Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>This is the brand spanking new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>The data on liquid names is presented for 5 days and 4 weeks and anything seen can be ranked in tables or selected and charted (names, sectors, outperformance, etc).</li>
<li>Please play with nifty interactive tables+charts. We welcome feedback. This 5-day week saw RMB 13bn+ of net selling. Back to the trenches!</li>
</ul>


This is the brand spanking new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.
The data on liquid names is presented for 5 days and 4 weeks and anything seen can be ranked in tables or selected and charted (names, sectors, outperformance, etc).
Please play with nifty interactive tables+charts. We welcome feedback. This 5-day week saw RMB 13bn+ of net selling. Back to the trenches!


Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 13Oct23) : Innolight/BYD IN, but Net Selling Again.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Wuhan Jingce Electronic Group / Index Rebalance

Wuhan Jingce Electronic Group (300567 CH)

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 8 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX)</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in December.</li>
<li>Given stock selection uses liquidity as a major input, the impact of passive trading will be much larger on the deletions as compared to the additions.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes, but relative performance has been drifting lower over the last few months. There are stocks that will have flows from other indices.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 8 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in December.
Given stock selection uses liquidity as a major input, the impact of passive trading will be much larger on the deletions as compared to the additions.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes, but relative performance has been drifting lower over the last few months. There are stocks that will have flows from other indices.


ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Sector Rotation Continues

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 15th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,170.6 million, led by industrials, information technology, and offset by health care, consumer discretionary, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Zhongji Innolight, CATL, Moutai, Wuliangye, Longi Green, Boe Technology, China Tourism, China Petroleum And Chemical.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 15th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,170.6 million, led by industrials, information technology, and offset by health care, consumer discretionary, utilities.
We highlight flows for Zhongji Innolight, CATL, Moutai, Wuliangye, Longi Green, Boe Technology, China Tourism, China Petroleum And Chemical.


Northbound Flows (Sep 15th): Six Weeks of Outflows

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The ChiNext Index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELETEs in the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
</ul>


The ChiNext Index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELETEs in the December 2023 Rebalance.


Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50: A Potential Basket Trade

Western Superconducting Techno / Index Rebalance

Western Superconducting Techno (688122 CH)

<ul>
<li>Over 85% of the way through the review period for the December rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI500 Index</a>, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 9.4% at the December rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 7.22bn.</li>
<li>With the market being stabilised through the ETF route, the index constituents have outperformed the non-index constituents over the last 6-7 weeks. That could reverse over the near term.</li>
</ul>


Over 85% of the way through the review period for the December rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 8 December.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 9.4% at the December rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 7.22bn.
With the market being stabilised through the ETF route, the index constituents have outperformed the non-index constituents over the last 6-7 weeks. That could reverse over the near term.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: ETF Inflows Lead to Performance Skew

China

Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. researches, develops, and distributes fiber optic components.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Suzhou Tfc Optical Communi-A (300394 CH)

Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 13Oct23) : Innolight/BYD IN, but Net Selling Again.

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND flows saw net selling, again. RMB 13bn+ of net selling this past week. The big names continue to see the big trading,...

Travis Lundy

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Sector Rotation Continues

There could be 8 changes for the Chinext and 5 for the Chinext50. Impact is higher on the deletions. The IT sector gains index spots while...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Sep 15th): Six Weeks of Outflows

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Zhongji Innolight, CATL, Moutai, Wuliangye, Longi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50: A Potential Basket Trade

I see 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 index and 9 changes for the ChiNext index. I expect the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 Expected ADDs to outperform the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: ETF Inflows Lead to Performance Skew

There should be 50 changes in Dec with a big sector skew. Turnover is ~10% and 31 stocks will have 1x ADV to trade. Huge ETF inflows have led to...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 13Oct23) : Innolight/BYD IN, but Net Selling Again.

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND flows saw net selling, again. RMB 13bn+ of net selling this past week. The big names continue to see the big trading,...

Travis Lundy

ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Sector Rotation Continues

There could be 8 changes for the Chinext and 5 for the Chinext50. Impact is higher on the deletions. The IT sector gains index spots while...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Sep 15th): Six Weeks of Outflows

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Zhongji Innolight, CATL, Moutai, Wuliangye, Longi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50: A Potential Basket Trade

I see 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 index and 9 changes for the ChiNext index. I expect the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 Expected ADDs to outperform the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: ETF Inflows Lead to Performance Skew

There should be 50 changes in Dec with a big sector skew. Turnover is ~10% and 31 stocks will have 1x ADV to trade. Huge ETF inflows have led to...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Sector Rotation Continues