Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
Context: Zhongji InnoLight (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongji-innolight" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55331:1" rel="noopener">3308 HK</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongji-innolight-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6986:1" rel="noopener">300308 CH</a>) reports H1 2026 results on 21 August, its first earnings announcement since the Hong Kong listing.</li>
<li>
Highlight: With the historical median absolute move at 4.7%, options price a 5.6% earnings move. High option premiums create potential selling opportunities, but large historical tail moves warrant caution.</li>
<li>
Positioning: Put activity dominates recent trading, with downside strikes accounting for most outstanding puts. The volatility term structure remains elevated beyond the event.</li>
</ul>



Context: Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK, 300308 CH) reports H1 2026 results on 21 August, its first earnings announcement since the Hong Kong listing.

Highlight: With the historical median absolute move at 4.7%, options price a 5.6% earnings move. High option premiums create potential selling opportunities, but large historical tail moves warrant caution.

Positioning: Put activity dominates recent trading, with downside strikes accounting for most outstanding puts. The volatility term structure remains elevated beyond the event.


Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK, 300308 CH): 100% Volatility Ahead of First HK Earnings

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Aug 7th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD352,973m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Yangtze Power, Wuliangye, Mindray, VICTORY GIANT TECHNOLOGY (HUIZHOU), BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Aug 7th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD352,973m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Yangtze Power, Wuliangye, Mindray, VICTORY GIANT TECHNOLOGY (HUIZHOU), BYD.


A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 7th): Yangtze Power, Wuliangye, Mindray, BYD

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongji-innolight-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6986:1" rel="noopener">Zhongji InnoLight (300308 CH / 3308 HK)</a> trades 31% below its all-time high, while the consensus price target implies upside of 35%.</li>
<li>Historical periods with volatility above 100% have produced higher average and median subsequent one-month returns than lower-volatility regimes.</li>
<li>Implied volatility above 100% is extreme by any standard, generating exceptionally rich option premiums that can be monetised through put selling, albeit with exposure to further share-price weakness.</li>
</ul>



Zhongji InnoLight (300308 CH / 3308 HK) trades 31% below its all-time high, while the consensus price target implies upside of 35%.
Historical periods with volatility above 100% have produced higher average and median subsequent one-month returns than lower-volatility regimes.
Implied volatility above 100% is extreme by any standard, generating exceptionally rich option premiums that can be monetised through put selling, albeit with exposure to further share-price weakness.


Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK / 300308 CH): Monetising 100% Volatility Through Put Selling

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Wuxi Taclink Optoelectronics Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

Wuxi Taclink Optoelectronics Technology (688205 CH)

<ul>
<li>A-Share optoelectronics names hold the largest single-country share of merchant optical transceivers; Innolight leads globally at CNY38.24bn FY25 revenue, with Eoptolink next at CNY24.84bn.</li>
<li>AI has multiplied demand: Big-5 hyperscaler capex reached US$353bn in 2025, 2026 plans sum to roughly US$790bn, and the market is in year one of the 1.6T generation.</li>
<li>The module leaders trade at roughly 27x forward earnings, the cheapest layer of their own supply chain; upstream chip, DSP, and EMS peers run 29-52x.</li>
</ul>


A-Share optoelectronics names hold the largest single-country share of merchant optical transceivers; Innolight leads globally at CNY38.24bn FY25 revenue, with Eoptolink next at CNY24.84bn.
AI has multiplied demand: Big-5 hyperscaler capex reached US$353bn in 2025, 2026 plans sum to roughly US$790bn, and the market is in year one of the 1.6T generation.
The module leaders trade at roughly 27x forward earnings, the cheapest layer of their own supply chain; upstream chip, DSP, and EMS peers run 29-52x.


China Optoelectronics: Powering AI's Voracious Bandwidth Needs

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Grace Fabric Technology Co-A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grace-fabric-technology-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30080:1" rel="noopener">Grace Fabric Technology Co-A (603256 CH)</a> (GF) aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>GF specializes in the research, development, manufacturing and sale of high-end general-purpose and special-purpose electronic fabric.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Grace Fabric Technology Co-A (603256 CH) (GF) aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.
GF specializes in the research, development, manufacturing and sale of high-end general-purpose and special-purpose electronic fabric.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Aequitas: Grace Fabric A/H Listing - Growing Fast but Track Record Hasn’t Been Great

China

Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. researches, develops, and distributes fiber optic components.

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Suzhou Tfc Optical Communi-A (300394 CH)

Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK, 300308 CH): 100% Volatility Ahead of First HK Earnings

Zhongji InnoLight options price a larger-than-historical earnings move, while a high put/call ratio points to strong downside interest ahead of its...

Gaudenz Schneider

Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK / 300308 CH): Monetising 100% Volatility Through Put Selling

With implied volatility above 100%, Zhongji InnoLight offers exceptionally rich option premiums for investors willing to underwrite further...

Gaudenz Schneider

China Optoelectronics: Powering AI's Voracious Bandwidth Needs

A-Share optoelectronics dominate merchant optical transceivers market; AI driving Big-5 hyperscaler capex to US$790bn in 2026, module leaders...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Aequitas: Grace Fabric A/H Listing - Growing Fast but Track Record Hasn’t Been Great

Grace Fabric Technology Co-A (603256 CH) (GF) aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the company's past...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK, 300308 CH): 100% Volatility Ahead of First HK Earnings

Zhongji InnoLight options price a larger-than-historical earnings move, while a high put/call ratio points to strong downside interest ahead of its...

Gaudenz Schneider

A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 7th): Yangtze Power, Wuliangye, Mindray, BYD

We analyzed A-share margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Yangtze Power, Wuliangye, Mindray, VICTORY GIANT TECHNOLOGY...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK / 300308 CH): Monetising 100% Volatility Through Put Selling

With implied volatility above 100%, Zhongji InnoLight offers exceptionally rich option premiums for investors willing to underwrite further...

Gaudenz Schneider

China Optoelectronics: Powering AI's Voracious Bandwidth Needs

​A-Share optoelectronics dominate merchant optical transceivers market; AI driving Big-5 hyperscaler capex to US$790bn in 2026, module leaders...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Aequitas: Grace Fabric A/H Listing - Growing Fast but Track Record Hasn’t Been Great

Grace Fabric Technology Co-A (603256 CH) (GF) aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the company's past...

Sumeet Singh

A-Share optoelectronics dominate merchant optical transceivers market; AI driving Big-5 hyperscaler capex to US$790bn in 2026, module leaders...