Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Huadian New Energy Group / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500 names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.</li>
<li>Currently, we see 10 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 49 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500 names.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
Currently, we see 10 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 49 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec25: Trade Moving in the Right Direction; Large Flows Expected

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 500 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Henan Shenhuo Coal &amp; Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery, Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy, Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Shenergy, Maanshan Iron &amp; Steel, Yonghui Superstores.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 500 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Henan Shenhuo Coal &amp; Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery, Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy, Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Shenergy, Maanshan Iron &amp; Steel, Yonghui Superstores.


CSI 500 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Chinese iPhone glass supplier <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lens-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45390:1" rel="noopener">Lens Technology (6613 HK)</a> has announced the terms for its H-share listing, and plans to raise around US$600m through issuing 262.3m shares.</li>
<li>The company's listing is priced at HK$17.38-18.18 per share, at a 25-28% discount to the last close price of the  A-shares as of 27th June.</li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the company’s H-share offering is priced reasonably compared to domestic and international peers.</li>
</ul>


Chinese iPhone glass supplier Lens Technology (6613 HK) has announced the terms for its H-share listing, and plans to raise around US$600m through issuing 262.3m shares.
The company's listing is priced at HK$17.38-18.18 per share, at a 25-28% discount to the last close price of the  A-shares as of 27th June.
Our valuation analysis suggests that the company’s H-share offering is priced reasonably compared to domestic and international peers.


Lens Technology H-Share Listing: Thoughts on Valuation

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a>, 50 changes for the CSI 500 Index and 100 changes for the CSI1000 Index that will be implemented on 13 June.</li>
<li>There are 240 unique names that are adds or deletes and the round-trip trade across all 3 indices is close to US$12bn.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> and the CSI 1000 Index but underperformed for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 7 changes for the CSI 300 Index, 50 changes for the CSI 500 Index and 100 changes for the CSI1000 Index that will be implemented on 13 June.
There are 240 unique names that are adds or deletes and the round-trip trade across all 3 indices is close to US$12bn.
The adds have outperformed the deletes for the CSI 300 Index and the CSI 1000 Index but underperformed for the CSI 500 Index.


CSI300/CSI500/CSI1000 Index Rebalance: Changes Lead to US$12bn Trade

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li><em>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</em></li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 14.8bn of A-shares. It was a big net sell week in relatively low gross NORTHBOUND volume.</li>
<li>HK large caps outperformed Mainland large caps generally. Tech (HSTECH vs Star50 and ChiNext) saw even better HK outperformance.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 14.8bn of A-shares. It was a big net sell week in relatively low gross NORTHBOUND volume.
HK large caps outperformed Mainland large caps generally. Tech (HSTECH vs Star50 and ChiNext) saw even better HK outperformance.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 9 Aug 2024): Back to Net Selling of Renewables and Consumer

China

Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells precision metal plate and cast metal.  The Company's products include communication equipment precision metal part, and machine bed precision metal part.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Suzhou Dongshan Precision A (002384 CH)

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec25: Trade Moving in the Right Direction; Large Flows Expected

There could be US$4.3bn and US$3.8bn one-way flows for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 index rebal events in December 2025 based on our latest estimates.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI 500 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery

We analyzed CSI 500's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power (000933 CH), Guangxi Liugong Machinery...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI300/CSI500/CSI1000 Index Rebalance: Changes Lead to US$12bn Trade

The 314 changes to the CSI300/500/1000 indices lead to 240 unique names. The round-trip trade across all three indices is around US$12bn. Some...

Brian Freitas

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 9 Aug 2024): Back to Net Selling of Renewables and Consumer

NORTHBOUND back to the sell side last week. Pretty much across the board but renewables-related (solar, btty, EVs) were all sells. EVs to be...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec25: Trade Moving in the Right Direction; Large Flows Expected

There could be US$4.3bn and US$3.8bn one-way flows for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 index rebal events in December 2025 based on our latest estimates.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI 500 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery

We analyzed CSI 500's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power (000933 CH), Guangxi Liugong Machinery...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Lens Technology H-Share Listing: Thoughts on Valuation

​Chinese iPhone glass supplier Lens Technology plans to raise $600m through H-share listing, priced at 25-28% discount to A-shares, our valuation...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

CSI300/CSI500/CSI1000 Index Rebalance: Changes Lead to US$12bn Trade

The 314 changes to the CSI300/500/1000 indices lead to 240 unique names. The round-trip trade across all three indices is around US$12bn. Some...

Brian Freitas

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 9 Aug 2024): Back to Net Selling of Renewables and Consumer

NORTHBOUND back to the sell side last week. Pretty much across the board but renewables-related (solar, btty, EVs) were all sells. EVs to be...

Travis Lundy

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec25: Trade Moving in the Right Direction; Large Flows Expected

Chinese iPhone glass supplier Lens Technology plans to raise $600m through H-share listing, priced at 25-28% discount to A-shares, our valuation...