record sales in Americas, Europe, and the rest of APAC offsetting China weakness.</li><li>For 4QFY24E, mgmt. expected revenue to grow at a similar pace (+5% YoY) as fiscal 3Q, and service revenue to grow double digits at a similar rate (+10-14%) as the previous three quarters.</li><li>With the upcoming launch of Apple Intelligence/iOS18 in fall, we expect AI features and product upgrades to boost replacement cycle of iPhone 16 in 2H24E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apple reported 3QFY24 (2QCY24) revenue of US$85.78bn (+5% YoY) and EPS of US$1.40 (+11% YoY), which are 2% and 3% above Bloomberg consensus, thanks to strong iPad sales (+24%), record services revenue (+14%), and record sales in Americas, Europe, and the rest of APAC offsetting China weakness.For 4QFY24E, mgmt. expected revenue to grow at a similar pace (+5% YoY) as fiscal 3Q, and service revenue to grow double digits at a similar rate (+10-14%) as the previous three quarters.With the upcoming launch of Apple Intelligence/iOS18 in fall, we expect AI features and product upgrades to boost replacement cycle of iPhone 16 in 2H24E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - Apple 3QFY24 Beat on Strong IPad and Services

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 26th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, China Petroleum &amp; Chemical Corporation, Meituan.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 26th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, China Petroleum &amp; Chemical Corporation, Meituan.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 26th): Tencent, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, Meituan

Equity Bottom-Up

Sunny Optical Technology Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We upgrade Sunny Optical to BUY and raise our TP to HK$67.88 following 1H24 positive profit alert of 140-150% YoY growth, as we think Sunny’s GPM recovery, iPhone share gain and hybrid/periscope cam adoption are tracking ahead of expectations.</li><li>We revised up our FY24-25E EPS by 46-82% to reflect stronger GPM, iPhone share gain (18%/25% in 2024/25E, vs 15% in 2023), iPhone order wins (front-cam/TOF in 2024, hybrid lens in 2025) and periscopecam adoption in Android flagships.</li><li>We also believe AI smartphone launches will accelerate upgrade cycle in 2H24E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We upgrade Sunny Optical to BUY and raise our TP to HK$67.88 following 1H24 positive profit alert of 140-150% YoY growth, as we think Sunny’s GPM recovery, iPhone share gain and hybrid/periscope cam adoption are tracking ahead of expectations.We revised up our FY24-25E EPS by 46-82% to reflect stronger GPM, iPhone share gain (18%/25% in 2024/25E, vs 15% in 2023), iPhone order wins (front-cam/TOF in 2024, hybrid lens in 2025) and periscopecam adoption in Android flagships.We also believe AI smartphone launches will accelerate upgrade cycle in 2H24E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sunny Optical (2382 HK) - Positive Profit Alert Alleviates GPM Concerns; Upgrade to BUY

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong market trades about 30% below analysts' estimated 12 month target price.</li>
<li>Analysts are raising forecasts for<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> as it meets success with new phone rollouts and its EV business.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> had a positive profit alert and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minth-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9232:1" rel="noopener">Minth Group Ltd (425 HK)</a> is showing growth in its international business. Both are rated BUY from analysts.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong market trades about 30% below analysts' estimated 12 month target price.
Analysts are raising forecasts forXiaomi Corp (1810 HK) as it meets success with new phone rollouts and its EV business.  

Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) had a positive profit alert and Minth Group Ltd (425 HK) is showing growth in its international business. Both are rated BUY from analysts.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 22)

China

Sunny Optical Technology Group Co., Limited designs and manufactures optical and optical related products. The Company's products include glass/plastic lenses, prisms, mobile phone camera modules, microscopes, surveying instruments, and other analytical instruments.

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Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 2 Aug 2024); ETFs Get Sold; Tencent, SOEs, Utilities Bought

SOUTHBOUND flows for HK Connect were to the net buy side for the 26th week in a row. SOEs in Energy, Telcos, and Utilities were strong. Banks too....

Travis Lundy

Technology - Apple 3QFY24 Beat on Strong IPad and Services

Apple reported 3QFY24 (2QCY24) revenue of US$85.78bn (+5% YoY) and EPS of US$1.40 (+11% YoY), which are 2% and 3% above Bloomberg consensus

CMB International

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 26th): Tencent, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, Meituan

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Tencent, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, Meituan.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Sunny Optical (2382 HK) - Positive Profit Alert Alleviates GPM Concerns; Upgrade to BUY

We revised up our FY24-25E EPS by 46-82% to reflect stronger GPM, iPhone share gain (18%/25% in 2024/25E, vs 15% in 2023), iPhone order wins (front...

CMB International

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 22)

Xiaomi launches its new AI enabled phone and has success in EVs. Sunny Optical has seen its auto lens business grow and Minth is successfully...

David Mudd

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