External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Sharekhan

Sharekhan

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Sharekhan is India's leading broking house providing services from easy online trading, research to wide array of financial products. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Q2FY2025 earnings performance lagged estimates led by sharp volatility in PVC prices, weak infrastructure demand and extended monsoons.</li><li>However, adjusted OPMs beat estimates.</li><li>The management lowered overall volume growth guidance to 14-15% y-o-y and plastic piping volume growth to 16-18% y-o-y for FY2025. Consolidated OPM guidance marginally lowered to 14.5-15.25%.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2FY2025 earnings performance lagged estimates led by sharp volatility in PVC prices, weak infrastructure demand and extended monsoons.However, adjusted OPMs beat estimates.The management lowered overall volume growth guidance to 14-15% y-o-y and plastic piping volume growth to 16-18% y-o-y for FY2025. Consolidated OPM guidance marginally lowered to 14.5-15.25%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Supreme Industries Ltd - Steep PVC Volatility Dent Q2; Dip Offers Buying Opportunity

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited provides investment services. The Company provides corporate and investment banking, securities, wealth management, retail brokerage, initial public offerings, and advisory services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>In Q2FY25, Supreme Industries (SI) reported disappointing operational performance.</li><li>Blended plastic volume was flat YoY with pipes volume being flat too YoY (-27.1% QoQ; 5-year CAGR of 8.6%).</li><li>As per management, volumes were tepid in Q2 due to PVC price volatility, adverse weather and low infra spending.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q2FY25, Supreme Industries (SI) reported disappointing operational performance.Blended plastic volume was flat YoY with pipes volume being flat too YoY (-27.1% QoQ; 5-year CAGR of 8.6%).As per management, volumes were tepid in Q2 due to PVC price volatility, adverse weather and low infra spending.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Supreme Industries - Volumes and Profitability Disappoint; Pipe Volume Guidance Cut Sharply

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices ends on Friday. There will be a lot of changes across the family.</li>
<li>Hang Seng Indices will announce the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a> and the HSCI after market close on Friday.</li>
<li>There were HUGE inflows to onshore China focused ETFs during the week with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index</a> ETFs taking in the largest amounts.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices ends on Friday. There will be a lot of changes across the family.
Hang Seng Indices will announce the changes to the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, Hang Seng TECH Index and the HSCI after market close on Friday.
There were HUGE inflows to onshore China focused ETFs during the week with CSI 300 Index, CSI 500 Index and SSE50 Index ETFs taking in the largest amounts.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: JPXNK400, Kenedix, Positioning - India, Japan, Korea

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/power-finance-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13579:1" rel="noopener">Power Finance</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astral-poly-technik-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7890:1" rel="noopener">Astral</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idfc-first-bank-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26934:1" rel="noopener">IDFC First Bank</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cummins-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7365:1" rel="noopener">Cummins India</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-asset-management-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27027:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Asset Management</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashok-leyland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20104:1" rel="noopener">Ashok Leyland</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/polycab-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27877:1" rel="noopener">Polycab India</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/supreme-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11443:1" rel="noopener">Supreme Industries</a> have all run up over the recent past and have investor attention.</li>
<li>The increase in market cap has put the stocks on active manager radars and could also result in the stocks being added to global indices in the near future.</li>
<li>We take a look at the positioning on the stocks and recommend pair trades to reduce market risk while trying to capture alpha.</li>
</ul>



Power Finance, Astral, IDFC First Bank, Cummins India, HDFC Asset Management, Ashok Leyland, Polycab India and Supreme Industries have all run up over the recent past and have investor attention.
The increase in market cap has put the stocks on active manager radars and could also result in the stocks being added to global indices in the near future.
We take a look at the positioning on the stocks and recommend pair trades to reduce market risk while trying to capture alpha.


India - Positioning on Some Interesting Names

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>We speak to channels of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kajaria-ceramics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13916:1" rel="noopener">Kajaria Ceramics (KJC IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indigo-paints" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31308:1" rel="noopener">Indigo Paints (INDIGOPN IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/finolex-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1469:1" rel="noopener">Finolex Industries (FNXP IN)</a> to understand the current operating environment.</li>
<li>For <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kajaria-ceramics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13916:1" rel="noopener">Kajaria Ceramics (KJC IN)</a> volume outlook is cloudy.  Paint customers are opting for some down trading but within organised players only. </li>
<li>Improved product quality at competitive price is aiding <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/finolex-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1469:1" rel="noopener">Finolex Industries (FNXP IN)</a> to gain some market share.</li>
</ul>


We speak to channels of Kajaria Ceramics (KJC IN) , Indigo Paints (INDIGOPN IN) &amp; Finolex Industries (FNXP IN) to understand the current operating environment.
For Kajaria Ceramics (KJC IN) volume outlook is cloudy.  Paint customers are opting for some down trading but within organised players only. 
Improved product quality at competitive price is aiding Finolex Industries (FNXP IN) to gain some market share.


Channel Insight #30 - Kajaria, Indigo Paints, Finolex Pipes

India

Supreme Industries Limited is India's largest plastics processing company, manufacturing a wide range of plastic products. Its core business activities span plastic piping systems, protective packaging, industrial components, and molded furniture. The company was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

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Supreme Industries (SI IN)

Supreme Industries Ltd - Steep PVC Volatility Dent Q2; Dip Offers Buying Opportunity

Q2FY2025 earnings performance lagged estimates led by sharp volatility in PVC prices, weak infrastructure demand and extended monsoons. However,...

Sharekhan

Supreme Industries - Volumes and Profitability Disappoint; Pipe Volume Guidance Cut Sharply

In Q2FY25, Supreme Industries (SI) reported disappointing operational performance. Blended plastic volume was flat YoY with pipes volume being flat...

ICICI Securities Limited

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: JPXNK400, Kenedix, Positioning - India, Japan, Korea

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

India - Positioning on Some Interesting Names

Quite a few Indian stocks have jumped in price recently and the increased market cap will put them on active investors radars and could get the...

Brian Freitas

Channel Insight #30 - Kajaria, Indigo Paints, Finolex Pipes

We speak to channels of Kajaria Ceramics (KJC IN) , Indigo Paints (INDIGOPN IN) & Finolex Industries (FNXP IN) to understand the current operating...

Pranav Bhavsar

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