Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of May 16th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD329m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Dialog, Gamuda, Sime Darby Property, Inari Amertron, Wct.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of May 16th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD329m.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Dialog, Gamuda, Sime Darby Property, Inari Amertron, Wct.


Bursa Short Interest Weekly (May 16th): Dialog, Gamuda, Sime Darby Property, Inari Amertron, Wct

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of May 9th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD330m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Tenaga Nasional, JYC Intl, Axiata, Sunway, Rhb Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of May 9th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD330m.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Tenaga Nasional, JYC Intl, Axiata, Sunway, Rhb Bank.


Bursa Short Interest Weekly (May 9th): Tenaga Nasional, JYC Intl, Axiata, Sunway, Rhb Bank

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of May 2nd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD0.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Ctos Digital, Eco World Develop, Berjaya, Drb - Hicom, Ytl.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of May 2nd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD0.3bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Ctos Digital, Eco World Develop, Berjaya, Drb - Hicom, Ytl.


Bursa Short Interest Weekly (May 2nd): Ctos Digital, Eco World Develop, Berjaya, Drb - Hicom, Ytl

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings / Index Rebalance

99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SMART MK)

<ul>
<li>There is a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gamuda-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14363:1" rel="noopener">Gamuda Bhd (GAM MK)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3141:1" rel="noopener">Genting Malaysia (GENM MK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuala-lumpur-composite-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22913:1" rel="noopener">Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) (FBMKLCI INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/99-speed-mart-retail-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40977:1" rel="noopener">99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SPD MK)</a> is a close add and needs small outperformance over the next week to be added. That could see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14210:1" rel="noopener">Genting Bhd (GENT MK)</a> deleted.</li>
<li>Passive funds benchmarked to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuala-lumpur-composite-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22913:1" rel="noopener">Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) (FBMKLCI INDEX)</a> will need to buy 0.3-0.75x ADV on the potential adds and sell 0.9-1.3x ADV on the potential deletes.</li>
</ul>


There is a high probability of Gamuda Bhd (GAM MK) replacing Genting Malaysia (GENM MK) in the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) (FBMKLCI INDEX) in December.

99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SPD MK) is a close add and needs small outperformance over the next week to be added. That could see Genting Bhd (GENT MK) deleted.
Passive funds benchmarked to the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) (FBMKLCI INDEX) will need to buy 0.3-0.75x ADV on the potential adds and sell 0.9-1.3x ADV on the potential deletes.


KLCI Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One at the Cusp

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We initiate coverage with a Buy recommendation for OKJ, with a 2025E fair value of Bt8.69, using the earnings yield method, based on the projected earnings per share, discounted by a required rate of return of 5.4%.</li><li>OKJ operates a business focusing on providing premium food, beverages, and health products while building an environmentally conscious organic agricultural supply chain.</li><li>We expect OKJ's net profit to grow at a CAGR of 37%, increasing from Bt141mn in 2023 to Bt365mn in 2026E.</li></ul>

We initiate coverage with a Buy recommendation for OKJ, with a 2025E fair value of Bt8.69, using the earnings yield method, based on the projected earnings per share, discounted by a required rate of return of 5.4%.OKJ operates a business focusing on providing premium food, beverages, and health products while building an environmentally conscious organic agricultural supply chain.We expect OKJ's net profit to grow at a CAGR of 37%, increasing from Bt141mn in 2023 to Bt365mn in 2026E.

Ideology That Can Be Consumed - Fair Value 2025E: Bt8.69

Malaysia

Sunway Bhd. is a property development and construction company. The Company's other business divisions include quarrying and building materials trading and manufacturing, hospitality, leisure, and healthcare.

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Sunway Bhd (SWB MK)

Bursa Short Interest Weekly (May 16th): Dialog, Gamuda, Sime Darby Property, Inari Amertron, Wct

We analyzed Bursa Malaysia short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Dialog, Gamuda, Sime Darby Property,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Bursa Short Interest Weekly (May 9th): Tenaga Nasional, JYC Intl, Axiata, Sunway, Rhb Bank

We analyzed Bursa Malaysia short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Tenaga Nasional, JYC Intl, Axiata,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Bursa Short Interest Weekly (May 2nd): Ctos Digital, Eco World Develop, Berjaya, Drb - Hicom, Ytl

We analyzed Bursa Malaysia short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Ctos Digital, Eco World Develop,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KLCI Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One at the Cusp

There is one high probability change for the KLCI in December. Depending on price movements over the next week, there could be a second change....

Brian Freitas

Ideology That Can Be Consumed - Fair Value 2025E: Bt8.69

We initiate coverage with a Buy recommendation for OKJ, with a 2025E fair value of Bt8.69, using the earnings yield method, based on the projected...

Krungthai XSpring

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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