Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 15th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,746.9 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, and offset by utilities, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Chongqing Sokon Industry Group Stock, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 15th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,746.9 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, and offset by utilities, real estate.
We highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Chongqing Sokon Industry Group Stock, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows (Dec 15th): China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Hygon Information Technology C / Event-Driven

Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH)

<ul>
<li>Local indices in China including the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index</a> will rebalance at the close tomorrow.</li>
<li>There are many changes for the indices and there are stocks that are adds and/or deletes from multiple indices which results in cumulative or offsetting flows.</li>
<li>We estimate turnover at the close tomorrow in China will be around US$7.5bn with big impact on a lot of stocks.</li>
</ul>


Local indices in China including the CSI 300 Index, CSI 500 Index, STAR50 Index and SSE50 Index will rebalance at the close tomorrow.
There are many changes for the indices and there are stocks that are adds and/or deletes from multiple indices which results in cumulative or offsetting flows.
We estimate turnover at the close tomorrow in China will be around US$7.5bn with big impact on a lot of stocks.


China: Consolidated Flows at the Close Tomorrow

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There will be 6 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX)</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index. Implementation is at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>There is a lot of overlap between the adds and deletes across both indices with the one-way trade across both indices estimated to be CNY 2.4bn.</li>
<li>The adds and deletes have drifted lower over the last few months. However, the adds have outperformed the deletes significantly in the last month.</li>
</ul>


There will be 6 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index. Implementation is at the close on 8 December.
There is a lot of overlap between the adds and deletes across both indices with the one-way trade across both indices estimated to be CNY 2.4bn.
The adds and deletes have drifted lower over the last few months. However, the adds have outperformed the deletes significantly in the last month.


ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: Adds Outperforming Deletes Now

<ul>
<li>Wednesday will be a busy day as positions are put on and unwound following announcement of the changes to the MSC indices.</li>
<li>Friday will end the review cutoff for the ASX indices and Hang Seng Indexes will announce the December changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSCI post market close.</li>
<li>Another week of large outflows for China focused ETFs with redemptions across all the major indices.</li>
</ul>


Wednesday will be a busy day as positions are put on and unwound following announcement of the changes to the MSC indices.
Friday will end the review cutoff for the ASX indices and Hang Seng Indexes will announce the December changes for the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSCI post market close.
Another week of large outflows for China focused ETFs with redemptions across all the major indices.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: SSE50, Chinext/50, Renesas, Tencent, Amman Mineral

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 13th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,898.6 million, led by industrials, information technology, and offset by consumer discretionary, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Longi Green, China Tourism, Iflytek, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 13th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,898.6 million, led by industrials, information technology, and offset by consumer discretionary, health care.
We highlight flows for Longi Green, China Tourism, Iflytek, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows (Oct 13th): Longi Green, China Tourism, Iflytek, Ping An Insurance

China

Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. researches, develops, and distributes fiber optic components.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Suzhou Tfc Optical Communi-A (300394 CH)

Northbound Flows (Dec 15th): China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China: Consolidated Flows at the Close Tomorrow

Local indices in China rebalance tomorrow and we estimate passives will need to trade around CNY 54bn (US$7.5bn). There will be big impact on some...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: Adds Outperforming Deletes Now

There are 6 changes for the ChiNext and 5 changes for the ChiNext50 with a lot of overlap in names. The adds have outperformed the deletes over the...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: SSE50, Chinext/50, Renesas, Tencent, Amman Mineral

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Oct 13th): Longi Green, China Tourism, Iflytek, Ping An Insurance

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Longi Green, China Tourism, Iflytek, Ping An...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Northbound Flows (Dec 15th): China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China: Consolidated Flows at the Close Tomorrow

Local indices in China rebalance tomorrow and we estimate passives will need to trade around CNY 54bn (US$7.5bn). There will be big impact on some...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: Adds Outperforming Deletes Now

There are 6 changes for the ChiNext and 5 changes for the ChiNext50 with a lot of overlap in names. The adds have outperformed the deletes over the...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: SSE50, Chinext/50, Renesas, Tencent, Amman Mineral

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Oct 13th): Longi Green, China Tourism, Iflytek, Ping An Insurance

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Longi Green, China Tourism, Iflytek, Ping An...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: Adds Outperforming Deletes Now